Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(4/5)-(2/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/5/4)-(1/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/7/5)-(8/6/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(8/6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(8/6/2/1)-(3/1/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (8/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/1)-(3/1/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/1)-(3/1/4/8)-(7/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/8)-(7/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/8)-(7/6)-(4/2/1/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-7   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/6)-(4/2/1/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
PID-8   WIN (4/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERS RUN RED May29 Jan08 Dec17 Nov20 Oct30 (pappada mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PROBLEM KID May14 Apr08 Mar25     (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
3  KITTY OF WAR Jul01 Jun04 May12 Apr28 Jan25 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  JANES HOPE Oct23 Oct13 Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 (mckinley r)BAYS BROOKE 118 8.00    
5  STRAWBERRY SKY Jun30 Jun02 May27 Oct23 Oct10 (antus lawrence)GARCIA F 120 3.50    
6  SISTER SOLA Jun23 Jun08 Apr28 Oct24 Sep04 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 125 5.00 ★    
7  SPANISH CARA (IRE) Jun03 Mar28 Mar07 Dec29 Oct31 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 125 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
PID-2   07/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON BLAST Jun25 Jun11 May27 Apr16 Jan22 (stokes lance)SPIETH S 123 4.50    
SCR  PATH TO VICTORY Jun11 May27 Dec04 Oct09 Sep09 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 10.00    
3  CAT ONE Jan17 Jan04 Dec20 Oct23 Oct15 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 123 4.00    
4  UPPITY UP Jun25 Jun03 Oct16 Oct01 Sep16 (bourke w)GALLARDO A 123 1.60 44% 1.30    
5  FLASHY TOO Jul03 Jun18 May27 Dec08 Nov08 (radosevich shell)MARTINEZ W 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRAUMARAMA May27 May20 Dec01 Nov19 Nov05 (morrell jus)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 ★    
 
PID-3   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS Jun11 May19 Apr18 Sep08 Aug12 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
2  CRANK IT UP Jun26 May09 Mar06 Feb22 Jan04 (beattie )GALLARDO A 125 1.80 39% 1.60    
3  CITIZENS QUEEN Jun25 May03       (kleine l)GARCIA F 120 15.00    
4  TRIPLE SECRET Jun25 Jun10 May26 May04 Mar27 (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FLASH FREEZE         (hamm timothy)STOKES J 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  NUN GIMEL HAY PO Jun30 Jun11 May21 May03 Apr13 (potts g)AYALA J 125 3.00 ★    
7  MY ANGEL DOES Jun02 Mar01 Feb12 Jan04 Dec18 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00    
 
PID-4   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST LEARNER Jun18 Jun03 May19 Sep26 Aug21 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  PALACE REVOLT Jul03 Jun04 Apr12 Feb12 Jan24 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00    
SCR  SHANNONIA         (connelly teres)ALLEN D 125 8.00    
4  COSMIC CONNECTION Jun25 Dec02 Nov19 Nov10 Oct28 (schaber )MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
5  HOPE SHE COMES Jun30 Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 Jul24 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
6  GRUIT Nov29 Nov13 Oct24 Oct10 Sep24 (mckinley r)GARCIA F 125 10.00    
7  WARRIOR'S MISSION Jun18 Jun04       (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
PID-5   07/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLIDING AFLEET Jun11 Nov27 Oct28 Oct16 Oct02 (saul dana)FRET STEVEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  JEN'S SONG Jun23 Jun04 May27 Oct24 Oct10 (depasqua)GALLARDO A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DUEL FUEL Jun30 Jun17 Nov19 Nov06 Oct16 (schaber )RODRIGUEZ O 123 12.00    
4  KING NATE Jun11 May27 Dec21 Dec06 Oct15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 3.50    
5  MARSAC Jun30 Jun11 May20 Oct10 Aug26 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 6.00    
6  GUACO Jun03 May21 Nov18 Sep11 Aug19 (clarke mat)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 8.00 16% 5.20    
7  TAP THE SKY Jul03 Jun17 Jun02 Mar07 Feb19 (connelly teresa)MARTINEZ W 123 2.50    
8  SANDY LANE KITTEN Jun23 Jun11 May27 May04 Mar29 (arriagad)MARTINEZ A 123 3.00 61% 0.60    
 
PID-6   07/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE FED'S PLOT Jun24 Jun10 May11 Oct12 Sep05 (danner k)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DEBASE THE DOLLAR by MALIBU MOON)
2  SEMPER ANTICUS Jul07 Jun22       (ruberto loui)TAPARA BRANDON 125 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SEMPER SENTENTIAE by THE FACTOR)
3  CRACKING CONNOR Jun10         (clement migue)MORALES PABLO 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by STREET SENSE out of THEORY OF CHANGE by ARCHARCHARCH)
4  NORTH SHIP Jun16 May28 May09 Apr23 Jan23 (bourke john)GARCIA F 125 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
5  ANALYST Jun24 May31       (uhacz wendy)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
  (by WALL STREET DANCER out of QUANT by WAR FRONT)
6  AND THATS MY STORY Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr24 Mar07 (bourke john)BAYS BROOKE 113 4.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
7  MAXIMUM FAITH Oct16         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of SCRIPTURE by HENNESSY)
8  COULD DO Jun24 Feb07 Jan15 Nov13 Oct12 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INTELLINA by INTELLO)
 
PID-7   07/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEMAQUID PETE Jun30 Jun10 May26 Oct16 Oct01 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 123 5.00    
2  CASHIER CHECK Jun24 May21 May03 Jan31 Dec20 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 3.00    
SCR  GLOBES Jun30 May20 Apr25 Apr04 Mar22 (kocijan marcus)BEATO INOEL 123 12.00    
4  STARSHIP EMPIRE Jun24 Jun09 Oct21 Sep20 Aug27 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 123 3.50 ★    
5  PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Jun17 May21 Apr25 Mar28 Feb19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 4.50    
6  R ADMIRAL Jun30 Oct01 Sep20 Aug27 Aug06 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 8.00 17% 4.90    
7  BURNIN TURF Jul03 May21 Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PID-8   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY JANE Jun25         (hamm timothy)STOKES J 120 4.50 7% 13.20    
2  ENGLISH INDY         (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  ITZA KITTY Jun25 May18 Apr17     (rice lin)RODRIGUEZ O 120 5.00    
4  BUCCHINI Oct19 Sep21 Aug23     (guciardo john)BAYS BROOKE 113 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  RAVEN DANCE Jun25 Jun06 Nov14 Oct26 Oct04 (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
6  COURAGEOUS ARI Jun25 Feb01 Oct15 Oct07 Aug27 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
7  CHRIS'S KITTY Apr12 Mar08 Dec11 Oct23   (kintz s )GALLARDO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROCK TUNE Jun30 Jun11 May27 Nov21 Nov06 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 125 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.