Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - April 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/3/6)-(8/5/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(8/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(8/5/7/2)-(5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (8/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/2)-(8/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/2)-(8/5/7/2)-(8/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/2)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/2)-(5/3/2)-(3/5/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/5/2/8)-(3/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/8)-(3/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/8)-(3/5/2/8)-(3/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/8)-(3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/8)-(3/7/1)-(2/8/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(2/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Sep15 Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 May12 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 5.00    
SHIP IT Mar16 Feb28 Dec14 Oct19 Sep24 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
RACEDAY ATTIRE Dec08 Nov05 Oct20 Sep22 Aug25 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
LEMON BOMB Feb26 Dec26 Nov11 Oct03 Sep07 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
PIONEER PARADE Mar12 Jan18 Jul14 Jun08 Apr27 (vanden ber)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY Mar27 Mar08 Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 (caramori edua)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
 
HAW-2   04/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAMBASO Mar08 Feb02 Jan09 Dec19 Nov09 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 1.80    
BETTER THAN GOOD Sep28 Jul19       (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
GOOD TO BE PRINCE Feb20 Jan30 Dec22 Dec07 Nov22 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  EXCELLENT EMPIRE Sep23 Aug31 Jul13     (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
SPINNING PRIDE Mar19         (candelas bla)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
COOLTHING Oct29 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 Aug07 (lynch har)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-3   04/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPREMELY Mar06 Feb16 Jan30 Dec28 Dec06 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00    
RED LABEL Jul14 Jun16 May04 Apr17 Mar15 (lynch harry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Oct19 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (bentler don)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
LAVENDER EARL Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug18 Aug09 (ramirez carlos)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
COALMINER'S KITTEN Nov02 Jun30 Jun08 May24 Apr20 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
WE MISS ARLINGTON Mar09 Feb14 Jan19 Dec26 Dec16 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
UNRAPTURED Mar06 Jan23 Jan04 Dec15 Oct23 (donjuan sergio)MOJICA JR 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Feb07 Dec05 Sep22 Sep01 Aug08 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
 
HAW-4   04/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALVIN Mar27 Nov02 Oct15 Oct10 Sep01 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
CHAMPAGNE MIKE Feb13 Jan30 Dec28 Dec11 Nov25 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ANCIENT MAN Mar27 Nov18 Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
EL MUCHO Nov25 Oct24 Mar24 Dec07 Oct21 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
PURPLE OCTOPUS Jun16 May04 Apr21 Mar24 Feb25 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.60 67% 0.50    
CUPID'S WAR Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 Jan17 Dec20 (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.00    
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Mar27 Dec04 Nov12 Oct26 Oct15 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   04/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD GRANTHAM Nov02 Sep03 Aug17 Aug04 Jun29 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50    
JUSTICE ONCE Sep23 Sep06 Aug25 Jul22 Jun28 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
STAR OF KODIAK Oct26 Oct13 Sep17 Sep03 Aug24 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
IDEA MAN Oct31 Oct17 Sep24 Aug22 Jul28 (martinez r)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 1.80    
DRAGON DREW Mar19 Mar06 Feb23 Jan26 Dec28 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 10.00 17% 4.80    
UNCAPTURED PULSE Oct06 Sep05 Aug29 Aug08 Jul28 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
SCR  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Oct13 Oct03 Sep22 Aug15 Aug04 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
FLYING SAMURAI Nov12 Oct26 Oct10 Sep29 Sep05 (ryan chri)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-6   04/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIT MISS HAT TRICK Feb13 Dec13 Nov01 Oct06 Jul11 (lynch e)REYES FRANK 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
FRENCHYS TOAST Aug17 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23   (burdess ter)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 20.00    
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Mar08 Jan30 Jan02 Nov09 Sep20 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Feb02 Sep19 Aug15 Jun23 May12 (simpson dani)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
ALDORA Jan31 Jan02 Dec06 Sep24 Aug29 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 122 2.50    
THERDGOESONFOREVER Mar21 Feb24       (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 116 6.00    
KIKI KRAZY Mar01 Jan20 Dec04 Oct26 Sep29 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
HAW-7   04/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONS LAW Oct15 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Jul21 (young r)COLON H 124 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHE IS A LIONESS by LION HEART)
ARRIVEDERCCI Jul11         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by GOOD BYE GREG out of CASE CRACKER by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
DISGUISED DEVIL         (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 108 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NORA IN THE SKY by SKY MESA)
WAHIDA OF MARDAN Oct29 Oct15 Oct06 Sep12 Aug15 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
TOUR DE' PORT May07 Apr16 Nov07 Oct19 Sep26 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOURIST out of LEISURELY RENNY by SIR LOREN)
TIZMEONEMORETIME Oct29 Aug25 Aug15 Aug04   (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of TIZ AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  HARPER BRIANA Oct29 Oct01 Sep21 Aug27 Aug10 (zawitz jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
  (by SOUL OF EKATI out of AUNDREYA by SUMMER CLOUD)
SMOKED         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.80 26% 2.90    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of ROONEY DOODLE by LIT DE JUSTICE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.