Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/4)-(1/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/4)-(1/5/3/7)-(1/5/4/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/4/2)-(4/3/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(4/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(1/4/10/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/2)-(1/4/10/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/2)-(1/4/10/7/3)-(1/3/4/2/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (1/4/10/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/10/7/3)-(1/4/10/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/10/7/3)-(1/4/10/7/3)-(1/4/10/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/10/7/3)-(1/3/4/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/4/10/7/3)-(1/3/4/2/9)-(8/2/4/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (1/3/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2/9)-(1/3/4/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2/9)-(1/3/4/2/9)-(1/3/4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2/9)-(8/2/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2/9)-(8/2/4/1)-(9/2/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/1)-(9/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/3)-(9/2/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/3)-(9/2/1/4/3)-(9/2/1/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Jan11 Dec05 Nov20 Oct30 Oct09 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
SHIP THE GOODS Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 Oct17 Sep21 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 5.00    
COWBOY AT HEART Jan02 Nov02 Jun08 May11 Apr20 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
SUTTON VALLEY Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 Oct18 Sep19 (venham d)MAWING A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN JOE Dec11 Nov21 Oct10 Sep19 Aug10 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 8.00    
FATHER WALSH Jan11 Nov11 Oct08 Sep30 Aug26 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00 16% 5.40    
HEY BOOTS Jan11 Dec05 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 0.80 30% 2.30    
 
CT-2   01/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEATIFUL KARLA Jan15 Dec13 Nov09 Oct19 Sep25 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
SHORT OF DINERO Dec04 Nov07 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50    
HARMONIZING Dec19 Nov15 Oct23 Aug11 Aug04 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 2.00 8% 11.00    
QUEEN NEFERTARI Dec13 Nov27 Nov07 Sep21 Aug22 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00    
STREETCORNER Nov30 Nov07 Oct14 Sep04 Aug11 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
SWEET SENSATION Jan10 Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 Aug28 (pyke joseph)GILBERT KYLE 122 50.00    
TURBO MILLIE Dec20 Oct25 Oct05 Sep18 Aug24 (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   01/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK DID IT Jan11 Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
IKIGAI Dec08 Nov16 Sep29 Aug25 Jul18 (klesari)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMOOTH RICO Jan17 Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 Jul24 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
OPTIMISTIC NATE Jan18 Jan10 Dec20 Nov27 Nov18 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
ROAD TO STARDOM Jan16 Dec28 Dec01 Nov19 Oct27 (inirio o)LEON A 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
JOHN HALL Jan18 Dec29 Dec08 Oct25 Oct06 (magana j)RODRIGUEZ L 115 15.00    
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Jan17 Nov16 Oct27 Oct04 Sep21 (serey j)LUGO JR 122 15.00    
MR. MOX Dec11 Nov16 Oct10 Sep14 Aug17 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50    
 
CT-4   01/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY STARKEY Jan11 Dec13 Nov23 Oct18 Sep21 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 3.00    
MAJESTY'S COWBOY Jan17 Dec08 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 (shuler john )BATISTA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
JUST MURPHY (IRE) Jan11 Dec12 Nov16 Jul01 Jun01 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jan11 Dec12 Nov16 Oct18 Jul26 (frock c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.40 42% 1.40    
GETTIN SPICY Jan11 Dec12 Nov27 Nov16 Sep21 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
WHY WINCHILL WHY Oct08 Sep13 Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 (meeks karl)DIAZ JR 122 12.00 9% 9.90    
TUP'S TO TAKE Nov27 Nov02 Oct24 Sep27 Aug24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
SHINEY GHOST Jan11 Jan03 Dec11 Nov16 Nov08 (aylor william )CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00    
 
CT-5   01/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A COOL QUEEN Jan10 Dec06 Nov06     (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SHULER GRAY Jan18         (shuler r)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of ACUMEN by CINNAMON CREEK)
ZIPADEEDOODA Oct23         (delong )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CONCERT PIANIST by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
COLLECTING ANGELS Jan10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of BELIEVE IN ANGELS by FLATTER)
POPPY MAC Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 (sigler ron)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
PRESHOW HYPE Jan10         (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
ALICE'S MOON Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 Oct12 Sep05 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
RUBY BAY Jan17 Dec06       (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of PEPPER BAY by BOP)
KEEP SHINING ON US Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 Oct24 Oct05 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
10  EMILY KATHERINE         (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of POTOSI'S SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
SCR  BUTTERFLY EFFECT Jan17 Dec12       (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 6.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MICHAELS BUTTERFLY by JUMP START)
 
CT-6   01/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY BUBBLES Jan10 Dec06 Nov26 Oct24 Oct04 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
GREEN GABLES Jan04 Nov30 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 122 5.00 9% 10.70    
FORTES Nov14 Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 Aug03 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
CASTLE TOY Jan10 Dec06 Nov01 Oct24 Sep28 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.50 12% 7.60    
TALK MUCH Dec06 Oct23 Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 (pickett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
FINE WHINING Dec04 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Jun08 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 3.00    
MAKE IT A DOUBLE Jan04 Dec04 Oct30 Sep29 Sep07 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 8.00    
PLAYING FOR TWO Jan04 Dec13 Oct31 Sep14 Aug10 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
MOON ME AGAIN Jan17 Nov24 Nov10 Oct27 Sep29 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   01/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIM'S JUBILEE Dec12 Nov23 Aug23 Aug03 Jul04 (reggetts )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
REMY'S HOTSHOT Nov13 Oct19 Sep25 Sep12 Aug20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
CRACKALACKING Jan10 Dec10 Aug08 Jul13 Jun13 (joy j)STANLEY O 120 12.00    
VALID REASON Jan10 Nov14 Oct30 Sep28 Aug22 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
MISS BEE BOP Dec06 Nov13 Oct31 Oct11 Sep21 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
SCR  MORNIN' BOSS Jan10 Dec08 Nov19 Oct30 Sep15 (clouston edw)LEWIS M 120 5.00    
DIXIE YODELER Jan02 Dec06 Nov06 Oct19 Oct12 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 4.00    
QUIET MADDELENA Aug08 Jul21 Jun13 May11 Nov30 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  PRINCESS MARGARET Jan16 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Nov01 (sandoval mic)DIAZ JR 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   01/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF PORTLAND Jan16 Dec12 Nov14 Sep15 Aug31 (aguirre)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50    
BIG SMILE Dec12 Nov08 Oct03 Aug09 Jun29 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCREW LOOSE Jan16 Dec11 Nov20 May11 Apr12 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOX N BEN Jan16 Dec20 Nov29 Nov17 Sep13 (magana j)RODRIGUEZ L 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
DUBLSHOTOFCOURAGE Nov14 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 Aug02 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 122 6.00    
SCR  BUSHWICK BRUISER Aug20 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May04 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
RAGING BEAR Dec13 Nov15 Oct31 Oct01 Sep18 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
COUNT DADDY Jan02 Dec01 Aug24 Aug01 Jul21 (keil c)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
GHOSTLYPRINCE Dec14 Oct05 Sep19 Aug02 Jul06 (murdock s)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 1.20 50% 1.00    
10  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Dec28 Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 Oct30 (inirio o)LEON A 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.