Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - May 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/5/4)-(1/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/6/4)-(3/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/4/5)-(2/1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(2/1/7/6)-(5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/6)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/6)-(5/3/1)-(2/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/01/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLAS Mar27 Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 Dec07 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  SEQUAYA Apr13 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 (rosas rig)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANNIE'S HOPE Apr13 Mar21 Feb27 Nov03 Sep27 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 1.80 30% 2.40    
4  CATHOLIC SUE Feb28 Feb07 Jan29 Jan17 Dec12 (simonovich daniel)MOJICA O 122 2.00    
5  TWO TIMER Apr10 Mar03 Oct30 Oct02 Sep10 (tracy tanner)HERNANDEZ K 116 3.50    
 
HAW-2   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Mar27 Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
2  JET FLIGHT Apr20 Sep08 Jul28 Jul18 Jun30 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 6.00    
3  ALYANAABI Mar27 Sep22 Aug29 Aug08 Jul28 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
4  VANISKY Feb28 Feb14 Feb03 Jan03 Dec13 (simonovic)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Apr13 Mar01 Feb08 Jan24 Dec27 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00 11% 8.10    
6  FIRST MASAMUNE Aug29 Jul18 Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00    
 
HAW-3   05/01/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND ILLUSION Apr17 Dec11 Oct09 Aug06   (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 1.80 70% 0.40    
2  DAPPER DUDE Apr17 Mar23 Feb22 Feb01 Dec07 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00    
SCR  PURPLE OCTOPUS Apr10 Apr03 Jun16 May04 Apr21 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
4  TIE BREAKER LENNIE Apr17 Mar30 Mar05 Feb21 Jan24 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MINIMO Apr10 Mar27 Mar10 Dec13 Dec01 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00    
6  MOVE IN SILENCE Apr17 Oct24 Oct15 Sep29 Jul06 (lynch har)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN NOTE Mar30 Feb15 Jan30 Jan16 Nov14 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.00    
2  ENTICING OPTION Apr10 Mar30 Jan17 Dec21 Oct03 (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 5.00    
3  SAFECRACKER SUE Mar07 Feb15 Feb07 Jan30 Jan02 (simonovich daniel)MOJICA O 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  PURE HICKORY Jan16 Dec20 Oct03     (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  HARPER BRIANA Apr22 Oct29 Oct01 Sep21 Aug27 (zawitz jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  WAHIDA OF MARDAN Apr17 Apr03 Oct29 Oct15 Oct06 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 4.50    
 
HAW-5   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MUSIC (CHI) Nov13 Oct10 Sep15 Aug29   (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 116 4.00 15% 5.60    
2  VEGAS CONDO Apr06 Feb17 Nov08 Mar16 Feb18 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  SECRET OPERATION Apr10 Dec03 Nov13 Oct03 Sep19 (slager mike)FELIX E 124 10.00    
4  CALL'EM ALL Oct03 Sep21 Sep02 Aug10 Jul27 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50    
5  LADY HELENA Apr10 Mar30 Feb27 Jan01 Oct19 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00    
6  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Dec27 Sep05 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  EMPIRICAL VIEW Jun16 May30 Oct18 Sep02 Aug04 (divito p)MOJICA O 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
HAW-6   05/01/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEARS' D Dec04 Oct30 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 (miller da)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY LAST ESCAPADE Apr13 Mar27 Feb05 Jan16 Nov13 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 124 3.00    
3  RAMESSES Apr06 Mar27 Feb13 Jan23 Dec11 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  CUTLASS KING Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Oct27 Oct03 (lynch harry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50    
5  RAGNOW Apr13 Mar27 Feb21 Feb01 Jan11 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  ROYAL AND READY Apr10 Oct10 Sep08     (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 118 15.00    
SCR  SNEAKY FEET Apr10 Nov20 Nov02 Oct20 Oct10 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 118 12.00    
 
HAW-7   05/01/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTEROS Apr13 Mar27 Mar02 Feb15 Jan18 (candelas blan)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
2  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Apr13 Mar08 Feb01 Dec28 Dec15 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  INDY CHARGES ON Apr10 Feb14 Dec20     (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 3.00 14% 6.00    
4  BOONE'S PATH Mar14 Feb21 Dec21 May12 Sep11 (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00    
5  SHARP STICK Apr10 Oct13 Sep26 Sep08 Aug11 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
6  BREAKOUT STAR Apr13 Mar27 Mar11 Jan25 Dec11 (wilson sh)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUNAWAY CHARLIE Apr13 Mar01 Dec08 Oct06 Sep07 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
8  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Oct19 Sep26 Sep01 Jul18 Jun30 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.