Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - May 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (1/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/6/3)-(2/4/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/3)-(4/5/1/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/8/4)-(9/6/5) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-7   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(9/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-8   WIN (9/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/5)-(9/6/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (9/6/5)-(9/6/5/8)-(9/6/5/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   05/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEO AND ROYAL Apr27 Mar01 Feb04 Jan17 Dec07 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 1.00 34% 2.00    
CAROM Dec02 Oct20 Sep18 Sep09 Aug20 (langley c)WHITACRE B 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
CHOPPED Dec03 Nov19 Nov06 Oct14 Oct01 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKE THE TOP Sep23 Jul07 Jun26 Jun10 Jun02 (poole jami )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 4.50    
RY'S REVENGE Feb08 Jan15 Nov17 Oct06 Jul24 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
HARD ASTRAY Mar22 Mar06 Feb06 Jan16 Oct29 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 120 5.00 8% 11.00    
DYRDEK Apr27 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Dec10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 10.00    
 
MNR-2   05/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOV LANE Apr22 Dec01 Oct28 Oct14 Sep22 (demczyk virgi)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
VINTAGE SPARKLE Apr20 Nov18 Nov04 Oct23 Oct09 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
KAIYAS SONG Mar30 Nov11 Oct14 Oct05 Sep08 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
AGENDA Dec11 Nov17 Nov05 Oct02 Sep09 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
DEL REY DOLLY Apr02 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 Dec09 (jones e)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.50 13% 6.60    
DEVRA WARRIOR Apr27 Apr07 Mar30 Mar19 Mar06 (suarez javie)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50    
MYRA FLEENER Apr28 Nov19 Oct13 Sep30 Sep22 (lopez e)TAPARA LUIS 120 15.00    
 
MNR-3   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTO TOURING Apr28 Feb28 Jan30 Jan03 Nov17 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00    
CRAFTY GAL Apr27 Apr20 Feb27 Feb15 Jan16 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.40 57% 0.70    
SHES HOT TO TROT Apr21 Mar19 Mar05 Jan09 Dec27 (robillard julie)TAPARA LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYING FOR TWO Apr10 Mar06 Jan30 Jan04 Dec13 (shanley timothy)NEGRON LUIS 120 1.60 19% 4.40    
MS GLORIA JEAN Apr28 Feb21 Jan09 Nov20 Oct02 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
KISS ME ON OCONEE Apr28 Dec02 Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 15.00    
 
MNR-4   05/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEYSLOT Apr28 Dec03 Nov17 Oct30 Oct21 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 14% 6.30    
  (by MASTERY out of TIMESLOT by FIRST DEFENCE)
RAVEN'S HONOR May04 Apr11 Mar18 Mar06 Feb05 (holton a)DIAZ R 123 30.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
CHRISTINA OF MILAN Apr20 Feb26 Feb07 Jan15 Dec11 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 116 30.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of AGUSTINA DE ARAGON by POLITICAL FORCE)
SURF HAPPY Mar18 Jul30 Jul03 Jun09 Apr26 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SURPLUS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE Mar27 Mar01 Feb07 Jan18 Jan10 (jones )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CURLIN out of NAKANO TAKEKO by FIRST SAMURAI)
SO MUCH JAZZ Apr28 Mar16 Feb26 Sep05 Aug03 (cordero-lopez a)TAPARA LUIS 116 15.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of URSOKY by OXBOW)
MAYBE SARDONIC Apr28 Nov17 Nov03 Oct08 Sep17 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
SECRET SOUL Apr24 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug23 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 116 15.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of CLASSIC SOUL by PERFECT SOUL)
SCR  MIT MONKEY Mar14 Jan19 Dec21 Nov17 Jul30 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
 
MNR-5   05/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGSTON TIME May04 Apr20 Jan28 Dec19 Nov11 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
BEA MISCHIEF May03 Apr08 Mar06 Feb25 Feb06 (silva l)NEGRON LUIS 123 0.40 60% 0.70    
LITTLE FIRE May05 Dec01 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  LUPITA May06 Apr02 Mar26 Feb26 Jan21 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 123 20.00    
TESTED POSITIVE Apr29 Mar14 Mar01 Feb06 Dec19 (morzan e)YARANGA Y 123 15.00    
SUGAR BRITCHES May04 Apr20 Dec03 Nov04 Oct22 (witherow wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-6   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEISTHEHERO Apr28 Apr08 Mar27 Mar05 Feb10 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
FLAG WOMAN Apr27 Feb23 Feb10 Jan13 Oct21 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
WATERWORKS Nov27 Nov04 Oct22 Sep29 Sep02 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
GRACELEADSUSHOME Feb01 Jan04 Nov28 Oct06 Aug11 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
SCR  PALMARY Apr27 Apr02 Feb03 Jan25 Dec26 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
LARIMAR Apr27 Apr01 Mar17 Feb26 Nov06 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40 36% 1.80    
HONEY BELLA Apr28 Apr01 Mar05 Feb10 Feb03 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50    
 
MNR-7   05/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY CHICKEN Nov13 Sep22 Sep04 Aug04 Jul23 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
ROAD TO STARDOM Apr28 Jan30 Jan16 Dec28 Dec01 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  SMASH Apr11 Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 Feb11 (lopez e)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
FLORIDA GATOR Apr28 Apr08 Mar28 Oct13 Sep21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ SPEEDY Apr28 Apr12 Mar24 Mar11 Mar01 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00    
SCR  SKIPPERINI Apr18 Mar29 Jan01 Nov29 Sep21 (clouston ed)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 6.00    
SCR  ROSE'S PEPINO Jan27 Jan08 Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
AFJAN Oct08 Sep25 Sep16 Sep04 Aug12 (silva l)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS Apr28 Apr20 Nov25 Sep05 Aug08 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 120 8.00    
 
MNR-8   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD DILEMMA Apr28 Mar20 Feb06 Nov19 Nov12 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Apr28 Dec09 Nov26 Oct02 Sep23 (logston christ)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
FREE FROM GUILT Apr28 Apr22 Feb28 Feb06 Jan23 (inman robert)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 6.00    
SCR  NECCO Oct16 Sep10 Aug18 Aug07 Jul03 (murtough step)TOLEDO S 120 30.00    
BIG WAY Apr28 Nov25 Oct29 Oct23 Oct16 (silva jose )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 5.00 9% 10.10    
BAMBY BOOM Mar22 Feb06 Jan23 Nov06 Oct02 (cambray and)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 4.00 17% 4.80    
GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Apr22 Feb06 Jan25 Jan07 Dec19 (kocijan marcus)TAPARA LUIS 120 4.50    
SUGAR LIPS Apr24 Dec08 Nov04 Sep24 Aug18 (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00    
TWICE SHY Apr22 Apr12 Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.