Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - May 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/2)-(5/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/2)-(3/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2)-(3/2/6/8)-(8/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/8)-(3/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/8)-(3/2/6/8)-(3/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/8)-(8/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/8)-(8/6/5/1)-(5/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (8/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/1)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/1)-(5/4/7)-(1/5/2/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-4   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(1/5/2/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(1/5/2/7/6)-(3/2/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-5   WIN (1/5/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7/6)-(1/5/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7/6)-(1/5/2/7/6)-(1/5/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/2/7/6)-(3/2/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/7/6)-(3/2/4/1)-(4/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-6   WIN (3/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/1)-(4/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/1)-(4/8/10)-(1/4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-7   WIN (4/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/10)-(4/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/10)-(4/8/10)-(4/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/10)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/10)-(1/4/5/6)-(2/3/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-8   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(2/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY CAUSE Apr10 Feb22 Jan17 Jan05 Dec04 (litfin veron)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SAME PLAY Apr30 Mar22 Feb22 Feb01 Jan09 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 10.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  CHANNELFORTYNINE Apr05 Feb20 Jan31 Jan04 Dec13 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 124 20.00    
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Apr19 Mar18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 (sanchez c)ARANA KELVIN 115 8.00    
AGATINO (IRE) Mar23 Mar12 Jan01 Dec07 Oct14 (peterson je)EBOW III 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  DROBNY Apr24 Mar12 Jan26 Jan05 Jul05 (ramirez-r)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50    
REGATTA BAY Apr26 Mar21 Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 (broussard j)MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00    
CYPRESS GOLD Apr24 Mar20 Feb23 Jan02 Dec21 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  SINGLE SHOT Mar20 Jan02 Dec14 Nov23 Aug22 (terre david)VARGAS P 117 6.00    
SCR  PICASSO BABY Sep24 Sep09 Aug26     (west patricia)LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN ICON Apr04 Mar08 Jun23 Jun02 May10 (govea cesar)PEREZ CARLOS 115 15.00    
SCR  ASAASY Mar26 Feb21 Jan19 Dec06 Nov29 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 124 15.00    
SCR  PUBLIUS Dec19 Oct07 Aug26 Aug10 Jan18 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00    
 
EVD-2   05/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY'S GRACE Feb21 Jan25 Dec16 Nov29 Oct26 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 6.00    
SHARPER GAL Apr24 Mar08 Feb28 Jan31 Jan01 (richards coral)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
SNOW FLURRY Apr11 Feb06 Jan17 Dec19 Nov09 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 124 4.50 37% 1.70    
STOP SHOP N DROP Apr18 Mar13 Dec21 Nov08 Oct28 (castille ricke)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
APRIORITY MAGIC Feb14 Jan25 Jan08 Jun29 May26 (segura kea)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00    
CHATTANOOGA CREW Apr26 Apr09 Mar19 Feb08 Jan19 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Jan12 Dec28 Dec16 Oct26 Aug24 (sanchez c)THORNTON G 124 10.00    
REAL DEAL RYAN Apr30 Apr11 Mar13 Feb23 Jan27 (cormier cardel)PEREZ CARLOS 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANSLIE'S GUMDROP Apr11 Mar13 Feb23 Dec19 Aug10 (schwandt em)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00    
 
EVD-3   05/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Apr16 Feb20 Feb01 Jan17 Jan04 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
CZAR'S BALLERINA Apr18 Mar20 Feb21 Feb01 Dec18 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  CAPELLA RED Apr16 Feb27 Feb13 Oct19 Sep16 (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
MS. CAJUN QUEEN Apr16 Jan09 Aug26 Aug17 Jul16 (delany sara)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 4.00    
PULPIT'S DREAM Apr26 Nov26 Oct30 Oct10 Aug16 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 117 12.00 17% 5.00    
PIP SQUEEK Apr05 Mar23 Mar03 Feb06 Jan25 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
AKIANE'S SOLDIER Apr26 Dec20 Nov26 Nov13 Oct26 (boxie s)CHAVEZ ORIEL 119 20.00    
ROSIE'S ANGUS Apr10 Sep16 Aug17 Aug03 Jun07 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SUNNY SAN LEON Mar02 Jan19 Nov26 Oct11 Jan20 (gelner ja)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
 
EVD-4   05/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMBRACE MY HEART Jan25         (bernard john)EDISON JOCELYN 116 15.00    
PUCKSTER Apr19 Mar12 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 (courville rick)THORNTON G 124 3.50    
LA BOUCANE Apr10 Mar12 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00    
SOUL SNATCHER Mar15 Dec05 Nov04 Oct23 Oct03 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
ROYCES RIDE Apr19 Feb12 Jan26 Jan02   (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
HWY TWENTY RIDE Apr04 Mar16 Feb16 Jan25 Dec26 (courville )RAMIREZ JR 116 1.60    
SAILOR SLEW         (rubin dona)ALBERT S 118 12.00 14% 6.10    
 
EVD-5   05/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEE JEE Apr19 Mar18 Mar04 Jan10 Aug17 (david b)THORNTON G 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
KOODIE Apr12 Mar09 Feb22 Dec19 Nov09 (melancon donal)FLORIAN JOSE 116 6.00 7% 13.70    
MOON TRIP Apr19 Jan17 Dec18 Nov21 Nov06 (charles jo)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
KATS PICK Apr24 Apr05 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00    
ITS WILD AGAIN Mar14 Feb21 Jan17 Jan04 Dec07 (peterson j)ALBERT S 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
MUNCLE Apr24 Apr10 Feb15 Jan29 Jan18 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
WATCH THE COAST Apr10 Feb20 Feb05 Dec11 Nov30 (ramirez eduar)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00 6% 15.00    
MINE YOUR BIZ Mar14 Dec07 Sep24 Aug27 Jul27 (peterson jessi)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00    
ZIPPY TOGA Feb15 Jan02 Nov30 Nov21 Oct16 (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 12.00    
SCR  MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT Apr12 Feb15 Feb05 Jan15 Jan18 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 119 20.00    
 
EVD-6   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T D Z ZODIAC QUEEN Feb07 Dec29 Dec14     (eschete nason)PEREZ CARLOS 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEAL WITH IT Apr09 Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec06 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
GIRL FROM DE BAYOU Feb15 Jan10 Nov29 Nov13 May22 (roberts roy)MELANCON JANSEN 124 1.40 43% 1.40    
TEXLA         (pomier chase)BARRERA J 121 8.00 5% 18.50    
PLATINUMUS MAXIMUS Apr09 Feb22 Feb01 Dec19 Dec06 (castille carr)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
SPICY MUSTARD Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Jan10 Dec18 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 124 3.00    
RANOLOGIST Nov22         (segura kea)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00    
 
EVD-7   05/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GORILLA TREK Apr17 Mar18 Mar07 Feb17 Jan27 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
RED ROAD Apr23 Mar14 Jan17 Dec27 Nov28 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  BADDA BING (FR) Apr17 Jun13       (wong jonatha)BARRERA J 122 2.50    
Z Z'S PRINCE Mar12 Feb17 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 (zeringue j)VARGAS P 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  SABI Apr17 Mar18 Feb14 Dec19 Oct16 (schwandt emile)THORNTON G 122 3.00    
SOUTH SIDE Apr17 Mar12 Feb21 Jan17 Dec14 (bourgeois )RAMIREZ JR 117 15.00    
SCR  DEN'S GOOD GRACE Jan31 Nov15 Oct29 Jul05 Jun22 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 20.00    
PLAY MO Mar01 Dec27 Nov27 Oct11 Aug01 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 32% 2.10    
ORDER UP Apr12 Mar20 Mar06 Jan26 Jan05 (sanchez jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
10  MR. FAVERSHAM Apr16 Mar13 Feb13 Jan29 Jan17 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CITY PARK May01 Apr16 Mar21 Feb15 Jan10 (larrosa a)POMPELL L 119 10.00    
SCR  SEVEN CHANNELS Apr17 Mar23 Mar12 Feb17 Feb01 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
 
EVD-8   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERTIE'S GALAXY Feb27 Feb01 Nov22 Jun01 Apr20 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
SOUNDS LIKE POWER Apr12 Mar04 May17 Apr26 Apr10 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 124 3.00    
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Apr12 Feb13 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 124 3.50    
F T W SLAM Mar23 Feb22 Jan25 Jan03 Nov24 (jeansonne ju)MAGNON H 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
LAURI'S WISH Apr10 Feb13 Jan11 Dec28 Nov23 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 7% 13.90    
GUITAR DOCTOR Apr10 Feb21 Feb01 Jan15 Dec11 (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BLACK SWORD Apr12 Mar23 Feb17 Feb01 Jan18 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
 
EVD-9   05/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMCHASER JEWELS Apr26 Apr12 Mar19 Feb22 Jan25 (castille rick)VARGAS P 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S BEEN REAL Apr19 Mar23 Feb17     (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
WON BRIGHT LIGHT Apr17 Jan31 Jan15     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
PRODUCTION MEETING Apr26 Apr10 Mar20     (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 121 3.50    
DAY STORM Apr19 Apr10 Feb15 Jan28 Jan10 (escobar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
SACRED VOW Mar18 Jul25 Jun15 May04   (ramsey daryl)SMITH R 120 20.00    
LUCKY JUAN         (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 8.00 19% 4.30    
SHOW RESPECT (IRE) Feb19 Jan28 Jan10 Nov30   (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.