Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (3/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/8/1)-(3/5/7/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/7/1)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/1)-(4/5/2)-(7/8/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(7/8/3/2)-(5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-3   WIN (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/2)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/2)-(5/2/4)-(6/5/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/5/2/1)-(5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/1)-(5/2)-(3/11/6/7/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/11/6/7/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/11/6/7/5)-(3/4/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/11/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/6/7/5)-(3/11/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/6/7/5)-(3/11/6/7/5)-(3/11/6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/11/6/7/5)-(3/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/11/6/7/5)-(3/4/2)-(2/4/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/9/3)-(2/4/7/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/13/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ COMPLEX Jun08 May21 May02 Feb20 Feb01 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WAKE UP LAUREN Jun08 May18 Apr12 Mar23 Jan26 (reynolds pat)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.50    
3  SOUPER AMUSING Mar27 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 Nov10 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  FOOTNOTE Jun20 Feb16 Jan20 Nov30   (sanchez l)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
5  ENCHANT Jun08 May25 Apr11 Mar15 Feb21 (dini mike)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 116 6.00 28% 2.60    
6  MOTOWN HONEY Jun07 May16 Apr07     (pino michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
7  CLASH CITY ROCKER Jun08 May02 Apr05 Mar15 Feb19 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
8  CARAVAGGIO'S SONG Jun08 May21 Apr23 Jan28 Oct30 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 119 5.00 ★    
9  SEXPECTATIONS May17         (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 119 20.00    
SCR  PATIENT FI Jun09 May20 Mar19 Dec30   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 6.00    
 
MTH-2   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TERESA Jun22 Jul05 May16 Apr27 Apr18 (wilson )GONZALEZ LUIS 124 2.50    
2  PROFIT HUNTER Jul05 Jun15 Jun01 May18 Dec23 (siculietano da)AGUILAR JEAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY HONEYBUNCH Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 May10 Dec06 (spina charles)SUTHERLAND C 119 3.00    
4  LADY COLLECTED Jun22 Jun01 May18 Apr30 Mar16 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  GIANT'S AUDIBLE Jun28 May24 May18 Apr21 Mar31 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  SPANISH GIRL Jun15 Jun01 May03 Apr21 Mar31 (crowell susan)RIVERA D 121 12.00    
 
MTH-3   07/13/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST BE HONEST Jul02 Jun07 May26 May11 May05 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
2  FINAL DRAMA May26 May11 Apr23 Apr13 Feb23 (delgado alexis)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
3  RICHARD AVE May17 Apr26 Mar22 Aug30 Aug01 (weaver george)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  NOSTALGIA'S SMILE Jun22 Jun01 May01 Apr04 Mar09 (david carl)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 8.00    
5  MILO Feb14 Jan08 Oct11 Sep15 Jun07 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00    
6  CURIOUS SOUL Jun22 Jun10 May06 Feb25 Feb03 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 10.00    
7  NEW YORK STRONG Sep08 Aug24 Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 (gonzalez claudio)LEON SONNY 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  EMPIRE SKY Jun22 Nov16 Oct04 Aug21 Jul07 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
9  K PAZ Jul06 Jun22 Mar12 Feb23 Feb02 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
 
MTH-4   07/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLLOW THE FELLOW         (spina charles)SUTHERLAND C 117 3.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BON HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  LITTLE THEODORE         (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALL DAY DONNA by VALUE PLUS)
3  BOD BEACH Jun08         (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LOOK INTO MY EYES by CITY ZIP)
4  BONSAI WARRIOR         (gonzalez )VARGAS A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YAUPON out of BURDEOS by MALIBU MOON)
5  ONE LAST BULLET         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SCONSET by TAPIT)
6  TOUGH GUY TONY         (reid e)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SWEET FORCE by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
7  WORLD WIDE WEB         (orseno jos)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 12.00 ★    
  (by KNICKS GO out of MESHELL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  AVIGLIANO         (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WINY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
MTH-5   07/13/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A BOMBSHELL Jun22 Jun07 May24 Sep14 Aug25 (david a)SUTHERLAND C 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISCHIEF MAXEY Jun29 May17 Apr18 Mar24 Jan28 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 5.00 9% 9.60    
3  STORMY DISCO Jun21 May25 Apr25 Apr05 Mar12 (dini mike)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
4  MADAM PROSECUTOR Jun29 Apr18 Mar16 Feb09   (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
5  WEST LOOP Jun15 May02 Mar15 Jan26 Dec26 (proctor thoma)JARA FERNANDO 121 2.50 11% 7.80    
6  DEFINITE DIVA Jun29 May25 Apr20 Mar22 Dec26 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
7  TAPRIXIE Apr05 Apr13 Mar07 Feb23 Jan14 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 121 5.00    
8  CAMILA T (IRE) Jun29 May25 Mar29 Feb28 Nov28 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
SCR  OBLIGING Jun29 May18 May10 Apr02 Feb12 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50    
 
MTH-6   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILVER POCKET Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 Aug18 Jun22 (cash russell)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
2  DISOBEDIENT BULL         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00 16% 5.20    
3  RIPTON'S MUSIC Jun22 Jun14 Feb22 Jan17 Oct11 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.50 ★    
SCR  NEONATE Jun22         (alvarado diane)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00    
5  SOAR RICHARD Jun22 May18 Apr05 Mar19 Feb16 (margotta a)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 115 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  VINO'S VALENTINE Mar09         (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00    
7  C'MON JUAN May31 Apr27 Apr04     (pimental joh)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
 
MTH-7   07/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAVITY HILL Jun15 Sep27 Sep14 Aug25 Jul28 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 15.00    
2  RICHIE'S VALENTINE Jun22 Sep27 Aug25 Jul26   (kendall dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
3  ONE FINE WINE Jun22 May26 May10 Oct11 Sep07 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
4  STARVIEW TWINKLE Jun21 May25 Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 (mazza jose)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
5  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Jun22 Jun01 Feb23 Dec18 Oct12 (einhorn k)VARGAS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUMMER FLOWER Jun22 Jun04 May17 Apr13 Dec04 (dini mike)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
7  SADIE BABY Jun22 May17 Mar28 Feb23 Jan12 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 120 12.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  TE AMO Jun12 May17 Sep27 Sep15 Aug25 (keithan rachae)COTTO L 120 20.00    
9  JOY AND PROSPERITY Jun20 Oct12 Sep20 Sep01 Jul31 (ward dan)LEON SONNY 120 5.00    
10  DELIGHTFUL AVA May25 Sep27 Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 (frangella jam)JARA FERNANDO 120 8.00    
11  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Jun21 Apr24 Oct12 Sep27 Aug25 (clark a)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
 
MTH-8   07/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDCREST Jun21 Jun13 May25 May09 Apr19 (arriaga antonio)LEON SONNY 121 8.00 ★    
2  QUEEN WIGGY Jul04 Jun20 Jun13 May11 Mar27 (synnefias pana)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00 11% 7.80    
3  BERTIE'S CAUSE Jun28 May02 Apr09 Mar21 Feb28 (gonzalez c)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  BOLD BABY Jun20 Jun01 Apr27 Apr02 Mar01 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Jul03 Jun21 Jun01 May25 May02 (jones eduardo)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00    
6  REE NEE'S SIX Jun30 May19 Apr28 Apr16 Feb24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.00    
7  KAREN'S HONOR May09 Apr24 Apr03 Feb13 Jan23 (jimenez jose)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50    
 
MTH-9   07/13/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GULF COAST GIRL Jun27 May18 Apr27 Apr02 Mar14 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 121 15.00    
2  SUNDAY TIFF Jun04 Mar09 Feb16 Dec20 Nov30 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  DESIGNER BAG Jun08 Apr13 Feb21 Feb08 Jan10 (breen kel)VARGAS A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DELAYED May02 Feb21 Jan17 Dec07 Oct24 (motion graha)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  RED HAIRED GAL Jun28 Jun08 May18 Mar31 Mar03 (flores-coba fe)MOYA F 119 12.00    
6  HIPATIA Jun28 Jun15 Oct18 Sep21 Sep14 (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
7  PRETTY THING (IRE) Jun20 May31 Apr18 Mar06 Feb14 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
8  MY LITTLE RED Jun27 Jun08 Oct31 Oct10 Sep11 (flores-c)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 5.00    
9  BEAUTIFUL BOLT Jun13 Feb14 Dec18 Nov13 Oct19 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  TIGER FOREVER Jun15 May18 Feb01 Dec20 Nov03 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 115 8.00    
SCR  MISSPENT Jun15 Jun01 Apr25 Apr05 Feb28 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 117 4.00    
SCR  RASTA GIRL Jun06 May03 Apr13 Feb23 Feb09 (klesaris rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.