Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(8/10/1/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(8/10/1/3/4)-(1/9/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (8/10/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/1/3/4)-(8/10/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/1/3/4)-(8/10/1/3/4)-(8/10/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/1/3/4)-(1/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/1/3/4)-(1/9/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/7)-(1/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/7)-(1/9/6/7)-(1/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(6/2/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (10/8/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/1/2/4)-(6/2/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/8/1/2/4)-(6/2/5/8)-(3/8/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/8)-(3/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACHLEY Mar05 Jan27 Aug18 Jul28 Jun22 (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 12.00    
SALEEN G T Mar04 Jul06       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 39% 1.60    
DIAMANTE ELEGANTE Mar20 Feb03 Dec04 Aug25 Jul21 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
SCR  BEHINDTHEBAR Mar20 Feb17       (owens kory)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
TRAVELIN WITCH Feb03 Jan08 Dec05 Aug25   (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 2.50    
DONTGIVEUPTHEFIGHT Mar25         (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
SAPELLO LA FINA Mar22 Mar05 Feb20 Jan17 Dec23 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   04/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPTING MISCHIEF         (williams dav)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TEMPE by HADIF)
RUN YOUR MOUTH         (ortiz isaiah)VERGARA P 118 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ROO DEW by ORIENTATE (GB))
MARKING BROADWAY         (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of LIGHTS ON BROADWAY by REAL SOLUTION)
MISS MADAME         (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of TWIRLING THRILL by TWIRLING CANDY)
FROSTED AND CLASSY         (esquibel ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of FLOSS DANCER by SHAKIN IT UP)
CODE OF VALOR         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 8.00    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of GRAZEN VALOR by GRAZEN)
DIVA IN MOTION         (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by RAGING TIGER out of FORTY SOMETHING by FORTY WON)
TOMMY NORRIS         (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by STANFORD out of MINSTER'SADVENTURE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
THREE P'S         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00    
  (by PER CAPITA out of LUCKY LAST by LOTSA MISCHIEF)
10  PHANTOM EXPRESS         (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of SEEKING THE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
TUP-5   04/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEFUL WATERS Feb27 Dec27 Dec11 Aug17 Jun07 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
CONCH DADDY Feb27 Feb01 Feb17 Dec30 Dec16 (uranga j)HARVEY B 124 5.00    
HEZADOOZIE Mar26 Mar17 Feb27 Feb13 Jan22 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 4.00    
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Feb11 Nov30 Nov20 Nov12 Jun26 (wolf ashlee)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
SCR  HERMISTON Apr01 Mar10 Jan30 Jan14 Dec26 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
ALMANERA (IRE) Mar31 Mar20 Feb27 Feb18 Jan30 (dennis cl)JENSEN P 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEA BREEZE BOY Feb18 Dec18 Nov30 Nov02 Oct19 (christian billy)MONTALVO C 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TEDDY'S TRIUMPH Mar25 Feb27 Jan26 Jan05 Dec08 (chambers mike)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
NEW EVERY MORNING Feb27 Feb04 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 (leon alexi)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-6   04/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S EFFORT         (duarte-noriega jo)KRIGGER K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of LISTENTOYOURANGELS by EVENT OF THE YEAR)
FORZA ROAD         (esquibel ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO FORZA out of EDGEHILL ROAD by OLD FORESTER)
EZ RACER         (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of S U M RACER by FIRST DEFENCE)
PI TIME         (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARIZONA MOON out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
WESTERN FEEL         (williams dav)CARBAJAL KEVIN 118 8.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of PLENTY by BOUNDARY)
CANTCATCHTHISCAT         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MAHEE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
OOH BABY IT'S ME         (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MAXIMUM EDGE by DIALED IN)
IN A PICKLE         (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ARANIA by DYNAFORMER)
T'S HEATER         (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAVE SPRINGS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
10  WHISKEY HIGH         (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
 
TUP-7   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIPLOMATICA Mar17 Feb06 Jan16 Dec30 Dec03 (fuentes)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
SING A HAPPY SONG Jan29 Dec28 Nov30 Nov19 Sep05 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
POKER ALICE Mar31 Mar17 Feb17 Dec07 Nov23 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00    
SCR  SAPADILLA Mar18 Feb15 Jan31 Jan17 Dec15 (morfin lian)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 15.00    
LOVELY LOLA Nov17 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 Aug25 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BROOKYS GAL Mar08 Feb12 Jan24 Dec30 Dec13 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50 57% 0.80    
HIPPIE TRAIL Mar19 Feb27 May30     (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
PRINCESSPRANCEALOT Feb20 Jan30 Dec16 Jan14   (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYIN A THIRST Nov15 Sep21 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 (esquibel ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 10.00    
CHATTY LEROYBROWN Aug09 Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 Jun15 (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 8.00    
CLUBHOUSE DRAMA Mar12 Feb06 Jan15 Mar04 Feb04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
MISS DOUBLE DOWN Mar04         (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ABOVE ALL ELSE Jan24 Nov22 Oct18 Aug10 Jun28 (peery debbie)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
SWISS DANCER Mar12 Feb24 Feb03 Jan02 Jul04 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 4.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  ROYAL INTEGRITY Mar19         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
SHIRLEY ANN'S GIRL         (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
FRANK'S LORRAINE Feb24 Feb03       (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.