Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - April 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (9/2/6/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/4/11)-(9/2/6/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/4/11)-(9/2/6/4/11)-(9/2/6/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/6/4/11)-(6/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/6/4/11)-(6/2/4)-(6/7/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(6/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(6/7/9)-(3/9/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/9)-(6/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/9)-(6/7/9)-(6/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/9)-(3/9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9)-(3/9/1/2)-(3/4/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/2)-(3/9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/2)-(3/9/1/2)-(3/9/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/1/2)-(3/4/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1/2)-(3/4/9/5)-(3/5/8/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (3/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/5)-(3/4/6/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/5)-(3/4/6/9/5)-(3/4/6/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/9/5)-(3/5/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/5)-(3/5/8/2/9)-(5/7/1/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/5/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/2/9)-(3/5/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/2/9)-(3/5/8/2/9)-(3/5/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/8/2/9)-(5/7/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8/2/9)-(5/7/1/2)-(4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Mar27 Dec27 Nov17 Oct13 Sep08 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 126 10.00    
TOWN'S WARRIOR Mar14 Feb27 Jan03 Dec13 Nov28 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 5.00 21% 3.90    
NOBLE FISH Mar06 Jan31 Jan03 Nov17 Sep29 (alvarado)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 12.00    
LEONIDS Mar14 Jul03 Jun10 May06 Apr20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
ASCENDANCE Mar29 Feb22 Jan31 Sep27 Aug31 (cox kenneth)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00    
PARKERNESS Apr01 Dec06 Nov15 Oct28 Oct13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
GET LIKE MIKE Mar29 Feb25 Feb10 Jan08 Dec20 (gonzalez c)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 112 12.00    
SCR  THE HEIGHTS Mar28 Mar07 Feb09 Jan24 Jan17 (serey jr)MENA E 122 10.00    
BANDITSGOLDENCHILD Feb08 Jan24 Dec27 Nov30 Oct05 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 3.00 40% 1.50    
10  TOUGH WORKOUT Mar22 Mar08 Feb12 Jan14 Nov27 (white sarah)DEL SARA 115 12.00    
11  SUPER NEEDY Mar07 Feb09 Jan24 Dec01 Nov02 (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-2   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILISH ONE         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 4.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of PERTINENT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FROSTED DREAMS Mar15         (alvarado diane)MENA E 124 2.50 11% 8.40    
  (by FROSTED out of DREAM SPINNER by HARD SPUN)
SCR  PEACHY PROMISES         (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 124 5.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of THUNDEROUS GEM by GEMOLOGIST)
LOVING GAZE (IRE) Mar14 Feb22 Dec05 Oct19 Sep14 (lane j)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of FIXED GAZE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
VEOLA         (brion keri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of OUR JENNY B by TALE OF THE CAT)
GRAYSON'S GIRL Jul21 Jun29       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.80 63% 0.60    
  (by GIFT BOX out of DRINKING DIXIE by QUALITY ROAD)
PNEUMO WARRIOR         (heil b)PEREZ XAVIER 124 20.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MUNNING'S FAVORITE by MUNNINGS)
 
LRL-3   04/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WIN NO JOKE Jan24 Dec20 Dec13 Dec01 Nov03 (singh s)BRICENO GREGOR 126 5.00    
EL DIVINO NINO Feb09 Jan31 Jan24 Dec13 Nov20 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 8.00    
SCR  UNIWINNER Mar14 Dec20 Nov15 Oct20 May19 (gaudet lacey)BOYCE FOREST 126 15.00    
BOLD AMBITION Mar28 Feb14 Jan03 Dec14 Oct25 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50    
SCR  KISSLING Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan26 Dec27 (trombetta)HERNANDEZ A 117 12.00    
RAPIDITY Feb21 Feb14 Dec08 Oct10 Aug18 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 126 3.00 41% 1.50    
DISSOLUTE Mar14 Feb21 Jan24 Dec18 Nov27 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
GAMBE FORTE Jan09 Dec08 Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 (rubley ke)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 10.00    
JAVA BUZZ Feb13 Jan11 Nov24 Oct25 Sep15 (rodriguez )SANCHEZ J 126 8.00 12% 7.70    
 
LRL-4   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R AVERIE LYNN Mar09 Feb16 Jan31 Jan08 Nov13 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 14% 5.90    
I CAN DO IT Dec12 Nov16 Oct19 Aug11 Jul20 (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SALLY'S GOLD Mar12 Feb23 Jan29 Dec15 Nov12 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  SHE IS WISKY Nov09 Nov25 Oct29 Jul14 Jun11 (capuano phill)RODRIGUEZ YAN 116 8.00    
HATEFUL Mar23 Feb23 Feb08 Nov15 Nov02 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 126 5.00    
YUMYUM EAT EM UP Apr04 Mar01 Feb07 Jan26 Dec28 (serey jr)MENA E 119 20.00    
HOT DANCE Mar23 Mar01 Feb14 Jan25 Dec13 (magee kier)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 116 10.00    
TRUE SUNSHINE Mar08 Feb09 Jan31 Dec28 Dec06 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 6.00    
FAINOR'S FILETS Apr04 Mar22 Mar09 Mar02 Feb09 (corrales jo)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50 17% 5.10    
 
LRL-5   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARTIST MARK Mar15 Feb02 Aug25     (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 124 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MONTANA PRETTY by FROSTED (GB))
SCR  JACE IS NO JOKE Mar20 Jan24       (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DIXIE DANCER by UNION RAGS)
AGREED         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BAMBALINA by BERNARDINI)
BERNIE THE STAR Mar09 Dec21 Dec01 Nov16 Oct31 (singh s)BRICENO GREGOR 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MY STAR POTENTIAL by TRITAP)
MIKE'S MAGIC         (cibelli ja)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SMILE MORE by TIZNOW)
SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY Mar13 Feb02 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 (mcmahon hu)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 114 4.50    
  (by UPSTART out of SUMMER KISS by SUMMER FRONT)
SMUGGLER'S GOLD Feb14 Jan25 Dec15 Nov16 Oct17 (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ROMNEY MARSH by MIDSHIPMAN)
MANSEEYASWAY Mar15         (mancilla g)CRUZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
NICOLE'S WILL Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 Jul24   (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of NICOLE H by MR. GREELEY)
10  BREEZING UP         (barr donald)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of NON NEGOTIABLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  PEDIATRICIAN         (salazar marco)MENA E 124 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CORDEROSA by ALDEBARAN)
12  MAUPANSANT         (keil c)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 20.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of TELL A GREAT STORY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
LRL-6   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROOKLYN GUY Feb06 Nov21 Sep27 Sep07 Aug10 (alvarado)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 12.00    
MEMORY BOUQUET Mar13 Dec27 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 10.00 8% 11.80    
AFRAIDOFTHEBUNNY Feb25 Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 Oct30 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  DOLICE VITA Mar01 Feb08 Jan17 Dec22 Oct12 (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00    
MAGIC SPIN Mar29 Feb21 Jan17 Jan03 Dec15 (eubanks ann)HAMILTON WESTON 123 5.00 12% 7.10    
FROSTY THE GIANT Mar23 Feb15 Jan08 Nov29 Oct17 (deiter k)GAVE MAURICIO 119 20.00    
SIN PERMISO Feb15 Feb02 Dec20 Nov10 Oct06 (salazar ma)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 116 15.00    
GROUP TICKET Mar09 Jan13 Dec17 Nov05 Oct16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 10% 8.50    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Feb08 Jan18 Dec22 Dec01 Nov16 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  COFFEEWITHCHRIS Feb28 Feb08 Jan26 Dec27 Nov28 (magana)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00    
11  TUNE IN Jul24 Apr21 Mar07 Feb02 Dec22 (alvarado diane)MENA E 123 15.00    
12  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Feb28 Jan18 Dec22 Nov30 Nov03 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00    
SCR  CATHEDRAL BEACH Mar28 Feb28 Feb08 Nov06 Oct11 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
 
LRL-7   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CENTS Dec06 Oct10 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
O'CONNER SUNSET Nov18 Oct17 Aug23 Aug01 Jul08 (jones e)ACOSTA D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BARTLETT Nov09 Oct22 Sep25 Aug21 Jul08 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 123 2.50    
BUMP N RUN Mar02 Jan28 Jul14 Jul03 May27 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 15.00    
ON THE MARK Mar02 Jan18 Dec29 Dec06 Nov03 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00 36% 1.80    
TALENTED MAN Feb09 Dec06 Nov02 Sep21 Aug26 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 8.00    
MURRAY Jan31 Dec06 Nov02 Sep06 Aug12 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
SHERIFF RONNIE Mar09 Jan26 Dec13 Nov21 Oct30 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.50    
 
LRL-8   04/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGAL MISS LILY         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRANUAILE Mar08 Feb02 Dec07 Nov17 Oct11 (corrales j)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 112 8.00    
WEEKEND WIFE         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 6.00 8% 11.90    
ITHINKILOVEYOU Mar08 Jan24 Jun27 May30 May15 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.40 62% 0.60    
BALLYCURRIN         (walters hen)HAMILTON WESTON 117 15.00    
MARGARITA DAZE Feb15         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 1.60    
IRISH B GOODE Mar14 Feb28 Oct24 Sep04   (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.