Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (2/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9/7)-(3/1/2/4)-(4/2/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-3   WIN (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/4)-(4/2/3/8)-(6/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (4/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/8)-(6/2/7)-(8/4/9/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-6   WIN (8/4/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/5/11)-(8/4/9/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/5/11)-(8/4/9/5/11)-(8/4/9/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (4/1/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/6/5)-(4/1/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/6/5)-(4/1/2/6/5)-(4/1/2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/6/5)-(2/10/9/3/5)-(3/8/9/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-8   WIN (2/10/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/3/5)-(2/10/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/3/5)-(2/10/9/3/5)-(2/10/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/9/3/5)-(3/8/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-9   WIN (3/8/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/9/11)-(3/8/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/9/11)-(3/8/9/11)-(3/8/9/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   07/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIM JIMMY Jun15 May31 May18 May11 Apr19 (govea cesar)REYES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Jun15 May18 Apr27 Mar23 Mar02 (schneider er)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
SCR  ADGER Jun13 May16 May03 Mar08 Jan17 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 0.80    
EXPECT GLORY Jun07 May03 Apr17 Mar02 Feb21 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
MUCHO MACHO CAM Jun20 May31 Apr27 Apr04 Mar23 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 124 10.00    
KING ADOLIS Jun07 Apr20 Mar22 Feb16 Jan11 (baldillez ale)JUAREZ J 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
MORO LEGEND Jun15 Mar03 Oct06 Sep03 Jul22 (hurley re)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
 
LS-2   07/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI ROLLING TIDE Jun21 May09 Mar23 Jan17 Jan04 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 6.00    
BIG COMMERCE Feb22 Feb01 Oct25 Oct04 Aug17 (ashford ray)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 60% 0.70    
MO MOVES Jun21 May25 Mar15 Feb28 May17 (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 124 12.00    
AIR IT OUT Jun21 May10 Apr17 Apr06 Mar14 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
WINGS FOR ENO Jun21 Jun07 May02 Mar08 Feb09 (pa)PEREZ ESCALERA 124 20.00    
CAWKAB Jun21 Feb08 Jan24 Dec20 Nov20 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 4.00    
CLOUDY PAST Jun15 May31 May18 May10 Apr25 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT Jun21 Jun07 May09 Apr17 Apr04 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 119 5.00    
TAP TO CONNECT Jun21 May27 Apr27 Apr10 Mar23 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-3   07/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBIA Jun15 Mar14 Nov03 Sep16 Aug21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
ANAJULIAFOREVER Mar08 Feb14 Jan25 Dec04 Oct03 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
DULCIA Jun15 Mar14 Feb15 Jan05 Dec12 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
NORTH EAST STAR (IRE) Jun07 Mar13 Apr21 Feb15 Jan12 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE Jun06 Apr25 Mar28 Mar02 Feb09 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  GRAY ZONE May18 Mar08 Feb14 Jan25 Oct12 (villafranc)ERAMIA E 124 10.00    
TIFF WITH JIMMY Jun20 May05 Apr26 Apr12 Mar09 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
ON WING Jun08 Jan31 Oct05 Jul14 Jun22 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00    
 
LS-4   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKITRETTA May25 Apr26 Apr11     (green ike)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00    
MAJESTIC BAY Oct16 Aug29 Jul20     (young bob)DIEGO V 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
LIL PRETTY WOMAN         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 15.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  THAT BEING SAID         (marr h)JUAREZ J 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
WE HEAR YOU Oct30 Oct06 Jul21     (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.50    
SHE'S SPELLBOUND Jun15 May25 Jun21 Jun07 May19 (herreros s)CAMACHO VALENTIN 119 12.00    
WHISKEY ON ICE May18         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 5.00    
MORO PRINCESS Jun15 May18 Jul12 Jun22 Jun09 (herre)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-5   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO SOY ROY Jun07 May03 Apr19 Feb28 Jan12 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 3.00    
POLLITO TITO Jun07 May24 Apr18 Apr06 Mar09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  DUSTINS DENILE May26 Apr18 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
CHEATING HEART Jun08 May11 Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
ECHO MARINE Jun13 May16 May03 Mar01 Jan03 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 120 12.00    
AGGIE'S CREED Jun22         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
PAINTED LAD Jun15 Jun07 May16 Apr25 Mar29 (coat)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-6   07/04/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GWYNETH'S MALIBU May03 Mar29 Mar01 Jan17 Nov16 (hjort donna)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
GHURAIR'S WARRIOR Jun13 Jun01 Mar30 Mar16 Feb28 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
SIPPIN SCOTCH Jun07 May30 May10 Apr06 Mar14 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
KANTAKE Jun20 Jun06 May10 Mar16 Mar01 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
MONEYLINE May25 May03 Mar21 Dec29 Nov25 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 8% 11.90    
SAGITTARIUS May16 Apr17 Mar21 Feb02 Jan01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 3.50    
WITHERING GAZE Jun06 May24 May10 Apr19 Mar29 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 120 12.00    
DROBNY Jun05 Apr24 Mar12 Jan26 Jan05 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
MULTIPLE OPINIONS Jun22 May25 May10 Mar15 Feb28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 10.00 10% 8.60    
10  UNBRIDLED RHYTHM May31 May10 Dec18 Dec07 Nov23 (calvario samuel)BENAVIDES D 124 20.00    
11  HE'S A STRIKER Jun06 May10 Apr19 Mar22 Mar09 (eoff terry)REYES R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-7   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A COED May10 Mar30 Feb23 Jan04 Nov23 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 11% 8.50    
CURLIN'S MAGIC Jun07 Nov29 Nov15 Oct10 Jun23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 4.50 8% 11.50    
WHAT'S CRACKIN Jun21 Jun06 May10 Apr19 Mar21 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50    
TERESA'S NIGHTMARE Sep29 Sep11 Aug22     (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
RAISE THE ALARM Jun21 Jun07 May10 Feb15 Feb01 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MI SONRISA May12 Apr14 Jul12 Jun09   (bravo francisco)DIEGO V 124 20.00 7% 13.00    
CAN'T ZAP THIS May30 May10 Mar23 Mar07 Jan12 (eoff terry)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00    
PERCEPTIVE May31 May16 Apr26 Feb23 Feb02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00    
AGGRO Jun15 May23 Apr26 Mar30 Feb21 (williams matt)JUAREZ J 120 12.00    
10  NOT NOW VICTORIA Apr07 Mar21 Oct13 Jul02 Mar28 (beltran moran)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
 
LS-8   07/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN JACK Jun13 May25 Apr18 Apr04 Feb28 (durham danele)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00    
CLASSIC RICK May24 Apr05 Mar21 Oct24 Sep20 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
DANCE MAN Jun13 May25 May11 May02 Apr18 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD BARON Jun21 Jun13 May24 Mar21 Mar01 (durham danel)FINCHER TANNER 124 30.00    
BIG WAVE JAMES Jun07 May16 Apr17 Jan19 Oct26 (eoff terry)REYES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ACE OF CLUBS May25 Mar22 Dec15 Feb03 Dec16 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
MY ADDICTION Jun13 May17 May10 Apr19 Mar27 (vald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
FASTENED Jun13 May25 May11 Apr17 Mar01 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
EL QUESO GRANDE Mar21 Dec04 Oct24 Sep28 Aug25 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
10  DRINKS AT THE CLUB Jun13 May30 May11 Apr04 Jan25 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
11  SWEET TAPIN MORO Jun21 Jun07 May25 May03 Mar17 (whitton mark)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
SCR  MAMBRINO Jun07 Apr19 Feb16 Jan25   (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00    
 
LS-9   07/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALIST May26 Apr20 Mar22 Mar09 Feb07 (cruz eduardo)RIVERA SANTOS 122 30.00    
INACLASSOFMYOWN May16 Apr19 Feb07 Jan18 Nov22 (asmussen st)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
DOMINANT SPIRIT Jun06 May16 Mar22 Feb22 Jan19 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
GOLD FRONT Jun06 May04 Jan11 Dec06 Nov22 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50    
SCR  UPTONO BUENA May25 May03 Mar28 Nov30 Nov01 (craddock kari)JUAREZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  TREVAGGIO Jun01 May10 Mar28 Jan25 Nov25 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00    
WOW THAT'S HOT Jun06 May04 Apr06 Mar16 Feb07 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 5.00    
COLONEL YORKE Jun06 May24 Apr25 Mar16 Mar01 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
GO GO BOSS Jun22 May04 Mar28 Mar07 Feb15 (hebert matt)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  OLD BOYS CLUB Jun06 May16 May03 Mar07 Feb07 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 12.00    
11  KITTY CODE Jun06 Mar04       (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.