Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/6/3)-(2/6/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/6/3/7)-(6/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-3   WIN (2/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/7)-(6/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/7)-(6/4/3/2)-(9/4/10/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/2)-(9/4/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/2)-(9/4/10/8)-(1/7/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-5   WIN (9/4/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/10/8)-(9/4/10/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/10/8)-(9/4/10/6/8)-(9/4/10/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/10/8)-(1/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/10/8)-(1/7/3/5)-(5/1/3/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/5)-(5/1/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/5)-(5/1/3/6/2)-(7/8/6/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-7   WIN (5/1/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/6/2)-(5/1/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/6/2)-(5/1/3/6/2)-(5/1/3/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/3/6/2)-(7/8/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/6/2)-(7/8/6/1)-(2/4/7/9/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
EMD-8   WIN (7/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/1)-(2/4/7/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EMD-9   WIN (2/4/7/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/9/6)-(2/4/7/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/9/6)-(2/4/7/9/6)-(2/4/7/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEDROCK (GB) May10 Apr19 Feb20 Feb04 Jan14 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Apr23 Apr02 Mar04 Jan25 Jan08 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 1.20 32% 2.20    
ENOS SLAUGHTER Feb22 Jan24 Dec08 Nov24 Nov09 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
VULIN Mar23 Jan26 Dec15 Nov17 Oct19 (greiner gary)HALDAR J 117 15.00    
SHAUN'S JAZZ Apr23 Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Feb16 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 29% 2.40    
WHAT A DUDE May03 Apr02 Mar22 Mar04 Feb12 (hernandez )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50    
 
EMD-2   05/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREATIVE OM Mar22 Mar09 Jun29 Jun08   (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 117 6.00    
CONRAD MEADOWS Sep06 Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 Jun16 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
FRUIT LUTES Jul27 Jul03 May11 Sep03   (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON DANCER Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 Sep17 Aug06 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
LOUIE THE FIRST Sep06 Aug17 Jun29 Sep03   (wright blaine)DURAN F 122 3.00    
SECRET HOTTIE Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 Jun14 May19 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
EMD-3   05/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD DAUGHTER May10 Mar09 Feb23 Jan26 Dec15 (cryderman candice)KRIGGER K 122 6.00    
AUSTIN CITY GIRL May03 Apr16 Mar25 Jan08 Dec27 (rosales jorg)RICHARD RONALD 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
READY TO GIG Apr27 Mar19 Feb14 Jan01 Dec18 (thomas jamey)DURAN F 122 2.50 10% 8.80    
GOLD COAST GIRL May10 Apr16 Mar27 Mar03 Feb19 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50    
LUVAHAPPYENDING Apr16 Mar06 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00    
SPICY RIDE Apr22 Mar20 Feb27 Feb11 Jan18 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 4.00 13% 6.50    
A CROWN FOR KITTEN May10 Mar17 Dec18 Nov16 Oct27 (maravilla jo)HALDAR J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-4   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELBY GOLD Dec18 Nov16 Oct27 Sep08 Aug25 (mccanna tim)DURAN F 122 5.00    
COCKTAIL PRINCESS Apr08 Feb27 Jan29 Jan09 Mar20 (villamar)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 6% 16.50    
PURRFECT MOON May03 Apr16 Mar19 Feb06 Jan24 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 10.00 15% 5.50    
LA POPIS Apr27 Mar17 Feb16 Dec07 Nov30 (puentes jose)COUTON JULIEN 122 4.00 17% 4.70    
BOBBY'S GENIE Nov23 Nov10 Oct27 Sep28 Sep07 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 122 3.00    
CHROME'S BEST COPY Apr27 Feb17 Feb03 Jan16 Dec11 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 34% 2.00    
HOT LAVA CAKE Apr16 Apr03 Dec27 Dec09 Nov21 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50    
 
EMD-5   05/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAWYER'S SPEED Mar22 Dec08 Nov17     (aguila j)AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00    
JUST GOTTA SHINE Mar06 Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 Sep07 (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 20.00    
EMPIRE WARRIOR Apr09 Mar31 Mar17 Mar05 Feb02 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00    
ROCK N TIGER         (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
LOCALLYWORLDFAMOUS Sep01 Aug11       (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
CALMCOOLNCOLLECTED May03 Dec04 Sep01     (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
CHELAN SUMMER         (martinez b)DURAN F 122 15.00    
THATWOULDBEWRONG Apr09         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ADIOS JOJO May03 Sep07       (gibson howar)OROZCO E 122 4.00 51% 1.00    
10  GET DOWN Oct06         (harwood m)MONTALVO C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-6   05/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R BARRACUDA Apr16 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 4.50 38% 1.60    
  (by COLLECTED out of BLASTED BOSS by STREET BOSS)
VERDI Aug25 Aug04       (wenzel tom)COUTON JULIEN 121 5.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of CHAMPAGNEANDCAVIAR by VAN NISTELROOY)
STAR TRAVEL         (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of AMONG THE STARS by AFLEETKNOWSASECRET)
SCR  ARIO Dec29 Dec03 Nov10 Oct15 Sep09 (wright blaine)KRIGGER K 125 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of INFLICTION by STORMY ATLANTIC)
DATT MAN         (thomas jamey)DURAN F 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DATT TOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
WHISKEYTHENWINE Sep01         (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of EL BELL CAMP by MUNNINGS)
G G GILLEY Apr16 Feb25 Feb03 Jan14 Dec08 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SISTER SALLY by BUCKSPLASHER)
SIR DREAMER         (wright blain)HALDAR J 125 6.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of DREAM SAVER by SUPER SAVER)
 
EMD-7   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMANUS Apr27 Nov30 Nov15 Nov01 Oct19 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 4.00 11% 7.90    
THIRSTY THURSDAY Mar17 Feb27 Feb04 Jan14 Dec26 (bullene mich)HALDAR J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HICKORY WIND Jan30 Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Nov11 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
OLD TRIANGLE May10 Mar21 Feb21 Feb10 Jan27 (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
ARTEMUS GORDON Sep21 Aug02 Jul04 Jun14 May11 (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 53% 0.90    
ANNA'S IRON MAN Oct06 Sep22 Sep15 Aug23 Aug10 (morris m)AMADOR RUIZ 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET RIBBON Mar31 Feb04 Jan15 Dec13 Nov24 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 8.00    
MASHHAD FLATS Sep29 Sep23 Aug31 Aug25 Aug10 (crowe shelly)KRIGGER K 122 10.00    
AZURE STAR (IRE) Mar23 Feb17 Dec15 Nov08 Oct19 (de p)CASTILLO E 117 12.00    
10  HOT JOURNEY May03 Mar02 Feb02 Dec13 Nov30 (maravilla jo)OROZCO E 122 8.00    
 
EMD-8   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY BATMAN May10 Apr19 Mar11 Feb12 Dec13 (perez )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMANOFMYSTATURE Apr27 Dec18 Nov29 Nov08 Oct11 (lenzini mic)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
MOUNT PELLIAR Feb15 Jan26 Jan03 Nov08 Oct12 (greiner ga)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
I'M NOBLE Apr28 Apr08 Mar18 Dec30 Dec11 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
FANTASTIC DREAM Apr27 Mar02 Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 120 5.00    
BERT'S PROSPECT Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 Jan21 Nov09 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 6.00 15% 5.50    
LIGHT THE BEAM Mar17 Feb27 Jan04 Dec18 Nov29 (thomas jamey)OROZCO E 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
CLUB MESQUITE Apr28 Apr08 Mar20 Feb25 Jan27 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
EMD-9   05/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3 ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN SENOR DEL ORO Mar24 Feb26 Jan03     (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
DOMINATE Apr27         (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
WILLIAM PORTER Apr27 Jul13       (gibson vince)ALVARADO T 122 15.00    
LUCKY'S SNIPER Apr27 Feb28       (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
FLY BY JOHN May03         (harwood m)MONTALVO C 122 10.00    
LITTLE BOY LUTE         (simkins rosie)GUTIERREZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ARNIE BOY         (bullock )AMADOR RUIZ 122 10.00 6% 16.50    
RED LEADER Aug23         (gibson vin)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
DR TOMMY         (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 122 12.00 6% 16.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.