Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/7)-(8/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/7)-(8/1/7/3)-(7/3/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/3)-(7/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/3)-(7/3/6/1)-(2/5/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/1)-(2/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/1)-(2/5/6/4)-(8/2/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-5   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(8/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(8/2/1/5)-(7/6/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/5)-(8/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/5)-(8/2/1/5)-(8/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/1/5)-(7/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-7   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/1)-(1/9/10/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/1)-(1/9/10/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-9   WIN (1/9/10/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/7/6)-(1/9/10/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/7/6)-(1/9/10/7/6)-(1/9/10/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY WITH WHISKEY         (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 122 20.00 13% 6.70    
2  MISCHIEF MAC Jan25 Jan03       (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00    
3  CAUSE MIMI SAID Feb07 Jan19 Dec06 Oct31 Oct03 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
4  KARANTHOS Feb21 Jan31 Aug02     (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 1.00 38% 1.60    
5  WORK ZONE Feb21         (d)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
6  OH AND GEE Dec19         (hebert ma)TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
7  AUDREY'S MUSIC         (young bob)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 13% 6.70    
 
HOU-3   03/15/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTRABBANDA Feb21 Jan26 Oct25 Sep19 Aug24 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  KENTUCKY ANGEL Jan31 Jul06 Jun15 Mar23 Mar03 (young bob)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50    
3  CLAIRE JUNE Feb28 Feb02 Jan12 Mar02 Jan19 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 6% 14.50    
4  BRAD'S SWEETHEART Mar01 Feb07 Jan24 Jan12 Sep17 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 121 30.00    
5  CACTUS BLOSSOM Feb21 Jan05 Dec13 Oct30 Oct09 (bravo francisco)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00    
6  GIRLS GOT GAME Feb21 Oct12 Sep16 Sep05 Aug14 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
7  ARINNITI (FR) Feb21 May25 May04 Mar15 Feb03 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
8  CONTOUR Feb28 Feb15 Jan05 Dec15 Nov02 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
HOU-4   03/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLECITA Feb14 Feb02 Jul06 Jun16 May31 (sauc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  STARTECA Mar01 Jul06 Jun16 May31 Mar29 (w)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
3  MOR MOR MUSIC Jul20 Jun15 May24 Apr18 Mar08 (west henry)PARKER L 121 2.00 15% 5.80    
4  SPUNOUTOFCONTROL Mar04 Nov18 Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 117 6.00    
5  MISS ESCAPADE Feb23 Jan18 Dec15 Nov21 Nov03 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 4.00    
6  DOUBLE GEM Mar07 Feb12 Jan24 Dec12 Nov21 (g)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PATE Feb14 Nov28 Nov01 Sep25 May03 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 121 3.00 63% 0.60    
8  SHE'S EXTRA Mar01 Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 Nov20 (govea cesar)FUENTES MARIO 121 6.00    
 
HOU-5   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLASSY ROSE CHROME Feb21 Jan31 Apr21     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of KLASSY K. O. by SILVER CITY)
2  TYPHOON TESSIE Feb15         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 1.00 31% 2.20    
  (by YOSHIDA out of LUCY VALENTINE by LANGFUHR)
3  ANGEL IN THE AIR Sep11 Aug30 Jun22 May26 Mar30 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
  (by EAGLE out of MALAYSIAN AIR by MIZZEN MAST)
4  HOLIDAY CRUISE Feb28 Jan24 Dec27 Dec07 Oct12 (mallery vonn)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  EXPECT A PATRIOT         (pish danny)DIEGO V 124 15.00 17% 5.10    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of EXPECT ROYALTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
6  A THOUSAND SAILS         (castellan)TRIANA JR 124 20.00 17% 5.10    
  (by FALL OF TROY out of TROUBLEINABAG by FIVE DEMON BAG)
7  SPIRIT OF VETERANS Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Jun23   (pish danny)PARKER L 119 4.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
 
HOU-6   03/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEERS TO CANDY Feb21 Oct10 Sep12 Aug19 Jul13 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 8.00 17% 4.90    
2  CHARMING OAKIE Feb16 Jan24 Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 (castellan)TRIANA JR 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
3  SPONGE BATH Jun16 May10 Feb16 Dec22 Oct08 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 121 2.00    
4  POLIS Aug11 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 Jun01 (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
5  MITOLE'S LIMIT Jan29 Nov23 Sep18 Aug24 Jul04 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00 14% 6.20    
6  NEVER OVER ME Feb07 Jan05 Dec12 Nov15 Oct26 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
7  MULTIPLE OPINIONS Feb28 Jan24 Jan11 Oct24 Sep12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 4.00    
8  TEXAS CREED Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 Dec06 Nov16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 3.00 21% 3.90    
 
HOU-7   03/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 35 M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ISOBELA Nov30         (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 20.00    
2  FREED BY MAGIC Sep23 Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul29 (hu)HERNANDEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
3  DELPHINE Jun09         (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  JAMIE ZEE         (r)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 21% 3.80    
5  REAL MISCHIEVOUS Jan01 Nov20 Oct23     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ZIPPY SEASON Feb22 Dec04 May30     (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
7  JUST PLAIN BAD Mar04 Jan26 Oct16 Jun22 Jun08 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 6.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  WEST TEXAS RUBY Feb22 Jan18 Dec07 Nov26   (marti)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
SCR  MAYBELLY Feb01 Sep19 Nov25     (y)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 1.50    
10  BLAZZIN SHOTGUN Sep07         (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 123 30.00    
 
HOU-8   03/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR STERLING Feb22 Feb08 Dec14 Nov23 Oct18 (rengstorf tony)SANCHEZ OBED 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOUL SACRIFICE Dec13 Nov06 Oct18 Aug23 Mar16 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 10.00    
3  KENTUCKY DAWN Feb22 Jan11 Nov22 Nov06 Oct25 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
4  LEA ME BE Nov19 Oct12 Sep06 Aug23 Jul03 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  JACKMAN'S RIDE Feb22 Feb08 Nov30 Sep04 Aug17 (caldwell r)CABRERA DAVID 121 1.60    
6  ESTABLISHED Feb22 Jan05 Dec08 Nov09 Nov01 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 123 4.50 19% 4.40    
7  STAYED IN FOR HALF Feb16 Feb08 Nov08 Sep06 Aug17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 48% 1.10    
8  THIRD STREET Feb16 Jan11 Oct24 Oct04 Jul06 (d)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
 
HOU-9   03/15/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL BRINK Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 Dec06 Nov06 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  CINCO RICHIE Mar01 Jan17 Sep14 Sep03 Aug22 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
3  YOU'RE ON MUTE Feb17 Jan17 Dec20 Dec07 Nov27 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
4  PERRY COUNTY Feb17 Jan25 Nov20 Nov01 Sep28 (litfin veronica)WADE LYNDIE 117 12.00    
SCR  MACHO GRANDE Feb23 Feb02 Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 121 10.00    
6  SHAMAYIM Feb21 Jan31 Jan19 Dec27 Nov29 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIGERS 'N BEARS Feb15 Jan04 Dec11 Nov22 Nov06 (pish danny)DIEGO V 121 12.00 11% 8.40    
8  SARGE'S SERMON Mar08 Feb03 Oct30 Sep28 Sep12 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 121 6.00    
9  MY CALANTE Feb01 Sep26 Aug29 Jul25 Apr22 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 121 8.00 21% 3.70    
10  MOON CAT Feb22 Feb01 Jan10 Oct24 Oct03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  BAREFOOT SAMURAI Mar02 Feb22 Jan17 Jan05 Nov23 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 123 15.00    
12  EXCAPING THE BLUES Feb22 Jan31 Jan05 Nov22 Sep14 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.