Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/7)-(6/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/7)-(6/1/2/4)-(7/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/4)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/4)-(7/2/1)-(6/7/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(6/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(6/7/1/2)-(8/3/4/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/2)-(8/3/4/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/2)-(8/3/4/7/5)-(9/3/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/3/4/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/7/5)-(8/3/4/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/7/5)-(8/3/4/7/5)-(8/3/4/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/4/7/5)-(9/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/7/5)-(9/3/5/2)-(5/9/4/8/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (9/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/2)-(9/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/2)-(9/3/5/2)-(9/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/5/2)-(5/9/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/2)-(5/9/4/8/2)-(6/12/11/2/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (5/9/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/8/2)-(5/9/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/8/2)-(5/9/4/8/2)-(5/9/4/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/4/8/2)-(6/12/11/2/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/8/2)-(6/12/11/2/7)-(8/7/9/10/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (6/12/11/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/11/2/7)-(6/12/11/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/11/2/7)-(6/12/11/2/7)-(6/12/11/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/12/11/2/7)-(8/7/9/10/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/7/9/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/10/2)-(8/7/9/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/10/2)-(8/7/9/10/2)-(8/7/9/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/04/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE SPECIAL ACT Mar22 Feb28 Feb06 Jan16 Dec19 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 16% 5.10    
FOREVER AGAIN Mar09 Feb15 Jan29 Jan03 Dec21 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
WOMANS PEROGATIVE Mar16 Feb02 Jan08 Dec24   (smith g)LINDSAY CHAD 122 15.00    
CAJUN GAL Mar07 Feb09 Jan05 Dec13 Jul21 (tsirigotis j)BATISTA A 122 2.50    
SECORD Mar16 Mar07 Jan29 Jan03 Nov30 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
UNIVERSAL JOY Mar07 Feb19 Dec18     (marrero nes)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00    
NOBLY Mar16 Jan10 Aug11     (ubide max)TORRES R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   04/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OOPS HAHA Mar22 Mar08 Feb26 Feb01 Jan01 (sillaman rich)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
NEGRA GATA Mar05 Dec24 Oct17 Oct01 Sep04 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 10.00 13% 6.50    
CAPTIVATING SOUND Mar21 Mar08 Feb28 Feb14 Jan26 (torre)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50    
GO GO STAR Feb12 Jan25 Jan01 Dec13 Oct05 (ashmore colee)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
COMMANDERS PALACE Mar16 Dec15 Nov02 Oct07 Sep21 (alessi james)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
HOLY COFFEE Mar05 Feb22 Jan31 Jan10 Dec19 (garcia r)LEON SONNY 120 1.40 25% 3.00    
TRIPLET Mar05 Jan31 Dec27 Dec13 Aug31 (lusk r)HESS SARA 111 30.00    
 
TAM-3   04/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIX Jan08 Dec24 Jun19 Jun05 May11 (alessi james)BUSH V 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
NAUGHTY FAVORS May09 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 Sep22 (pompay terri)ALLEN D 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
LITTLE CARLEY Mar22 Mar09 Feb19 Jan26 Jan10 (kutt m)HESS SARA 116 15.00    
HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) Feb28 Jan10 Nov20 Sep23   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 125 3.00    
SCR  FUSSY GIRL Feb28 Jan26 Nov30 Nov01 Sep20 (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50    
CLASSY LIL BETTY Mar02 Jan26 Aug30 Aug16 Apr05 (rountree cat)MENESES MARCOS 123 5.00    
BETSYLICIOUS Sep04 Jul05 Apr20 Mar27 Feb28 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
TAM-4   04/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBES Mar22 Dec28 Dec06 Nov23 Sep21 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 116 4.50 9% 10.30    
LORD KNOWS Mar22 Feb23 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
KING RAMOS Mar15 Jan19 Jan03 Dec20 Jul27 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 116 12.00    
EVERDOIT Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.80    
FROSTY THE SOLDIER Mar19 Mar05 Feb07 Jan22 Jan11 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 116 8.00    
KARTANO Mar16 Mar02 Feb21 Jan25 Jan03 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 109 5.00 40% 1.50    
STYNER Mar19 Oct28 Oct08 Sep27 Sep03 (englehart jef)MORALES PABLO 116 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-5   04/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKOA Mar12 Feb09 Jan29 Jan17 Dec12 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 4.50    
JUAN COLORADO Mar23 Feb07 Jan11 Dec21 Nov27 (gardea abraha)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
BINGO'S GRIND Mar12 Jan29 Jan04 Dec21 Nov27 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
MY LUCKY ANGEL Mar05 Feb07 Jan05 Dec24   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00 6% 16.30    
EL DOLLAR Mar12 Feb23 Jan29 Dec17 Nov26 (ashmore co)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
VINO COURAGIO Mar12 Feb16 Jan10 Dec21 Oct16 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 122 20.00    
WOLF BEACH Mar12 Jan29 Jan10 Dec21 Oct24 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DREAMS OF MYFATHER Mar08 Feb08 Dec27 Nov10 Sep21 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
GREY SHADOW Mar09 Feb22 Dec22 Oct12 Sep07 (rodriguez ange)GIL CIPRIANO 122 6.00    
 
TAM-6   04/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Mar19 Feb19 Feb02 Jan18 Jan08 (kutt m)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
NAPOLEON'S WAR Mar14 Dec24 Nov23 Nov02 Sep04 (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SIGALERT Mar15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 (englehar)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
NEON DEION Mar22 Feb26 Jan31 Jan10 Dec29 (campbell joel)IORIO MELISSA 122 20.00    
BEAR CREEK Mar15 Oct07 Sep20 Aug19 Jul22 (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
SHOOT THEMESSENGER Jan01 Nov28 Oct19 Oct04 Sep20 (lopez mario)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
GRIMES Mar19 Feb28 Feb14 Feb01 Jan15 (richards renal)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  FLOAT ON Jan08 Dec20 Nov08 Sep02 Jul21 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50    
EBBEN Mar19 Feb19 Jan08 Jun23 May12 (davis scooter)FERRER C 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
TAM-7   04/04/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR HUNT Feb07 Jan04 Nov03 Oct11 Aug22 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00    
TARHE Mar02 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 Feb09 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROUGH AND ROWDY Mar12 Feb23 Feb12 Jan22 Dec27 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 115 15.00    
GRAN YACO Feb26 Feb12 Jan19 Jun30 Jun02 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 122 4.50 9% 10.10    
NOBLE FACTOR Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 May03 Apr06 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
MAXIMATCH Mar02 Feb12 Dec24 Nov29 Sep15 (pompay terri)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
JOE FROM KIEV Mar22 Dec06 Oct12 Sep14 Aug16 (curto beve)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 20.00    
OFFICER DERICK Mar12 Feb23 Feb02 Jan05 Sep29 (ryan s)FERRER C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
JAMESTOWN Feb12 Jan18 Dec24 Nov08 Apr27 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  NOBLE STAR Mar22 Mar12 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 (dobber w)SPIETH S 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   04/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SURVIVOR Mar15 Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 Jul14 (alessi jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00    
GOWOKEGOBROKE Mar14 Feb05 Jan22 Dec29 Dec14 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 4.00 9% 10.70    
PICCATA PRINCE Mar29 Mar14 Feb26 Feb05 Jan12 (spanabel kell)VARGAS E 113 30.00    
ZALFIERRO Mar05 Nov22 Oct17 Sep29 Sep05 (lusk brian)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 12.00    
LITTLE LUKEY Mar14 Jan22 Dec22 Apr14 Mar22 (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 123 4.50    
MR. BONES Jun19 May20 May01 Apr12 Apr03 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 5.00 44% 1.30    
SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Mar15 Feb09 Jan25 Jan11 Dec22 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
NO PROBLEM JOE Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Dec20 (gonzal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 116 20.00    
AWESOME ENTRY Mar19 Mar02 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 (posadas pedro)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 30.00    
10  MITHRIDATES Mar07 Jan22 Dec22 Dec11 Nov20 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 125 10.00    
11  KEIGS Mar05 Feb09 Jul31 Jul08 Mar01 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 123 6.00 10% 9.20    
12  GUCCI BOY Mar19 Feb23 Jan29 Dec28 Dec07 (carrascojr vic)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 10% 8.80    
 
TAM-9   04/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LITTLE CAIBO Mar01 Feb09 Jan10 Dec07   (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
RAY'S BLUE WAGON Mar14         (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
EL RABANO Mar23 Mar08 Feb09     (lopez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 12.00    
MONEYLOVE Mar09 Feb01 Jan12 Sep29 Sep01 (manchan bertr)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 5.00    
GUNNER Mar01 Feb07       (deaton william)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
EL DE TOCHO Feb15 Jan29 Jan10 Dec20   (kutt m)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
CINCO HALO         (marrero nesto)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00 18% 4.40    
BIG SHOULDERS Oct19 Sep07 Aug10     (baumgardner b)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
SPARTACUS'S DUDE Mar09 Jan29 Jan05 Nov27 Nov10 (kutt m)FERRER C 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
10  C'MON JUAN         (pimental )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 15.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  YADIRAYADIRAYADIRA Mar19 Oct06       (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.