Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (8/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/2)-(1/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/2)-(1/7/4/3)-(7/2/9/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/3)-(7/2/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/3)-(7/2/9/4)-(4/5/8/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/4)-(7/2/3/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/4)-(7/2/3/9/4)-(7/2/3/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/9/4)-(4/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9/4)-(4/5/8/7)-(7/6/3/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/7)-(4/5/8/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/7)-(4/5/8/3/7)-(4/5/8/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/8/7)-(7/6/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/7)-(7/6/3/9)-(1/7/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/9)-(7/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/9)-(7/6/3/9)-(7/6/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/9)-(1/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/9)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/6/5/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/7/6/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5/10)-(1/7/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5/10)-(1/7/6/5/10)-(1/7/6/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   04/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C'MON LETS SWITCH Mar25 Feb26 Feb13 Jan23 Sep22 (lucas rob)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
DIXIE BLAZE Sep29 Sep14 Aug02 Jul07 Jun22 (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHARMZ Mar24 Mar12       (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  TIANMA Apr03 Mar10 Feb28 Oct31 Sep28 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
RIVERSIDE ROSE Feb17 Jul07 Jun08     (perez s)CRUZ M 118 5.00    
CURLIN'S LIL GAL Feb17 Jan21 Dec17 Nov12 Aug24 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 32% 2.20    
SENT BY ANGELS Apr02 Feb26 Jan24 Jan02 Dec03 (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
MOONLIGHT TRYST Mar24 Feb21 Jan16 Dec14 Aug02 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TUP-4   04/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH GUNNER Feb25 Jan25 Dec28 Jun01 May01 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
MEASUREOFDEVOTION Mar20 Feb25 Jan22 Dec11 Oct16 (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00    
EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Apr01 Mar19 Feb25 Jan27 Dec27 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
IN THE VAULT Mar27 Feb27 Jan25 Dec28 Dec09 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCATALICIOUS Feb13 Jan07 Dec04 Nov18 Aug30 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
PRINCESS K Mar18 Feb06 Jan06 Dec19 Apr10 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
RAVEN'S QUEST Feb26 Jan24 Dec30 Feb10 Jan14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
 
TUP-5   04/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASPIRATIONAL Mar31 Mar18 Feb25 Apr21 Feb16 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
SPICY RIDE Mar20 Feb27 Feb11 Jan18 Jun02 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
SOLID TUNE Mar31 Mar15 Jan17 Jan01 Nov17 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
LUNAR UNIT Mar03 Feb10 Dec23 Dec05 Nov14 (vitali j)KRIGGER K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DELUSIONAL DREAM Mar12 Feb24 Feb10 Jan14 Dec05 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 6.00    
CHAMAVILLE Mar17 Feb14 Jan20 May31 May03 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00    
LUSMA Mar31 Mar11 Feb17 Jan24 Dec13 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA F 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
DADDY'S GIRL Mar18 Mar03 Apr02 Mar11 Apr10 (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 15.00    
VHAGAR Mar31 Mar18 Oct05 Sep29 Aug04 (bean a)CRUZ M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   04/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETRIFIED Mar17 Feb26 Jan18 Dec07 Nov16 (belvoir van)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 10.00    
MR. THIRSTY Apr02 Mar12 Nov29 Sep22   (torres-ca)JENSEN P 121 12.00    
SAWTOOTH BOW Mar23 Mar08 Dec28     (kitchingman ada)VERGARA P 121 3.00    
LIGERAZO May04 Apr11       (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
KARAOKE HERO Mar17 Feb26 Jan29 Jan09 Nov25 (gleason t)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
MR. MOUNT DUTTON Mar10         (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00    
DUNVEGAN Mar24 Feb18 Jan16     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
LORD ANTHEM Apr09 Mar10       (mccartney jack)GARCIA F 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN SERENADE Mar24 Feb16 Jan03 Dec04 Nov19 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
 
TUP-7   04/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHOENICIAN GHOST Mar18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec30 Sep07 (campo sta)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
BIG STICK Mar27 Mar13 Feb22 Feb12 Jan30 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 12.00    
SHIP IT RED Mar19 Mar10 Feb19 Feb05 Jan13 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
ROLL DEM BONES Mar22 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
STREET BEHAVIOR Mar20 Feb19 Jan30 Dec28 Dec16 (leon alexis)CRUZ M 122 20.00    
SILVER DASH Mar20 Feb19 Sep25 Sep02 Jul28 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
SKY CLOUD Mar20 Feb19 Jan30 Jan21 Jan01 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
SOUTH COAST ROUTE Mar20 Feb12 Jan27 Jan15 Dec31 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50    
CORN POP Apr01 Mar19 Feb24 Jan25 Jan14 (christian)JENSEN P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   04/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCHARTED Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Jan21 Dec17 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
BY DECREED Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan02 (kereluk edward)GARCIA F 116 10.00    
DE LA LUNA Apr01 Mar11 Feb17 Oct11 Sep25 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00    
LIMITED HEATWAVE Apr03 Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 May31 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
MCCLUSKY Apr01 Mar19 Jan31 Nov27 Sep15 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 13% 6.70    
HIT SCENE Mar04 Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 Apr19 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEAHORSE STAMPEDE Mar26         (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 29% 2.40    
TALLIS Mar23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan04 Nov30 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.50    
SCR  TRANCHE Apr06 Feb02 Nov30 Oct31 Sep21 (kitchingman ada)VERGARA P 122 2.50    
 
TUP-9   04/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICAHOUSE Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00 39% 1.60    
TOMA TODO Apr09 Aug11 Jul14 Jun27 Apr21 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 124 4.00    
CLAYTON DELANEY Mar17 Feb11 Jan22 Sep15 Sep07 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00    
MUAY THAI (IRE) Mar27 Mar04 Feb24 Jan23 Dec26 (whitehouse wilton )GARCIA F 124 15.00    
SAINT PIO Mar26 Mar17 Feb19 Dec27 Dec18 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ABRAAJ MIRAGE Mar31 Jan06 Dec16 Nov12 Sep23 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 12.00 13% 6.50    
SOCAL RED Mar27 Mar10 Feb19 Feb06 Jan15 (story chad)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Jan30 Dec30 Nov12 Oct20 Sep01 (peery debbie)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
HONKY TONK HERO Mar17 Jan22 Dec05 Nov12 Jun09 (wolf as)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
10  STORMIN HONGKONG Mar31 Mar20 Feb05 Jan25 Dec27 (silva a)KRIGGER K 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.