Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(5/4/6)-(3/6/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/6/7/4)-(7/1/11) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/4)-(7/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/4)-(7/1/11)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/11)-(7/1/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/11)-(7/1/11)-(7/1/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/11)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/11)-(1/2/5)-(2/7/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(9/1/5/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(9/1/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/5)-(9/1/5/3/7)-(9/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-7   WIN (9/1/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/3/7)-(9/1/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/3/7)-(9/1/5/3/7)-(9/1/5/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/5/3/7)-(9/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/3/7)-(9/7/2)-(5/2/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-8   WIN (9/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/2)-(9/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/2)-(9/7/2)-(9/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/7/2)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (5/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIGSAW Apr21 Mar06 Feb09 Sep14 Aug23 (brown r)CAMACHO SAMY 121 20.00    
2  MAC DADDY TOO Apr23 Apr01 Mar19 Feb25 Feb12 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00    
3  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND May10 Apr23 Mar22 Mar06 Jan30 (siculietano )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER May03 Apr12 Mar21 Feb02 Dec06 (barrera s)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
5  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH May27 Apr21 Mar07 Feb02 Jan11 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
6  PERSISTENT DANGER Apr23 Apr12 Mar21 Mar14 Feb23 (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
7  IKIGAI May09 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb23 (hernandez)VARGAS A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOT ROD RUMBLE May03 Apr12 Mar21 Aug04 Jun29 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 6.00    
 
MTH-2   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHESTERTOWN JANE Mar30 Aug11 May25     (perkins jr)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50    
2  AWESOME SUNSHINE May03 Apr12       (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
3  CARA BLANCA Sep14 Aug25       (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
4  SHE BE HOPPIN May02 Apr05       (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  LA DINAMITA Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 Dec27 Nov28 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  EAZY WHIRLED Dec12 Oct26 Sep20 Sep14 Jul21 (spina charles)MOYA F 119 10.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  LA VECCHIA SIGNORA Apr18 Mar29       (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00    
 
MTH-3   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST BE YOU Sep24 Aug19 Jul30     (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
2  TAVIN Apr29 Apr01 Mar17 Feb27 Jan08 (gomez pompeyo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
3  WINKIWINKI Mar30 Feb14 Dec28 Dec06 Oct16 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  CLOUT CHASER Apr16 Mar19 Oct19 Sep04 Jun28 (st ur)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHATTA WORLD Mar14 Feb19 Dec27 Nov16 Oct04 (breen j)BRAVO J 121 3.00    
6  FACTORBELLA May02 Mar30 Feb28 Feb02 Jan12 (wilson tony)LEON SONNY 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  MOSIENKO Mar14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec12 Nov07 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
MTH-4   05/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY DISPOSITION Apr13 Mar26 Mar02 Feb19 Jan29 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MY LITTLE RED Oct31 Oct10 Sep11 May06 Apr02 (flores-coba fe)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
SCR  DESIGNER BAG Apr13 Feb21 Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 5.00    
4  NEZUKO May03 Apr08 Mar04 Feb04 Dec09 (flores-coba)MARTINEZ R 117 20.00    
SCR  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Dec28 Oct21 Sep30 Aug24 Aug04 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 8.00    
6  DIXIE ESCAPE Feb26 Jan24 Nov28 Oct27   (delgado jorg)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00    
7  SHAKREVENGE Apr02 Mar02 Jan26 Jan05 Dec11 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  GULF COAST GIRL Apr27 Apr02 Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 (dini mike)VARGAS A 121 6.00    
SCR  NEON CITY Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 (marquez)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  CLASSICALS FINALE Apr18 Apr12 Mar29 Mar09 Feb28 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00    
11  SECURITYLIGHTNING Apr19 Mar16 Feb09 Jan25 Dec11 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 117 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
MTH-5   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAYERED         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DOTTIE'S SPIRIT by CURLIN)
2  AUTUMN'S TURN Mar05 Jan25 Dec06 Nov20 Nov04 (ramirez rica)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
3  PRINCESS NORMA Apr13 Mar14       (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of SPANISH CONCERT by CONCERTO)
4  SEXPECTATIONS         (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 119 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of EL BANK ROBBER by ELTISH)
5  SWEET DISTRACTION May06 Apr22 Apr02 Mar08 Dec16 (st ur)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
6  BEE BLUFF Mar09 Dec29 Nov30 Oct05 Aug23 (schultz lindsay)BRAVO J 119 3.50 ★    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
7  LIAM'S LUCKY LADY Apr10         (margotta anthony )CARRERO V 119 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
8  AURORALINNA         (synnefias dim)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLEMENCY by LIL E. TEE)
 
MTH-6   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J WILLARD Dec18 Nov13 Oct11 Sep07 Aug25 (simon linda)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
2  SADIE BABY Mar28 Feb23 Jan12 Dec24 Sep27 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Feb23 Dec18 Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 (einhorn)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
4  MILDOON Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Aug09 Jul06 (huston k)LEON SONNY 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
5  A COZY THING Dec13 Aug14 Jul21 Jul04   (einhorn k)VARGAS A 115 8.00 6% 17.10    
6  LOOKINGFORTREASURE Apr14 Mar18 Mar03 Sep21 Dec14 (gomez pompeyo)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
7  SUMMER FLOWER Apr13 Dec04 Nov02 Sep27 Aug25 (dini mike)BRAVO J 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
8  EATONTOWN GIRL Sep14 Aug25 Jul06 Jun16 May18 (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Apr24 Oct12 Sep27 Aug25 Jul28 (clark a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
SCR  I CAN RUN Dec08 Nov30 Oct20 Sep01 Aug25 (gonzalez a)BRAVO J 120 4.00    
 
MTH-7   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Spruce Fir Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEL PENSIERO Mar22 Feb23 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 (margotta antho)MOYA F 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
2  TE AMO Sep27 Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 Jun28 (keithan racha)JARA FERNANDO 115 30.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TE ATATU by BANKER'S GOLD)
3  SUMMER'S COMIN Apr12 Dec04 Nov23 Oct12 Sep15 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of EMIRATES GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  LASSIE'S NOTION Jun30 Jun02 Feb10 Jan06 Dec16 (martin ra)VARGAS A 117 20.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of DAYLIGHT LASSIE by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
5  RIDING PRETTY Mar13 Feb15 Jan18 Aug25 Jul06 (owens jr)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 8% 12.10    
  (by JACK MILTON out of HIGH RENAISSANCE by GIROLAMO)
6  KATE'S CUBAN KISS Sep14 Aug25 Jul05 Jun01 May18 (krebs steven)CAMACHO SAMY 116 15.00    
  (by CUBA out of KATE'S COZY KISS by COZY DELL)
7  D' TIGER LILY Apr30 Apr11 Sep14 Aug25 Jul20 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
8  BINGO'S BIRKIN Sep15 Jul19 Jun08 Jul21 Jun30 (sanchez jose)BATISTA A 117 4.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of FUTURE STORY by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  MIA'S CRUSADE Sep15 Jul26 Jul06 Jun02 May18 (spina charle)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MINI MONEIGH by MO MON)
 
MTH-8   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CEEPEEGEE May01 Apr06 Mar08 Feb17 Jan03 (ward dan)LEON SONNY 124 4.50    
2  JOHN JAY Apr27 Mar12 Aug16 Jul20 Jun30 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLOUDY Oct19 Aug22 Jul27 Jul04 May17 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
4  GINS AND TINS Oct22 Sep14 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50    
SCR  OHANA EMPIRE Oct18 Oct04 Sep28 Aug25 Jun29 (frangella )MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 20.00    
SCR  VAMOS VIEJO Mar22 Feb02 Dec08 Oct19 Sep11 (breen j)BRAVO J 121 2.50    
7  AWESOME RUTA Apr25 Aug11 Jul05 Jun05 Apr20 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00 14% 6.40    
8  FLYING LIAM Apr19 Mar27 Feb15 Jan12 Dec20 (margotta antho)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00    
9  RIVER DOG May10 Jan10 Oct15 Sep21 Aug18 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
10  HUSHION Apr15 Mar29 Oct05 Sep15 Sep02 (king clare)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 15.00    
SCR  BOUNCER Mar29 Jan26 Dec06 Nov02 Oct10 (ness jamie)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50    
 
MTH-9   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCA GUY Aug15 Jul26 Jun28 May25 Apr19 (alvarado dia)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Apr30 Apr05 Mar21 Feb21 Jan08 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  PAPA FUNNY Mar07 Dec11 Nov01 Sep21 Jul25 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 6.00    
4  KNOX Mar14 Feb13 Jan15 Dec13 Oct11 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 121 4.00    
5  GUN RIGHT Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 Jan19 Jan04 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 8.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  DARVESH Apr15 Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 (perez r)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
7  IMMENSE FAITH Apr27 Apr12 Mar12 Mar01 Feb09 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.50 12% 7.20    
8  MIDNIGHT ONYX Apr13 Mar29 Mar19 Mar02 Feb15 (ramirez rica)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.50    
9  GET LIKE MIKE Apr25 Apr11 Mar29 Feb25 Feb10 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.