Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/2/3)-(4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/3)-(5/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/1/6)-(5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(5/4)-(1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/4)-(7/11/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(7/11/8/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(7/11/8/2)-(6/3/4/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-7   WIN (7/11/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/11/8/2)-(7/11/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/11/8/2)-(7/11/8/2)-(7/11/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/11/8/2)-(6/3/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U AIN'T THAT LUCKY Jun07 Dec21 Nov29 Oct07 Sep16 (danner k)GALLARDO A 125 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SEEKING LUCK by SEEKING THE GOLD)
LADY LOVES MONEY Jul19 Jul03 Jun05 May29   (bourke john)BAYS BROOKE 113 5.00 16% 5.30    
  (by MR. MONEY out of MERRY LADY by KEYED ENTRY)
MOMS TRIBUTE Jun03 May19 Nov12 Oct12   (brafford mich)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 3.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of HALLOWEEN FUN by EL PRADO (IRE))
WORTH A BUNDLE Jul04 Jun03 Apr03 Mar13   (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 120 2.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SLEW OF MONEY by OCALA SLEW)
SUGAR MOMMA Jun03 Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 May30 (beckman alice)BOCACHICA O 125 6.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CHOCOLATE SMOOTHIE by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
PID-2   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUMP IT UP May30 May01 Mar07 Sep16   (lynch cath)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by AUDIBLE out of EVITA'S SISTER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  PANCHO SLIPS AWAY Dec24 Oct08 Sep20     (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by KHOZAN out of TIME FOR FUN by ORB)
CLOUDY CLOUD         (alvarez nery)BAYS BROOKE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of AEROSCOUT by DUNKIRK)
BLAZING Jun22         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of AVIATING by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
ST. EMILION         (johnson jen)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CONQUEST SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BET ON BRET Apr13 Aug29 Jul14     (wismer g)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
 
PID-3   07/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA SCATTA Jun23 May28 Mar13 Feb23   (mott riley)MORALES PABLO 118 1.80    
SARATOGA GAZE Jun02 May19 Apr19 Mar21 Mar05 (barron rory)MARTINEZ W 123 3.00    
MY JANNET Jul07 Jun02 May02 Apr09 Mar28 (kleine l)GARCIA F 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
AWESOME EMPRESS Jun23 May28 May04 Mar30 Mar16 (guciardo john)BAYS BROOKE 116 2.00 30% 2.40    
VANILLA BEAN May27 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00    
 
PID-4   07/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE CONNECTOR Jun18 May28 Oct24 Oct02 Sep11 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
LORD OF LEGENDS Jul03 Jun16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 (buhrow jamie )ROJAS MARTINA 125 10.00    
LUCAGO May27 Jan25 Jan03 Dec10 Nov18 (gotera juan )AYALA J 125 3.50    
CON ON THE RUN Jun30 Jun16 Jun03 Jul01 Jun03 (depasqua)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00    
MAGNIFICENT RIDE Jun18 May29 May16 May03 Mar27 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 125 1.60 27% 2.70    
REJECTED AGAIN May08 Apr29 Apr16 Mar05 Feb24 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   07/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLAND HOLIDAY Jun24 Jun03 May20 Feb08 Jan15 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 6.00    
XERCES May02 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May27 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 123 5.00    
SCR  REFUGIADA Jul06 Feb27 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 (gotera juan )AYALA J 123 3.50    
MISCHIEFNESS Jul02 Jun13 Sep13 Aug22 Jul25 (lynch cath)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 12.00 11% 8.30    
CANDY CAUSE Jun24 May28 Apr30 Apr17 Feb12 (rice lin)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  CRYSTAL WATER Jul07 Jun18 Jun02 Feb20 Jan08 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 120 4.00    
WHAT'S GOOD Jun18 Jun03 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (buhrow jamie )ROJAS MARTINA 125 4.50    
 
PID-6   07/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING RUBY Jun11 Jun02 Apr11 Mar29 Mar09 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 1.80 39% 1.50    
STELLARATOR Jul08 Jun03 May21 Oct14 Sep15 (herrington c)BELISARIO JUAN 113 10.00    
AZTEC PRINCESS May28 May02 Apr09 Mar28 Oct24 (hamm tim)MARTINEZ A 123 2.50    
WHISPERING SEA Jun24 Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 (ccamaque)RODRIGUEZ O 123 6.00 9% 10.10    
FIRST FORAY Jun16 May20 Jan03 Sep11 Aug27 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
SCR  LIZZIE BABY Jun24 Jun10 May04 Apr18 Mar21 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00    
 
PID-7   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANSOM MONEY Jun25 Jun10 May19 Jan15 Oct23 (connelly teres)ALLEN D 118 6.00    
BRENNAN'S WAR Jun25 Jun10 May26 May06 Apr28 (barron rory)MARTINEZ W 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ENTRY Jun30 Jun11 May26 Jul29 Jul01 (depasquale)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 12.00    
SCR  WE CALLED SOL Jul08 Jun10 Jun03 May19 Apr27 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 118 3.50    
ELUSIVE CHANGE Jun25 Jun10 May26 Oct24 Oct14 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 20.00    
SCR  MO SNOW Jul01 May26 May11 Apr08 Sep24 (winters michelle)STOKES J 123 20.00    
STEELER MISCHIEF Jun30 Jun16 May26 Mar07 Jan19 (miller henry )ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
TWELVETWO Jun25 Nov20 Nov04 Oct24 Oct14 (gilmartin b)RIVERA A 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
MAKE THE BED Jun25 May26 Jan25 Dec27 Dec09 (ccamaque mar)BELISARIO JUAN 113 15.00    
10  PRICHARD Jun12 May27 Apr24 Mar26 Jan19 (west aar)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
11  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Jun25 Feb06 Jan23 Dec19 Nov26 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 123 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
PID-8   07/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SNOVEMBER Jul02 Jun16 May28 Apr05 Mar26 (barron rory)ALLEN D 125 5.00    
DOMINATOR C. Jun24 Jun16 May28 Apr11 Apr02 (baez n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 20.00    
SCR  KING REIGERT Jul02 Jun24       (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
BROMISTA Jul02 Jun24 May28 Oct09 Sep24 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIBRARY Jun24 Jun09 Mar02 Feb15 Jan15 (miller henry)BELISARIO JUAN 110 15.00    
HIGH FIVE SY May26 Apr29 Mar28 Feb05 Jan03 (wismer g)GALLARDO A 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
GRAND MORNING (IRE) Jan25 Nov14 Oct16 Oct01 Sep20 (kintz matthew)BAYS BROOKE 113 5.00    
SCR  BUCEPHALUS TOUCH Jun22 Jun08 Apr22     (johnson jen)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOTLINE BLINK Jun03 May13 Apr29 Apr13 Mar19 (esposito c)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 6.00    
10  STRATEGYFORYOU Jun16 May19 Nov27 Nov13 Oct16 (clarke mat)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.