Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (7/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/6)-(6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/6)-(6/7/4)-(5/2/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(5/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(5/2/4/3)-(5/4/9/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-3   WIN (5/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/3)-(5/4/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/3)-(5/4/9/7/8)-(2/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-4   WIN (5/4/9/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/7/8)-(5/4/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/7/8)-(5/4/9/7/8)-(5/4/9/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/9/7/8)-(2/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9/7/8)-(2/3/1)-(9/8/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CNL-5   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(9/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(9/8/2)-(7/12/10/13/11) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CNL-6   WIN (9/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/2)-(9/8/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/2)-(9/8/2/4/7)-(9/8/2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/8/2)-(7/12/10/13/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/8/2)-(7/12/10/13/11)-(8/10/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (7/12/10/13/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/12/10/13/11)-(7/12/10/13/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/12/10/13/11)-(7/12/10/13/11)-(7/12/10/13/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/12/10/13/11)-(8/10/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-8   WIN (8/10/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/5/6)-(8/10/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/5/6)-(8/10/5/6)-(8/10/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS MISSION Jul19 Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep04 (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  ITALIANO KID Aug01 Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar14 (flores )BRICENO GREGOR 119 12.00    
SCR  LAST OF BAD BOYS Jun27 May17 Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 (hamlin kath)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 20.00    
4  COLONEL TULLY Jul19 Jun20       (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  BLESSINGS BESTOWED Jul12 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26   (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00    
6  VERNOR'S JUNCTION Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 Jan15 Dec20 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  EFFICACY Jul17 Jun13 Nov09 Nov01   (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
8  LOCOMOTIVE Jul19 Jun08 May11 Nov09 Oct17 (djuric stevica)RUIZ JORGE 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
9  GO TO BINGO Aug01 Jun08 May11 Oct06 Sep15 (cooney s)CENTENO E 119 3.00    
 
CNL-2   08/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENEI May16 May08 Sep22 Aug24 Aug17 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
2  GRAMPS Jul10         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.00    
3  FUNSTRUCK Aug15 Jun29 May27 Apr30 Nov22 (olivo k)RUIZ JORGE 124 20.00    
4  WICKED BOSS Jun13 Apr06 Feb01 Nov16   (meyers madi)HAMILTON WESTON 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  DETERRENT Jun28         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 2.00    
6  PICO PLAT Jul19 Jun08 Apr26 Mar30 Feb21 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 1.80 23% 3.40    
7  MCZ Jul26         (simms mark)HUSBANDS J 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
CNL-3   08/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARETE Jul19         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00    
  (by CAT THIEF out of IMPROPER PRINCESS by WILD AGAIN)
2  DREAM CHICK Jul05         (kelley j)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 8% 11.50    
  (by KEEP DREAMING out of HOP'S PERFECTION by NAVY HOP)
3  COURAGEOUS DIANE Aug06 Jul19       (vazque)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of COURAGEOUS JULIE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  LADY FAYE Jul24         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LADY CUILINN by NEW BAY)
5  BLACK ROSE Jul24         (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 65% 0.50    
  (by TRAPP MOUNTAIN out of GINNED UP by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  LOVELY GREY Jul28         (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of KNIGHTWITHPUTNAM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  NICKEL SAVER         (mcpeek kenn)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 5.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PENNY SAVER by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  CHRYSALISM Jul12 Jun12       (motion graham)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PACHATTACK by PULPIT)
 
CNL-4   08/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD UP Jul11 May30 Dec07 Oct31 Sep14 (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
2  BUTHESPRETTY Jul19 Jun20 Aug24 Aug02   (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 120 12.00    
3  GREY FLANNEL BOSS Jul17 Jun21 Jun08 May11 Apr25 (hohlbein kerr)MORALES ANGEL 118 15.00    
4  AGENT KELLY Aug01 Jul10 Jun08 May11 Nov09 (maldonado j)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
5  PAEZ Jul30 Jul18 Jun08 May01 Apr13 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
6  MAMBA MINDSET Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 May09 Apr19 (capuano)BRICENO GREGOR 120 5.00    
7  SNEAKING SUSPICION Jul17 Jun20 May26 May04 Mar28 (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  STREET HOCKEY Jul19 Dec11 Nov08 Oct17 Oct06 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  NO CENTS NON CENTS Jul19 Sep05 Aug17 Jul26 Jun23 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 4.50 5% 18.50    
 
CNL-5   08/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYBE BETO Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun20 May31 (vazquez jose )MORALES ANGEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
2  TRAPPED IN TIME (IRE)         (mcpeek kenn)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 5.00 53% 0.90    
  (by SOTTSASS out of LIQUID AMBER by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
3  EL OREJON Jun29         (gallegos a)CENTENO E 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of CAPITALISM AT RISK by BULL MARKET)
SCR  CULOIR Jul25         (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MEANS WELL by SMART STRIKE)
5  TISUM Jul25         (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 119 12.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BEEHIVE HAIRDO by FLAT OUT)
6  RAMBLIN Jul09         (desormeaux j )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VERDURA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  LI GRAND ZOMBI         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 5.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of CAJOON by FROSTED)
SCR  SMOLS Jul25 Jul11 Jun13     (munoz cindy)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of JACKKNIFE by GHOSTZAPPER)
9  VULCAN'S BOOTS Jul21         (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SISTAS STROLL by STROLL)
 
CNL-6   08/14/2025 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STENTS AND STATINS (GB) Jul19 May28 Mar14 Feb14 Jan17 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00    
  (by SOLDIER HOLLOW out of DEALBATA by DUBAWI)
2  LORRAINE (FR) Jul19 Jun14 Jan03 Dec05 Oct10 (hodsdon danie)KARAMANOS A 124 4.00 9% 10.70    
  (by SHALAA out of AL MAYDA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  LIL' HOTTIE Dec26 Oct20       (kelley a)ASHTON GAVIN 118 50.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of BIRDLOVER by BYRON)
4  SMOKIN HOT BLONDE Nov23 Nov02       (kelley jame)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00 ★    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BIRDLOVER by BYRON)
5  AWESOME MCKINZIE Jul17 Jun22 May10 Mar23   (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of AWESOME MARCHESA by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  CAVIAR BREAKFAST Jul19 May25 Apr10     (mcpeek kenn)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WILDCAT GOLD by FOREST WILDCAT)
7  BUCKEYE BOMBSHELL Jul17 May24       (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00 ★    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of THEANA by UNCLE MO)
8  BE TOGETHER Jul19 Jun17       (thomas jonathan)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
9  PROTECTIVE CUSTODY Jul09 May16 Apr06 Mar02   (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
 
CNL-7   08/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J Z'S LAST SCHANCE Jul31 Jun28 Jun13 Apr19 Feb19 (wolfen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00    
2  SO SOPHIA (GB) Jul25 Apr23       (gardea abra)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
SCR  MARIAN CROSS (GB) Jul14 May01 Oct20 Sep14 Aug18 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 122 6.00    
4  SILVER TRINKET Jul18 Jun14 Mar07 Jan17 Nov30 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 8.00    
SCR  MO HYPE Jul18 Jun27 May25 Feb22 Feb01 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 20.00    
SCR  CENTRAL CASTING Jul17 Jun07 May21 Apr09 Mar22 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 4.00    
7  WORTH A DIME Jun22 May23       (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 118 6.00 53% 0.90    
8  IZZY SWEET GIRL (IRE) Jul26 Jun27 Mar06 Jan04 May02 (brinkman bret)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00    
9  SERENE SPIRIT Jul12 Jun01 Oct06 Aug17 Jul13 (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
10  WIFFLETREE SERRY Jul17 Jul04 Feb21     (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00 5% 18.30    
11  MIYAKO Feb23 Jan23 Nov28 Oct07 Sep01 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR Mar21 Feb21 Jan23 Dec26 Nov28 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00 17% 5.00    
13  PATRIA Jul19 Oct31 Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 (salazar marco)RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BABY BLOCKS Jul24 Jun07 May29 Apr18 Mar09 (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 124 6.00    
 
CNL-8   08/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ODINSON Jul09 Nov03 Oct17 Sep27 Aug31 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00    
SCR  LOTHARIO Aug01 Jul12 Jun06 May27 Apr26 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00    
3  ENDURING GOLD Jul19 Jun14 Apr26 Mar13 Feb14 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
4  B DETERMINED Jun28 Jun06 May10 Oct25 Sep11 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
5  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN Jun14 May16 Nov02 Oct24 Aug29 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
6  SLIPPIN JIMMY Aug02 Jul09 May25 Aug31 Aug23 (mccutche)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  KING KONTIE Jul26 May19 Apr17 Mar15 Feb26 (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00    
8  KNOCKANARA Jul25 Jun06 May24 Mar14 Feb23 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
9  STREET ROCKIN Jul25 Jul09 Jun19 May30 Apr27 (ashby lynn)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
10  MEDAGOOCH Jul09 Jun20 May26 May09 Apr26 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.