Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - February 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (6/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/3)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/3)-(1/7/3)-(4/7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(4/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(4/7/6/5)-(6/9/1/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/5)-(6/9/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/5)-(6/9/1/3/7)-(1/4/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/9/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/3/7)-(6/9/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/3/7)-(6/9/1/3/7)-(6/9/1/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/1/3/7)-(1/4/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/1/3/7)-(1/4/7/3)-(1/2/8/6/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (1/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/3)-(1/2/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/3)-(1/2/8/6/9)-(4/1/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/2/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/6/9)-(1/2/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/6/9)-(1/2/8/6/9)-(1/2/8/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/8/6/9)-(4/1/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/6/9)-(4/1/5/6)-(5/1/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6)-(5/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(4/6/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(4/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/7)-(10/3/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-10   WIN (10/3/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/6/9/2)-(10/3/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/6/9/2)-(10/3/6/9/2)-(10/3/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORCERER'S GIRL Jan24 Dec27 Dec14 Nov05 Sep22 (birzer bonnie)POMPELL L 120 4.00 6% 15.40    
2  CRAFTROOM Feb06 Jan17 Dec19 Nov29 Nov07 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 6.00    
3  EASY BET Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Nov14 Oct17 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DREAM TRAP Jan24 Jan04 Dec20 Nov26 Nov05 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00 10% 9.40    
5  COZZOLANI Jan09 Dec07 Nov26 Nov16 Nov05 (dixon tim)ARANA KELVIN 115 10.00    
6  LADY OF DEVON Jan18 Dec20 Nov26 Nov15 Oct17 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 1.80 58% 0.70    
7  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Jan24 Jan04 Dec27 Dec07 Nov05 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 10.00    
 
DED-2   02/15/2025 4950ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Dec06 Nov27 Nov09 Oct18 Aug22 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  WA WA WEE WA Feb01 Jan19 Jan05 Dec15 Dec07 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 12.00    
3  MIZ JAMESON Jan18 Nov27 Oct30 Oct10 Sep23 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Dec05 Nov08 (gonzalez is)RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 4.00    
5  GIRL THIRSTY Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 Dec06 Nov21 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 117 3.50    
SCR  ZING Jan18 Dec20 Dec05 Nov02 Oct23 (silva walter)PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00    
7  GYPSYROSELEE Feb01 Jan18 Dec18 Nov21 Sep18 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 117 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
DED-3   02/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASSIE BEE Jan10 Nov26 Oct29 Aug24   (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
2  ORTHODOX DIXIE Jan10 Dec18       (zenon charles)FLORIAN JOSE 119 6.00    
3  DEAL PICKLE Jan16 Dec19 Dec06 Nov26 Nov02 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 124 4.00    
4  GIRL FROM DE BAYOU Jan10 Nov29 Nov13 May22 Apr13 (roberts roy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
5  DAY STORM Jan28 Jan10 Aug22 Jul20 Jul06 (escobar aliso)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LYRICAL BELLE Feb23 Feb03 Dec29     (cormier housto)ARANA KELVIN 119 8.00 7% 14.30    
7  D'BUSKER Dec18 Jun08 May08 Apr24 Mar20 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
 
DED-4   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINFOLK Jan17 Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 7% 12.80    
2  PLAY MASTER Jan16 Dec20 Nov16 Oct29 Jul18 (escobar alison)FLORIAN JOSE 112 20.00    
3  G'S STORM Jan17 Nov13 Oct18 Sep02 Aug14 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WILLIAM GUSTAVO Dec27 Nov27 Nov07 Aug23 Aug09 (zeno be)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  WAY OUT FRONT Jan29 Jan09 Nov23 Nov06 Oct12 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 3.00    
6  LO LO'S LAUGHTER Dec28 Nov29 Nov05 Oct16 Jun24 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 115 5.00 43% 1.30    
7  GILDERSLEEVE Jan09 Nov20 Oct23 Aug23 Aug03 (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  TOWN BRANCH Jan17 Jan04 Dec06 Oct01 Sep12 (degeyter ran)BARRERA J 120 6.00    
9  PURE MALICE Jan04 Dec14 Nov30 Nov15 Oct18 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
10  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Jan04 Dec18 Sep14 Aug26 Jun28 (gomez c)ARANA KELVIN 117 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY'S SECRET Jan29 Jan17 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  RITE ON SAM Jan30 Dec28 Nov23 Nov05 Aug15 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 119 8.00    
 
DED-5   02/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORALLY COMPLEX Jan31         (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of AFILLYATION by GIMMEAWINK)
2  KNOCKED OUT Jan30         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 6.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of TAYLOR'S TOURIST by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  MISS MOZETTI Jan19         (pish danny)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ROAD TIGER by QUALITY ROAD)
4  MISS MAKEITHAPPEN Jan30 Dec27 Dec06     (demouchet ric)VARGAS P 118 5.00 14% 6.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of HALF A NOTION by HALF OURS)
SCR  UTHINKICARE Jan25 Dec27       (demouchet ricky)ROSIER R 118 20.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of BELLA LUNA SKY by CLEVER CRY)
6  TYPHOON TESSIE         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 5.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of LUCY VALENTINE by LANGFUHR)
7  WINGS OF A SPARROW Jan25 Jan03 Dec06     (roberts roy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of FOXY MISS by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  LIBERTY SIMONE         (bernard john)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of BIG BO'S MO by UNCLE MO)
9  TDZ DANCINLILSLEW Feb01 Dec14 Dec06     (eschete nas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 3.50    
  (by MITOLE out of BLUES DANCING by SURVIVALIST)
 
DED-6   02/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILOXI Jan15 Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 (wong jonathan)VARGAS P 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  DESOTO'S WAR Feb05 Jan19 Dec27 Dec05 Nov01 (larrosa a)PEREZ CARLOS 115 6.00 29% 2.50    
3  A MILLION STARS Jan15 Dec12 Aug13 Jun10 May04 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
4  MINNESOTA MIRACLE Jan31 Dec27 Dec04 Aug14 Jul13 (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
5  MR B QUIET Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Dec04 Nov07 (bryant george)ARANA KELVIN 119 10.00    
6  HANKS Jan30 Jan11 Nov30 Nov13 Aug14 (degeyter ra)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BODE'S LIGHT Jan11 Nov30 Nov07 Oct19 Aug09 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
8  CITY PARK Jan10 Dec19 Nov06 Oct11 Sep23 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 3.50 11% 7.90    
9  UNANIMOUSLY Feb01 Dec28 Nov06 Oct19 Sep26 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHANKINSTINE Jan17 Dec19 Oct25 Oct12 May07 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 112 20.00    
SCR  GOBOT Feb06 Jan15 Dec06 Nov13 Oct29 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Jan19 Dec28 Dec19 Dec05 Nov23 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 5.00    
 
DED-7   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANKTON'S COWGIRL Jan25 Dec14 Nov13 Oct17 Aug23 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF Jan30 Dec20 Oct11 Sep07 Aug16 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
3  MISS LEONA Feb05 Nov26 Nov15 Aug24 Dec13 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
4  LUCY GOT GAME Jan19 Dec28 Nov20 Oct23 Sep20 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
5  JILLY'S WEST Jan03 Nov09 Oct29 Aug01 May17 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
6  RAISE THE ALARM Feb01 Dec18 Oct29 Oct11 Aug10 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALL ABOUT KATHERN Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 Feb21 Jan22 (west henry)PEREZ CARLOS 115 15.00    
8  SIENNA BREEZE Feb01 Jan18 Dec07 Nov13 Oct30 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 117 10.00    
 
DED-8   02/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLAMY BROTHER Jan24 Dec12 Nov05 Sep23 Sep02 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  IRON MOON Jan17 Nov30 Nov05 Sep23 Aug24 (ramirez julio)HERNANDEZ V 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
3  KATS PICK Jan25 Jan04 Nov29 May06 Apr07 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
4  DEE'S LEGS Feb05 Jan25 Jan10 Nov30 Nov14 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 10.00    
5  LITTLE WARRIOR Feb05 Jan02 Dec18 Nov21 Aug06 (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
6  MUNCLE Jan29 Jan18 Jan03 Dec18 Nov23 (cormier cardel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT Feb05 Jan15 Jan18 Jan06 Dec19 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 119 12.00    
8  ZIPPY TOGA Jan02 Nov30 Nov21 Oct16 Aug22 (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.50    
 
DED-9   02/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD AND STOUT Jan10 Dec14 Nov14 Oct17 Jul04 (castille ca)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CARLEA'S DREAM Jan03 Oct23 Jul30 Jun23 May26 (jacks karen )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
3  PACIFICISLANDTIME Feb01 Dec27 Dec11 Nov09 Aug15 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
4  UP N GONE Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 Oct16 Aug16 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  PLAY MO Dec27 Nov27 Oct11 Aug01 May15 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
6  HIGHLAND CREEK Jan16 Dec14 Nov23 Oct18 Jun01 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
7  BALLINONABUDJET Jan10 Dec19 Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 (turner patti)VARGAS P 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Feb01 Dec14 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
9  JEFFROW Jan10 Dec27 Nov23 Oct16 Aug16 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
 
DED-10   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS DAAHEN Jan11 Dec21       (richard russell )FUSILIER C 121 15.00    
2  EVE EVE Jan24 Jul04 Mar08 Feb10 Jan26 (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 10.00 6% 16.90    
3  LAST PENALTY Jan31 Jun29 May31 May21 May02 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 5.00 18% 4.40    
4  GYPSY'S RIDE Dec11 Nov26       (mojica a)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
5  COWGIRL QUEEN Sep24 Jul04       (mojica a)FLORIAN JOSE 119 20.00    
6  SHELBI'S STAR Jan31 Jan11 Dec11 Nov29 Nov01 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
7  HONEST DEAL Jan31 Jan16 Jan25 Dec27 Nov21 (west henry)ROSIER R 121 10.00    
8  DON'T BLINK TWICE Jan31 Dec04 Nov15 Oct29 Jul03 (lara jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 121 6.00    
9  BROKE DRAW         (fuselier j)RAMIREZ JR 116 15.00 6% 14.70    
10  DON'T BE BOSSY Nov09 Oct18 Aug23 Jun29 Apr20 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 1.80 36% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.