Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - April 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(3/5/2)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(1/6/5)-(2/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(2/6/3)-(4/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(4/3/5)-(5/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/6/3)-(6/2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(6/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(6/2/7/3)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/3)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARRIVEDERCCI Apr03 Jul11       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by GOOD BYE GREG out of CASE CRACKER by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
TRINITY'S PRIZE         (block chri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
KISSES FOR WEEJ Oct14 Sep30       (vanden britt)FELIX E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MARY JEANS WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
DISGUISED DEVIL Apr03         (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 113 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NORA IN THE SKY by SKY MESA)
KELLY'S GIRL Sep08         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of CITY CANDY by CANDY RIDE)
 
HAW-2   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC POWER Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug13 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00    
CHI TOWN HUSTLER Mar06 Feb16 Jan26 Jan03 Dec26 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 6% 15.50    
WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Apr03 Feb07 Dec05 Sep22 Sep01 (dizeo din)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
COALMINER'S KITTEN Apr03 Nov02 Jun30 Jun08 May24 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Oct19 Oct05 Aug25 Jul30 Jul14 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
SUPREMELY Apr03 Mar06 Feb16 Jan30 Dec28 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 2.50    
 
HAW-3   04/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINDAWAY Mar21 Feb13 Dec08 Sep26 Sep14 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 1.40 64% 0.60    
CHAMPAGNE MIKE Apr17 Apr03 Feb13 Jan30 Dec28 (rosas rig)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
SCR  THE RIDGE Aug08 Jul14 May09 Apr27 Apr07 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
ANCIENT MAN Apr17 Apr03 Mar27 Nov18 Nov02 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 5.00    
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Apr03 Mar27 Dec04 Nov12 Oct26 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 6% 16.90    
CUPID'S WAR Apr03 Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 Jan17 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.00 8% 11.60    
 
HAW-4   04/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Apr10 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug18 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 8.00    
VALIANT WEST Mar30 Mar16 Mar02 Aug29 Aug11 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
SKALKAHO Feb07 Jan17 Dec20 Dec07 Sep26 (tracy tanner)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
PAPA'S NICO BOY Apr10 Dec08 Nov14 Nov07 Oct03 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 6.00    
BIGFOOT SIGHTING Apr06 Mar30 Feb14 Jan26 Dec29 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 118 2.50    
T LAW Oct06 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
 
HAW-5   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANAGING MISCHIEF Apr19 Mar03 Feb01 Dec27 Oct12 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
FRANKEL BABY Aug11 Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 Apr27 (vanden berg)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50    
SALLY'S SUPRISE Apr16 Feb22 Jan04 Dec12 Oct19 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
BEEHIVE Oct03 Sep08 Aug18 Aug01 Jun22 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 68% 0.50    
YAMILE'S Dec19 Nov14 Sep25 Sep07 Aug15 (miller m)MOJICA O 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
DEVIL Oct03 Sep12 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 4.00    
 
HAW-6   04/24/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCALINA Dec18 Nov06 Sep25 Sep12   (miller dav)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of COPPER BEAUTY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
DRAMA SPEAKER Dec11 Sep26       (miller da)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 5.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MS ELEGANCE by BIG DRAMA)
UNKEPT PROMISES Apr06 Mar21       (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CHEERS DARLING by CUVEE)
SCR  GOUVERNATRICE Mar30 Feb16 Jan03 Dec06   (lopez eli)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 113 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of LEFT A MESSAGE by MR. GREELEY)
CHEVAL B Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 Jan31 Jan09 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MS SILVER OAK by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
ROSE'S WISH Apr13 Mar12 Feb05 Jan16 Dec05 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
ROMANAYA Mar22 Nov30       (gutierrez faust)REYES FRANK 118 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CHAMPAGNE TRAIN by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
HAW-7   04/24/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET HOTSHOT Apr06 Mar06 Feb02 Jan10 Oct19 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50    
DANVILLE Apr06 Mar30 Mar03 Jan27 Dec18 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
TWO COOKIE RULE Apr06 Jan27 Jan07 Dec02 Nov06 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Apr13 Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 Sep05 (campbell )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
FLYING SAMURAI Apr13 Apr03 Nov12 Oct26 Oct10 (ryan chri)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 15.00    
TEMPER TANTRUM Mar12 Feb06 Jan02 Nov24 Oct10 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
STINGY Mar06 Feb08 Oct16 Sep12 Jul18 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
HAW-8   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACEDAY ATTIRE Apr03 Dec08 Nov05 Oct20 Sep22 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
DIAMONDS JOY Apr06 Feb20 Jan26 Dec28 Dec16 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 2.50    
KIKI KRAZY Apr03 Mar01 Jan20 Dec04 Oct26 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
SAMARITA Jan02 Oct09 Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00 31% 2.30    
LONG TALL WOMAN Oct12 Sep24 Sep07 Aug18 Oct10 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
LILY'S CREED Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 8.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  HIGHWOOD Sep22 Aug31 Jul25 Jun02 May17 (tracy tan)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.