Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - April 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/3/1)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/5/4/7)-(4/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(4/2/3)-(4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(4/5/3)-(8/2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(8/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(8/2/5/1)-(4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (8/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/1)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/1)-(4/5/2)-(5/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-8   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYZELLA Mar27 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug04 (spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
2  WILDWOOD ADIOS Dec04 Oct31 Oct19 Sep12 Jul06 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  NADJAMEANSBUSINESS Mar05 Feb12 Jan03 Dec20 Dec07 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 116 4.00    
4  SECRET OPERATION Dec03 Nov13 Oct03 Sep19 Aug11 (slager mike)FELIX E 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug18 Aug01 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-2   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATELYN'S MESS Mar30 Nov19 Aug25 Aug12 Jul20 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WW BEST OF TIMES Oct19 Sep01 Aug08 May21   (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
3  TWO TIMER Mar03 Oct30 Oct02 Sep10   (tracy tanner)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  REALTA Mar26 Dec28 Nov07 Sep14 Jul26 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00    
5  ENTICING OPTION Mar30 Jan17 Dec21 Oct03 Sep01 (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 10.00    
6  DELIGHTED (IRE) Mar21 Apr14 Mar01 Feb08 Dec27 (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 1.60 66% 0.50    
 
HAW-3   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURTS SO BAD Dec10 Nov19 Oct24 Oct06 Aug29 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
2  RACARINO Nov02 Oct24 Oct08 Sep21 Aug29 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00    
3  ROTARY DIAL Mar17 Feb27 Jan28 Dec28 Dec07 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  ALIBI IKE Feb08 Jan07 Dec10 Nov12 Oct10 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 13% 6.40    
5  ONE PUTT RICHIE Mar27 Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 Oct12 (martinez a)MOJICA O 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  PADDY'S HOUSE Feb16 Jan26 Dec26 Dec06 Nov22 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
7  EMPTY HOLSTER Dec13 Nov22 Oct22 Oct01 Jul16 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   04/10/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO SMOKING Mar27 Mar03 Feb17 Jan12 Dec21 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 1.60    
2  TORTUGA ISLAND Feb07 Dec22 Nov27 Oct31 Oct19 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  AUTISM COMPASSION Jan23 Dec26 Dec06 Sep21 Sep11 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
4  TWO HEARTED Feb08 Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Dec06 (quinonez max)MOJICA O 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  LADY HELENA Mar30 Feb27 Jan01 Oct19 Sep12 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
SCR  TALL GIRL Mar27 Feb22 Feb08 Jan15 Jan03 (slager mike)FELIX E 122 5.00    
 
HAW-5   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINIMO Mar27 Mar10 Dec13 Dec01 Nov02 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
2  TALLAPOOSA Mar27 Nov02 Oct13 Aug11 Jul25 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 6.00    
3  CAPTAIN'S FLAG Mar27 Jan07 Dec21 Nov07 Oct24 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PURPLE OCTOPUS Apr03 Jun16 May04 Apr21 Mar24 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 0.80 71% 0.40    
5  DURANGO CHROME Jul02 Jun15 Jun04 May07 Apr23 (blea jr)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SENOR MIKE Oct24 Oct12 Oct31 Oct07 Sep26 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 12.00    
7  SECESSION Mar06 Feb13 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-6   04/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALADINE Oct30 Oct10 Sep22 Sep01 Aug22 (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHARP STICK Oct13 Sep26 Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  QUALITY STORM Nov13 Oct08 Sep17 Aug25 Jul15 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 116 12.00    
4  PLUNDER Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 Jan24 Dec12 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
5  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 Sep19 Aug22 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  CLYDE'S GREEN GO Sep05 Jul27 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (pompell r)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.50    
7  SPAN Jan02 Nov21 Oct29 Oct15 Sep19 (blea jr)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
8  SPINNIN PISTOLS Aug17 Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 May18 (morey e)FELIX E 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
HAW-7   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED RIZZLER Mar30 Nov14 Oct31 Sep19 Aug04 (rosas rigo)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00    
2  SNEAKY FEET Nov20 Nov02 Oct20 Oct10 Sep26 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 118 10.00 6% 15.70    
3  DEL TORO Jun05         (morey e)FELIX E 118 5.00    
4  REGAINED POWER Mar30 Feb13       (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 0.60 59% 0.70    
5  PAPA'S NICO BOY Dec08 Nov14 Nov07 Oct03 Sep15 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 4.50 7% 14.20    
6  ROYAL AND READY Oct10 Sep08       (tracy tan)ULLOA JOAN 118 12.00    
 
HAW-8   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY BOY Mar27 Jan03 Dec13 Sep22 Aug22 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50    
SCR  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Mar27 Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50    
3  RACE DRIVER Dec18 Nov23 May16 Apr26 Mar08 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  SHAKE UP May18 Apr28 Apr19 Mar28 Mar09 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 8% 12.10    
5  ONE WAY HOME Mar27 Nov02 Oct24 Oct12 Sep24 (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ALYANAABI Mar27 Sep22 Aug29 Aug08 Jul28 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
7  HATCHET CREEK Mar27 Aug22 Jul21 Jun29 Sep12 (dizeo dino)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.