Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - May 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/4/3)-(5/3/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/3/2)-(6/1/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/3/2)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(6/1/4)-(1/6/5/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/5/2/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/6/5/2)-(1/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/2)-(1/5/2/7)-(2/3/8/6) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (1/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/5/2/7)-(2/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (2/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARZANNI Oct20 Oct06 Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 121 7.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARY WHO Sep24 Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 (cole terry)PARRIS SACHIN 111 3.00    
SEBADAS Sep24 Sep16 Aug27 Jul02 Jun17 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
BLUE TANGO (GB) Oct26 Oct13 Sep23 Sep16 Aug27 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 121 5.00    
FLINTLOCK Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Dec12 Nov23 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 117 1.80    
 
ASD-2   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPOLOGIST Jul16         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of CORONETTE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SHOCKING MALICE Mar28         (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.60    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SHOCKING FAST by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SWISS LAKER BOY Apr15 Mar19 Feb26 Jan22 Dec06 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of SWISS LAKE YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
GO FER Sep17 Sep03 Aug21     (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DELIZIA by DISTANT VIEW)
RED ROAD RUNNER Sep18 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16   (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SPELLS AND CHARMS by SCAT DADDY)
 
ASD-3   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAGON DREW Apr17 Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 Feb23 (gardipy jr)PRUITT CIERA 112 3.00    
JAMMING EDDY Apr05 Mar08 Feb22 Dec07 Nov06 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
VENTI Sep18 Sep09 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
BLACKTECA Dec15 Nov16 Oct27 Oct18 Sep06 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.80    
FOUR ACES HIGH Nov01 Oct15 Sep24 Sep10 Sep02 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
ASD-4   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURING ALI May03 Oct27 Oct12 Sep13 Aug10 (anderson gonz)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00 25% 3.00    
CUMBERLAND FALLS Mar27 Mar13 Feb12 Dec20 Nov27 (gardipy tom )PAYNE DIBAGGIO 111 1.20    
ISLAND HIGH Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May27 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 7.00    
GINAS SERENADE Apr19 Apr04       (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 8.00 24% 3.20    
SNEAKY SITUATION Oct27 Oct12 Sep29 Sep03 Aug14 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 6.00    
BOUND FOR HEAVEN Sep17 Aug28 Aug14     (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 117 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
ASD-5   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
JUST A POSE Sep11 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jul09 (pruitt lise)BENNETT MATHEW 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
DAISYSADOOZY Sep24 Sep11 Sep02 Aug21 Aug12 (gittens de)WORRELL JEREMIAH 113 6.00    
ANNAKHOZANA Sep03 Aug21 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 123 15.00    
MAIBELLA Sep23 Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 Aug06 (stanford maria)HEWITT ROGER 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
DIANE'S WISH Sep11 Sep02 Jul23 Jul09 Jun19 (mustard carm)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
OFFLEY SPECIAL Sep18 Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 5.00    
 
ASD-6   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSWHATHESAID         (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by KLIMT out of ARCHERS POST by SMART STRIKE)
AWESOME WILDCAT Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Jan24 Jan06 (laing )LEWIS ANTHONY 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of SMARTY B by SMARTY JONES)
SUPER SHAMAN Nov21 Oct25 Sep21 Aug10 Jul27 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 109 10.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of COPELAN COUNTY by GIBSON COUNTY)
TREE HUGGER Sep23 Aug27 Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FAITH IN ME by MR. GREELEY)
ART NOUVEAU Apr05 Mar16 Feb21 Oct10 Sep23 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 119 1.80 23% 3.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MODERN MASTERPIECE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
WAITINBYTHENILE Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec26   (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 4.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of THEONEWEWAITEDFOR by CREATIVE CAUSE)
ZIBIBBO Sep24 Sep03 Aug21 Aug01 Jul11 (anderson car)PAYNE DIBAGGIO 113 7.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of COLORINO by INCLUDE)
 
ASD-7   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LOT OF VERVE Apr02 Mar18 Feb20 Jan21 Jan13 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 7.00    
NO SHOW NO CALL Sep24 Sep16 Aug13 Aug05 Jul22 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
TOTALIZER Aug20 Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 Jun03 (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
FREEZE 'EM Mar18 Jan29 Jan15 Dec26 Jul13 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00    
QUINTO SOL Sep06 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 (anderson gonz)CUMBERBATCH R 122 12.00    
CORREDOR Apr18 Mar08 Feb20 Jan31 Jan17 (keplin steve )BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
LIFES ADVENTURE Nov03 Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 Aug06 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 112 15.00    
SLEW'S BAK Jan09 Dec17 Nov18 Sep24 Aug05 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 3.50 6% 14.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.