Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/5/4/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/5/4/3)-(6/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/3)-(6/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/3)-(6/1/2)-(7/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(7/3/2)-(8/7/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(8/7/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(8/7/4/1)-(6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (8/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/1)-(6/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/1)-(6/5/2)-(2/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/7/6/1)-(5/2/9/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(5/2/9/6/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/2/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/6/4)-(5/2/9/6/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/6/4)-(5/2/9/6/4)-(5/2/9/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   07/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILAS M P Jul09         (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 120 2.00    
SCR  SHANNONIA         (connelly teres)ALLEN D 125 6.00    
FLING READY Jul10 May08 Apr10 Nov08 Oct19 (danner k)GALLARDO A 120 1.80 38% 1.70    
WARRIOR'S NOTION Jun27 Jun07 Apr26 Mar21 Feb01 (brooks e)GARCIA F 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOGGINS         (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 2.50    
 
PID-2   07/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELUSIVE CHANGE Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May26 Oct24 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 123 20.00    
STEELER MISCHIEF Jul15 Jun30 Jun16 May26 Mar07 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 123 5.00 55% 0.80    
TWELVETWO Jul15 Jun25 Nov20 Nov04 Oct24 (gilmartin b)RIVERA A 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
THUNDER CANE Apr18 Mar19 Feb19 Jan03 Dec06 (russell )MARTINEZ A 118 3.00 8% 11.20    
RANSOM MONEY Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May19 Jan15 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 11% 7.80    
MAKE THE BED Jul15 Jun25 May26 Jan25 Dec27 (ccamaque mar)BELISARIO JUAN 113 8.00    
RIDGE WARRIOR Jul08 Jun25 Feb27 Jan09 Dec11 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
SCR  VALIANT EXCHANGE Jul08 Jun10 Apr14 Feb16 Jan27 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 2.50    
 
PID-3   07/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMURAI LEGACY Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 Sep26 Sep11 (pappada )GALLARDO A 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
EXTRA MEDIUM Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May19 Oct24 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 125 8.00 17% 4.90    
FORCE OF JUSTICE Jul16 Jun20 May21 May03 Mar27 (rojas murray)BELISARIO JUAN 115 6.00    
GET EVEN Jun16 May19 Apr16 Mar19 Dec28 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 1.80    
SCR  TONY SMALL Jul09 Jun30 Jun04 May20 Apr27 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 125 5.00    
THE SINNER IS YOU Jul09 Jun30 Jun04 May19 Oct17 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
PID-4   07/29/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND MORNING (IRE) Jul15 Jan25 Nov14 Oct16 Oct01 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 5.00    
ALPHA CAT Jul23 Jul05 Jul26 Jul01 Mar30 (goodwin gabri)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
KING REIGERT Jul02 Jun24       (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU Jul15 Jun16 May19 Nov27 Nov13 (clarke matthew)ALLEN M 125 4.00    
BAYTOWN BULLEIT Jun16 May28 Apr21 Mar08 Jan26 (mcentee paul)WHITACRE B 120 4.50    
MAGNUS EFFECT Sep03 Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 Jul02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 125 15.00    
FROZEN FOUR Jul03 Jun16 May27 Mar16 Feb14 (barron rory)ALLEN D 125 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
PID-5   07/29/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S GOOD Jul15 Jun18 Jun03 Oct16 Oct02 (buhrow jamie )ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
ONE SPECIAL ACT Jul13 Jun26 Jun06 May22 Apr23 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 3.00    
CRYSTAL WATER Jul07 Jun18 Jun02 Feb20 Jan08 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00    
STELLARATOR Jul15 Jul08 Jun03 May21 Oct14 (herrington c)BELISARIO JUAN 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PATH TO VICTORY Jun11 May27 Dec04 Oct09 Sep09 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 123 10.00    
XERCES Jul15 May02 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 123 5.00    
WHISPERING SEA Jul15 Jun24 Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 (ccamaque)RODRIGUEZ O 123 4.00 31% 2.30    
REFUGIADA Jul06 Feb27 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 (gotera juan )AYALA J 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
PID-6   07/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPAN OF CONTROL Jul21 Jul07 Jun18 May28 Oct23 (radosevich shelly)FOX CHRIS 123 12.00    
MEANT TO BE LUCKY Nov16 Oct16 Sep02 Jul29 Jul09 (bourke joh)AYALA J 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
TOP RECRUIT Jun18 May19 Apr11 Jan31 Dec22 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 123 2.50    
WHERE YOU WAS Jul07 Jun18 Jun04 May19 Oct24 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 3.00    
OUTHUSTLE Jul03 Jun18 Jul02 Jun03 Oct18 (russell randall)ALLEN M 125 5.00 21% 3.70    
MOR SPRING SPIRIT Jun30 Jun18 May28 May19 Jan15 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
PID-7   07/29/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Jul14 Jun17 May21 Apr25 Mar28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
WELAKA Jun06 May10 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 (danner k)GALLARDO A 123 1.80 30% 2.30    
ANCHISES Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May19 Oct06 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 123 8.00    
THE DOORMAN Jun24 Jun09 May20 Apr19 Mar29 (barron r)RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.50    
MAXIMUM FAITH Jul14 Oct16       (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 6.00    
TEMPUS Jul08 Jun17 May27 Oct21 Oct09 (dickey k)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00 12% 7.70    
ADIOS BUCCANEER Jul08 Jun17 May26 Apr13 Mar01 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
PID-8   07/29/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAN Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Oct24 (depasquale ki)ROJAS MARTINA 123 8.00    
ERLAN Jul21 Jun10 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 (kleine bernar)DELGADO DAVID 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
KING NATE Jul14 Jun11 May27 Dec21 Dec06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 6.00    
HUNTIN' THE RUT Jul16 Jul03 Oct24 Oct09 Sep18 (carr-rozantz)BELISARIO JUAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 Mar12 Jan01 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
MARSAC Jul14 Jun30 Jun11 May20 Oct10 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
DUEL FUEL Jul14 Jun30 Jun17 Nov19 Nov06 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 20.00    
BURNING LEAVES Jul13 Jun28 May09 Mar14 Jan23 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 4.50    
SILVER STYLE Jul07 Mar07 Feb22 Jan19 Jan05 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.