Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (9/10/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/1)-(9/10/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/1)-(9/10/8/1)-(9/10/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/10/8/1)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/1)-(3/4/2)-(8/7/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(8/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(8/7/2/6)-(6/2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (8/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/6)-(6/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/6)-(6/2/5/4)-(5/4/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/4)-(5/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/4)-(5/4/6/1)-(2/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/1)-(2/1/5)-(7/5/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/5/1/8)-(7/4/2/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/8)-(7/4/2/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/8)-(7/4/2/9/10)-(6/4/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/4/2/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/9/10)-(7/4/2/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/9/10)-(7/4/2/9/10)-(7/4/2/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/2/9/10)-(6/4/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/8)-(9/6/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-10   WIN (9/6/1/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/3/8)-(9/6/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/3/8)-(9/6/1/3/8)-(9/6/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT ON RAIN Dec07 Nov15 Aug10 Aug01 Jul13 (benoit james)VARGAS P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAL'S ALARM Aug10 Jun21 May23 Apr06 Feb02 (nicholas rober)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
3  LACEY'S KAT Jan15 Dec20 Nov26 Nov16 Jul04 (toups brent)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 10.00    
4  LIVE AFFAIR Jan02 Nov07 Oct25 Jul16 Jun25 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
SCR  ONE MORE SLEEP Dec28 Nov07 Oct10 Sep24 Aug27 (robbins ray)BIRZER E 124 5.00    
6  FRIEND'S DO CARE Jan15 Nov27 Nov14 Oct19 Sep10 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00    
7  KNIGHT OF HONOR Nov22 Oct07 Sep05 Aug14 Jun10 (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 119 6.00    
8  JOSEPH H Nov07 Jul05 Jun21 May02 Apr11 (giangrosso )LEDET THEODRICK 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  WHATTA LIFE Jan04 Nov26 Nov15 Oct19 Aug17 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
10  I'M A NIGHT TRAIN Jan08 Dec20 Dec07 Nov15 Oct23 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 119 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
DED-2   01/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAMMY SAM SAM Dec13 Nov15 Aug24     (litfin veronic)THORNTON G 121 2.50    
  (by TUNWOO out of FEATHER'S SECRET by HEAR NO EVIL)
2  LARYSLITTLERACER Sep17         (nixon th)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of LITTLE CUDDLES by SILVER TRAIN)
3  AGE OF REASON Dec07 Nov21 Oct26     (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 121 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of A THOUSAND REASONS by MUNNINGS)
4  MISS MAKEITHAPPEN Dec27 Dec06       (demouchet ric)VARGAS P 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CATALINA RED out of HALF A NOTION by HALF OURS)
5  GAB'S HUMOR Dec21 Nov21 Oct26 Jul07 Jun23 (bryant george)FUSILIER C 121 4.50    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of PEACELOVEANDJOY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  KNOCKED OUT         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of TAYLOR'S TOURIST by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
DED-3   01/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF SLEW Jan17         (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
2  GREATIZLOVE Jan08 Dec21 Dec07 Nov14 Nov01 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 116 3.50 15% 5.90    
3  RANDY DAYTONA Dec28 Dec08 Nov23     (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 20.00    
SCR  NELLE TUE MANI         (pedigo randy)ARANA KELVIN 116 12.00    
5  WHAT'S THE REPORT Nov09         (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 121 6.00    
6  CLEARLY THE BEST Jul13         (grimaldo jo)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  METALLIC MISCHIEF         (castille carro)THORNTON G 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  WATER TESTER Dec28 Dec06 Nov23 Nov02 Oct10 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
DED-4   01/30/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BILOXI Jan15 Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 (wong jonathan)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
2  HANKS Jan11 Nov30 Nov13 Aug14 Jun29 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
3  BAYOU JAM Jan10 Dec11 Nov23 Nov13 Jul13 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 3.50    
4  DRIED PEPPER Dec13 Oct17 Sep11 Aug12 Jul17 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 7% 12.50    
5  ABSAROKA Jan15 Dec28 Nov18 Nov01 Oct18 (arey anthon)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00 9% 10.70    
6  SHORTLIST Dec28 May23 Apr27 Apr17 Mar22 (cano muno)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  ZONG TOUGH Jan15 Nov23 Nov09 Sep25 Aug26 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00    
8  SADIE'S LIGHT Jan03 Dec11 Nov13 May09 Apr18 (delany sarah)PEREZ CARLOS 112 12.00    
9  KAJUN KARMA Dec19 Nov27 Nov15 Oct25 Jun27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00    
 
DED-5   01/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE THE KINGDOM Dec07 Apr02 Mar18     (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of WIND CHEATER by FORESTRY)
2  MIZ MASTERY Dec07 Nov22 May04 Apr18 Mar16 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.50    
  (by MASTERY out of LUCKY I GUESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  LOVING COUNTY         (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
  (by WIMBLEDON out of VALID BRIDE by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
4  WELCOMETOHAZEVILLE Jan10         (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of CORA LEONA by LONE STAR SKY)
5  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF Dec20 Oct11 Sep07 Aug16 Jul21 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NEFERTITI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  SECRET ROCKET Jan10 Dec20       (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 16% 5.10    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of MATERIALIST by BRAHMS)
7  RAILEY JEAN Dec20 Nov26       (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 10.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHERRY BERRY WINE by ONEOFTHEJONESBOYS)
8  HOLIDAY LINES         (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 15.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of BIG MAPLE by OVERANALYZE)
 
DED-6   01/30/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKEITTOTHEHOUSE Dec21 Oct25       (jeane scott)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 4.50 24% 3.10    
2  MAX'S REDEMPTION Jan01 Oct07       (cox h)THORNTON G 117 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  SAINT CECILE Nov29 Oct26 Sep25 Aug21   (vincent jarv)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
SCR  NOMORETANLINES Jan20 Dec21 Nov08 Oct09 Aug31 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 117 6.00    
5  CASUALLY CLASSY Dec21 Nov08 Oct26 Sep28 Sep12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CIGARS N CARS Jan04 Dec05 Nov24 Sep05 Aug17 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 20.00    
7  DREAMY DEAL Dec13 Nov16 Oct25 Sep17   (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 109 10.00    
8  KIP THE DISTANCE Jan01 Dec21 Nov30 Oct19 Sep14 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 117 3.50    
SCR  GOTTOTRY MISCHIEF Jan02 Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 Sep26 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 117 12.00    
 
DED-7   01/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS CARLOS Jan11 Dec05 Nov15 Oct16 Sep26 (ramirez-rod)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
2  EMPIRE KID Dec11 Nov29 Nov14 Aug24 Jul19 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00    
3  SUNSET WAR Jan11 Dec21 Nov29 Nov20 Oct23 (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 117 15.00    
SCR  WHY JOEY WHY May01 Apr05 Feb07 Jul22 Jun01 (delahoussaye br)HERNANDEZ V 120 6.00    
5  SKIPPA Dec04 Nov20 Oct23 Aug23 Jul30 (wong jonathan)ROSIER R 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
6  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Dec28 Dec15 Dec04 Nov23 Nov06 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 12.00    
7  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Jan02 Dec04 Nov13 Oct30 Oct11 (ramirez-rodrigu)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
8  BACK BAYOU Jan02 Dec05 Nov01 Oct23 Aug22 (larrosa a)PEREZ CARLOS 115 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
DED-8   01/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD CAPO Jan08 Dec18 Dec07 Aug10 Jul21 (giangrosso )DEL-CID VICENTE 124 5.00    
2  RITE ON SAM Dec28 Nov23 Nov05 Aug15 Jun27 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00 10% 9.30    
3  WINDTAPPER WIN Dec20 Dec07 Nov27 Nov02 Sep24 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 8.00    
4  BOBBY MERLOT Jan17 Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
5  ADMIRAL AFLEET Jan17 Aug14 Jul27 Jul11 Jun15 (journet albert)FUSILIER C 121 20.00    
6  QUICK ZONG Dec28 Dec13 Nov23 Nov06 Oct12 (dison phil)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
7  KARAOKE Sep22 Jun30 May25 May03 Apr17 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 2.00 47% 1.20    
8  STILL ON THE BOOKS Jan08 Dec20 Mar02 Mar04 Feb20 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
9  NATURAL HIGH Jan08 Dec20 Dec07 Aug23 Aug11 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 10.00 9% 9.90    
10  F J'S FLACO Nov14 Oct26 Aug24 Aug14 Jul05 (zenon sh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-9   01/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTO WISHING Nov23 Nov06 Oct19 Sep23 Aug26 (turner patti)ROSIER R 117 12.00    
2  HYPERBOLIST Jan03 Dec18 Nov22 Apr06 Dec08 (noel dane)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
3  FAHAN Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 Nov13 Oct19 (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
4  BUTLER CABIN Nov09 Oct19 Aug09 Jun29 Jun07 (mojica a)THORNTON G 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
5  MR. B CAUSE Jan10 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 Jul18 (ward ronnie)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
6  NORTHERNREFLECTION Dec28 Nov23 Oct30 Sep23 Aug09 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 53% 0.90    
7  FIRE SWORD Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct09 Jun23 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.80 11% 8.20    
8  CALCULATED LUV Dec13 Nov14 Oct30 Sep02 Jul06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-10   01/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK NINE         (gomez a)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 20.00 5% 18.80    
2  SHEER LUCK Jan16         (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00    
3  MAJESTIC IRONS         (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 10.00 5% 18.80    
4  SPLOTCH Nov18 Oct11       (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00    
5  PEPPERED GAL Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Oct25   (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
6  SHE'S SO TRUE         (gelner scott)ARANA KELVIN 116 6.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  TRAKAS Dec13         (silva walter)PEREZ CARLOS 116 15.00    
8  COSMOPOLITANKITTEN Jan03         (averett ronnie)FLORIAN JOSE 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GLORYLAND Dec28 Dec12 Nov22 Oct19 Sep24 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 118 1.80 58% 0.70    
10  LARYSCOUNTRYGIRL Jan03 Nov21 Oct23 Sep10   (nixon thom)RAMIREZ JR 113 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.