Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Thursday - January 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(7/6/1)-(3/2/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(3/2/7/6)-(6/5/11/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-4   WIN (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6)-(6/5/11/8/1)-(4/3/11/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SUN-5   WIN (6/5/11/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/11/8/1)-(6/5/11/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/11/8/1)-(6/5/11/8/1)-(6/5/11/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-6   WIN (4/3/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/11/5)-(4/3/10/11/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/11/5)-(4/3/10/11/5)-(4/3/10/11/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/9/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/4)-(2/9/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/4)-(2/9/3/5/4)-(2/9/3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/4)-(8/7/9/2/5)-(3/4/8/9/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-8   WIN (8/7/9/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/2/5)-(8/7/9/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/2/5)-(8/7/9/2/5)-(8/7/9/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (8/7/9/2/5)-(3/4/8/9/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
SUN-9   WIN (3/4/8/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/9/5)-(3/4/8/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/9/5)-(3/4/8/9/5)-(3/4/8/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEGUITA Jan09 Dec18 Dec09 Dec02 Nov05 (chavez ar)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00    
PARK IN THE DARK Dec18 Dec04 Nov05 Sep12 Sep01 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BURNINGDAYLIGHT Dec18 Dec04 Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
ATTILA STYLE Nov25 Nov05 Oct11 Apr07 Mar21 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
I WANA WIN GOLD Nov05 Oct11       (douglas)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00 5% 18.00    
MISSIONARY MARY Nov02 Oct04 Aug03     (rust terri)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50    
K P BLAMENGAME Jan09 Dec09 Oct13 Sep28 Jun08 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00    
 
SUN-2   01/23/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME WALKER Dec17 Dec04 Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 2.50    
HOLOTTALUTE Dec17 Nov25 Sep22 Jul27 Apr27 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  SHELLY D'ORO Jan17 Mar28 Feb22 Jan26 Dec19 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
LIL MISS CASSIE Dec09 Jul28 May18 Apr21 Apr13 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Sep08 Jul28 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 15.00    
BROADWAY DISH Dec02 Oct23 Sep13 Aug16 May18 (gonzalez a)ROSENDO J 124 2.00    
NO REGRETS N LOVE Jul28 Apr14 Mar28 Feb22 Dec11 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
SUN-3   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOREY'S FURY Jan10 Dec04 Nov19 Oct16 Sep26 (gomez steve)PEREZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Sep05 Jul26 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 4.50    
SCR  MULBERRY STREET Dec16 Sep25 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00    
JON L Dec27 Dec10 Nov01 Oct18 Sep08 (tsosie terr)CASTRO M 124 4.50    
LUCK IN MY EYES Jan09 Dec18 Nov19 Nov04 Oct20 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00    
RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Jan09 Dec02 Oct05 Mar21 Feb29 (gonzalez r)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 8% 11.90    
I WILL STAND Dec10 Dec02 Sep26 Sep05 Aug24 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
 
SUN-4   01/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORIE'S BOY Dec02 Nov04       (green greg)PEREZ A 121 2.50    
FEIST         (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
THREE MARTINIS Dec02 Oct02       (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
CLEVER IT Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Oct20 Sep14 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50    
TRACK RUNNER Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Aug02   (sedillo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
W F AMERICAN CAT Dec10 Oct23       (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAPELLO SICARIO Dec10 Nov11 Sep22     (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 121 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
SUN-5   01/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.2K) 3 F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS TRES MORENA Dec03 Nov12 Oct09     (gonzalez a)ROSENDO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
GO WATER Dec17 Dec02 Nov12     (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 20.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of CREEKWATER PUNCH by RIGHT RIGGER)
EMOTIONAL RUNAWAY Dec17         (buechle)FUENTES T 121 20.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of EMOTIONAL WARNING by WEATHER WARNING)
MYSTERIOUS MOVES Dec17 Dec10       (green greg)PEREZ A 121 12.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of MYSTERIOUS TIMES by PROUDEST ROMEO)
THATSATERRIBLIDEA Dec03 Nov12 Oct09     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by PROCEED out of BEKAT BEKAT by LAWYER RON)
UNBRIDLED BEAUTY Dec17         (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 31% 2.30    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of STARDUST LADY by WINDY SANDS)
SCR  KROME'S KIDDO Dec17         (buechle)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00    
  (by K B'S KROME out of FANCY MOON by LATIGO SHORE)
F S LIBERTY BELLE Dec03 Oct09 Sep05 Jun15   (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.00 10% 8.70    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of ACUTE BAND by KING OF THE ROXY)
PRO BUSINESS Oct09 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02   (hernandez juan)TORRES J 121 20.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of PINK CADILLAC by DIABOLICAL)
10  LA BELLA BELLA Dec03 Sep25 Aug31 Aug02 Jun07 (gonzalez r)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of LAURENTIDE ICE by INTIDAB)
11  MO MONEY TIME Dec17 Dec03       (hone bart)VALDEZ S 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MY BIKINI FELL OFF by ELUSIVE JAZZ)
12  BACK PAY Jan10 Nov12       (de cruz)ORTEGA O 121 20.00    
  (by MARKING out of PAY BACK TIME by MONTREAL RED)
 
SUN-6   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH STORM Jan09 Dec18 Jun08 Apr07 Mar29 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 121 20.00    
LET EM RIP Dec10 Nov05 Oct13 Sep19 May18 (martinez e)TORRES J 124 20.00    
TAZ MARKING Jan09 Dec18 Nov12 Sep08 Aug23 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
RONCHETTI Jan09 Dec18 Nov25 Nov05 Jul20 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 1.20 67% 0.50    
CELEBRITY GIRL Dec02 May18 Apr20 Mar14   (cadena jr)JAIME R 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
BIG D W Nov25 Nov05 Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 20.00    
ATTILA'S BOY Nov19 Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 Jul19 (martinez edw)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 12.00    
HOLLYWOOD TIZ Jan03 Oct27 Oct20 Sep29 Sep15 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 10.00    
HARRYS CHANCE Jan09 Dec10 Nov05 Sep26 Oct11 (hudson jeff)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00    
10  WATTS Jan09 Nov05 Oct25 Oct05 Sep08 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
11  DESERT PUNK Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Mar15 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-7   01/23/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STELLA BOY Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 Oct16 Mar08 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 4.50    
RUNDOFT Dec02 Nov12 Jul28 Jun16 Mar15 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 4.00 70% 0.40    
LOVESUNFAIR Jan09 Dec16 Oct02 Sep13 Sep02 (quiroz fili)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
CHARLIENE Dec02 Sep26 Sep14 Aug24 May18 (martinez edw)MEDINA ANTHONY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
JAMIE CAN'T DANCE Sep24 May20 May06 Mar12 Dec01 (marquez l)JAIME R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
EVERYBODY KNOWS Jan09 Dec18 Nov05 Oct20 Oct05 (amparan)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
WALKIN TALKIN BOB Dec02 Nov12 Oct16 Sep18 Aug16 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 6.00    
CASH FOLLOWS ME Dec10 Jun14 Mar29 Jan18 Dec11 (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
MALIBU SANGRIA Oct27 Sep08 Jul27 Jun09 Apr21 (rust terri)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DISTORTED GUY Dec02 Sep26 Sep08 May05 Apr20 (chavez larry)ROSENDO J 124 15.00    
 
SUN-8   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCIENT LAND Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Aug23 Jul20 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 15.00    
JET N G Nov25 Nov04 Oct11 Oct15 Jul22 (cross gary)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 5% 18.20    
FLAGS FINALE Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Nov04 Oct11 (aldavaz hermengi)VALDEZ S 124 5.00    
HENRY ON THE RUN Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Sep14 Jul20 (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 124 12.00    
SIDEWINDER SLICK Dec16 Nov25 Oct16 Sep02 Jul27 (buechle)FUENTES T 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
STORM LEADER Dec09 Nov04 Oct16 Sep19 Sep02 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
MISTER WU Dec18 Dec02 Oct20 Sep26 Sep11 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
DIABOLICAL STORM Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct11 Sep19 (fincher w)HEBERT J 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
DELBERT TOO Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Oct27 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.50 8% 11.30    
10  Z MARKS THE SPOT Dec04 Nov19 Nov04 Oct12 Aug16 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 15.00    
11  RISKY REVENGE Dec16 Jun08 Mar22 Feb23 Feb08 (gonzales james )ROSENDO J 124 15.00    
12  BYE BYE MATTY P Jan05 Dec12 Nov27 Oct29 Sep16 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
 
SUN-9   01/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAVICHORD Jan03 Dec09 Nov19 Oct25 Oct02 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 124 8.00    
MONARCHOS DREAM Jan09 Dec17 Dec10 Nov19 Oct09 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
WIND RIVER Jan03 Dec03 Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
HOLLAND Oct02 Sep11 Jun16 Apr28 Apr07 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
HESA PROSPECTOR Jan10 Dec18 Oct09 Sep22 Sep11 (morales danny)JUAREZ J 124 10.00 8% 11.20    
OTTOMAN EMPIRE Jan03 Dec03 Oct25 Oct05 Sep26 (wheeler t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
GORDY'S RULES Dec16 Oct25 Oct05 Sep25 Sep07 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 20.00    
BIG CREED Dec03 Oct16 Oct05 Jul28 May11 (marlin i)HEBERT J 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
TEE ROY Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Jul28 May12 (gomez s)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
10  CERVEZA Jan10 Dec18 Oct16 Feb29 Feb01 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.