Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Friday - April 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/2)-(6/3/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-2   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(9/4/6/2/8)-(4/8/10/1/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-3   WIN (9/4/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/2/8)-(9/4/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/2/8)-(9/4/6/2/8)-(9/4/6/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/8/10/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/10/1/2)-(4/8/10/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/10/1/2)-(4/8/10/1/2)-(4/8/10/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-5   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(9/8/4/10/7)-(7/9/8/4/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-6   WIN (9/8/4/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/10/7)-(9/8/4/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/10/7)-(9/8/4/10/7)-(9/8/4/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/4/10/7)-(7/9/8/4/2) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-7   WIN (7/9/8/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/4/2)-(7/9/8/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/4/2)-(7/9/8/4/2)-(7/9/8/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   04/11/2025 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTONSARENOTTOYS Sep02 Jun29       (homer jason)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
PRIX DE WEST Mar09 Mar01 Dec20 Oct26 Sep09 (ramaekers)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
ATTI'S THUNDER Mar28 Mar09 Feb23 Nov13 Nov01 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
PURE CRYSTAL Mar28 Mar14 Mar01 Nov17 Oct12 (arceo lui)IRONEYES R 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
BETTER EDGE Mar23 Mar02 Feb08 Jan25 Jan04 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
R VOO'S TABOO Sep13 Sep02 Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 (rivera gregori)HISBY RONALD 125 12.00    
THUSLY INSPIRED Mar28 Jan23 Dec27 Nov14 Oct18 (homer jason)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 5.00    
 
FON-2   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASPER JUSTICE Mar28 Mar14 Mar01 Nov15 Nov02 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
JAMES'S MOONSHINE Mar02 Nov17 Oct26 Oct18 Sep27 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 7% 14.30    
SCHMOOZE Mar28 Mar15 Mar01 Oct06 Sep14 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00 20% 3.90    
LEVEL Mar21 Mar01 Oct25 Oct12 Sep15 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 3.50    
GUINESSEY Mar07 Sep21 Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 (big ha)BAILON JADHIR 125 12.00    
PRINCE OF LUCK Mar29 Mar07 Feb22 Nov02 Oct18 (rushton s)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
CHARLIE'S CREED Mar29 Feb28 Jan25 Jan03 Dec05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
 
FON-3   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY MAN CAM Mar28 Mar16 Mar02 Sep06   (luke l)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of MY SHADOW by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
DUTTON'S REVENGE Mar28 Mar02 May03 Apr13 Mar29 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of MANGO'S MUSE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
CHEAT CODE Mar16 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Apr13 (compton jesse)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S CHEEKY by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
LITTLEJACKRABBIT Mar28 Jul06 Mar29 Mar03   (hines )BAILON JADHIR 125 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of HANNAHSLITTLEANGEL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
WHEELER COUNTY KID Mar28 Mar16 May03     (johnson m)IRONEYES R 125 15.00    
  (by QUIEN out of DEUCE COUPE by ROANOKE)
SCR  BOONE COUNTY         (schindler je)PICKNER XAVIER 120 10.00 6% 14.80    
  (by ONE GO ALL GO out of SCAT JOY by SCAT DADDY)
YUTAN TAPIT Mar16 Sep21 Sep06 Aug18 Apr27 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SISTI'S PRIDE by FORESTRY)
PLAYER ONE READY Mar28 Mar16 Mar17     (sorensen mike)HISBY RONALD 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of MEXICALI GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
P R MO VISION Mar28 Mar02 Sep21 Sep01   (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.00 58% 0.70    
  (by COURT VISION out of RANSKA by UNCLE MO)
10  TITOS PARTY Mar16 Mar02       (hawley joe)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 20.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of LOOKN' ATTA WIN by NOTIONAL)
 
FON-4   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 Oct20 Oct04 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of GAMBLER'S DREAM by FLASHBACK)
ALL LEGS Feb23 Sep21 Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 (donlin la)IRONEYES R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of SWAN'S WING by TENPINS)
S C HUSKER GIRL Mar24 Feb25       (condon schuy)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 20.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
SHE'S A CAUTION Mar23 Mar09 Mar17     (hoffman r)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SHAARAAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TRAINCY Mar09 May04 Apr26 Apr12 Mar24 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.50    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of BRIDAL TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
DEVIL'S JUSTICE Sep21 Sep13       (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of DEVIL WATER by DEVIL HIS DUE)
SHEEZA ELEKTRA Mar23 Mar09       (hawley)BAILON JADHIR 125 15.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of SHEZA DIVINE DIVA by DIVINE PARK)
P R BIG WHEELS Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 Aug09 Jul07 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 9% 10.40    
  (by GIANT EXPECTATIONS out of EBONY EVITA by ROCK THE ROCK (IRE))
DAZZLE YOU MY WAY Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 Sep21 Sep13 (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of DAZZLE YOU by DAZZLING FALLS)
10  SHE AINT A BEAUTY Mar23 Apr26 Apr19     (rivera gregori)HISBY RONALD 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of DISTANT DELTA by DECARCHY)
 
FON-5   04/11/2025 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIARD HONOR Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 Sep27 Sep06 (compton j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.50    
HONEYFROMTHESOUTH Mar30 Mar16 Feb28 Mar05   (johnson m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 10% 9.00    
SHE'S SO FANCY Mar30 Feb23 Nov15 Oct25 Sep28 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SARAH'S COURT Mar01 Feb23 Feb01 Jan15 Nov29 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 13% 7.00    
SHACKED STATESIDE Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 Sep26 Aug29 (donlin)BAILON JADHIR 125 12.00    
CREAM PUFF REAPER Mar28 Feb28 Nov17 Oct26 Oct11 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
DONNAS FINAL WORD Mar30 Mar16 Mar07 Jul09 May19 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
ITSNOTMYJOB Mar21 Mar16 Feb28 Dec12 Nov08 (condon schuy)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 6.00    
 
FON-6   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ELI Apr06 Mar21 Dec04 Nov13 Sep26 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
OBVIOUSLY TOO Mar01 Feb23 Nov02 Oct26 Oct12 (schindler jeff)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
HANGIN' TUFF Mar30 Mar08 Feb22 Nov06 Oct17 (anders)BAILON JADHIR 125 10.00    
OUTRIGHT Mar14 Feb28 Nov17 Oct20 Sep21 (ramaekers eric)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  BARBIERE Apr05 Mar07 Nov15 Oct12 Sep29 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00    
WESTERN TOURIST Mar22 Mar01 Aug02 Jul05 Jun09 (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 125 3.00    
TOP OF THE ROCK Apr04 Mar15 Sep29 Aug25 Aug04 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
OPTIMAL Mar23 Mar14 Mar01 Oct27 Oct18 (rushton t)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
KO SAMUI (IRE) Mar15 Feb28 Feb05 Jan15 Jan02 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 46% 1.20    
10  SCOOTER'S BOY Mar29 Mar01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov01 (bliss dean)PICKNER XAVIER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-7   04/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH INTENT Mar23 Mar09 Aug24 Jul21 Jun24 (hoffma)BAILON JADHIR 125 8.00    
ADDI BUG Mar21 Mar15 Feb14 Jan31 Sep04 (gonzalez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
REAUX BINA Mar28 Mar14 Mar01 Feb05 Jan18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
MS I SPEIGHT Mar28 Mar07 Mar01 Nov09 Oct24 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00 5% 18.60    
RAIN Mar21 Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Nov16 (castillo jos)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
GP'S AMAZING GRACE Mar28 Mar14 Mar07 Nov30 Nov07 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
CHECKCASHINGCONNIE Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Nov26 Nov13 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
TRIBAL SPIRIT Mar29 Nov16 Oct13 Sep27 Sep15 (arceo lui)IRONEYES R 125 12.00 6% 15.60    
IRISH TAP Mar23 Mar15 Mar02 Jun16 May26 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 11% 7.80    
10  TAPIT'S LADY Mar23 Mar07 Feb28 Sep20 Sep07 (bobier bob)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.