Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Friday - January 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/7/8)-(6/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SUN-2   WIN (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/2/7)-(7/8/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/7)-(7/8/5/1)-(9/2/7/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SUN-3   WIN (7/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/1)-(9/2/7/1/6)-(3/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-4   WIN (9/2/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/1/6)-(9/2/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/1/6)-(9/2/7/1/6)-(9/2/7/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/1/6)-(3/5/2)-(4/6/3/5/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
SUN-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-6   WIN (4/6/3/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/5/8)-(4/6/3/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/5/8)-(4/6/3/5/8)-(4/6/3/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/7/4/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6/5)-(2/7/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6/5)-(2/7/4/6/5)-(2/7/4/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6/5)-(1/9/4/2/8)-(1/10/9/4/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
SUN-8   WIN (1/9/4/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/2/8)-(1/9/4/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/2/8)-(1/9/4/2/8)-(1/9/4/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/9/4/2/8)-(1/10/9/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
SUN-9   WIN (1/10/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/4/2)-(1/10/9/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/4/2)-(1/10/9/4/2)-(1/10/9/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAPPIN Dec16 Dec04 Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  MAMITA Dec04 Nov05       (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  THE MUSIC WE MAKE Dec04 Sep28 Sep13 May18 Dec10 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 123 10.00    
4  FIRST TIME PLAYER Oct23 Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 Feb22 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00    
5  POW WOW Dec16 May18 Apr28 Apr13 Mar07 (olguin ever)TORRES J 123 15.00    
6  GABRIELLA WHO Dec04 Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 (chavez larr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.50    
7  NO BULL DARWIN Dec16 Dec02 Oct12 Sep15 Aug23 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00 22% 3.60    
8  CHASENUINMYDREAMS Dec04 Oct12 Mar21 Mar01 Dec20 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-2   01/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA JOLLA BEACH Dec03 Nov12       (vaughn )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00    
2  SALSA AMERICANA Dec10 Sep22 Aug31     (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  POP'S PARTY Dec17 Nov12 Sep05 Aug02   (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
4  ON THE TOE ROAD Dec10         (green greg)PEREZ A 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
5  SAPELLO STREAKER Dec02 Nov12       (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50    
6  FOR THE GRAM Dec10 Nov12       (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  STORMY RYTHM Dec10 Nov12 Oct19 Oct02 Aug31 (wheeler t)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 8.00 7% 14.10    
8  LUCKY SHOT ANNIE Dec17 Oct19 Sep05 Aug02 Jun07 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 20.00    
 
SUN-3   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASS IT AROUND Dec04 Sep25 Jun14 May04 Apr20 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MIDNIGHT SPLIT Nov11 Sep26 Aug31 Jun16 Jan01 (oron)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
3  RARE COIN Nov19 Sep18 Aug16 Jun08 Apr13 (barrios bernadette)JAIME R 124 15.00    
SCR  IOWA HAWKEYE Dec04 Nov12 Oct05 Aug29 Jun28 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 124 2.00    
5  M G M'S LUCKY Dec17 Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 Sep15 (hudson jeff)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  STOREY'S FURY Dec04 Nov19 Oct16 Sep26 Aug31 (gomez steve)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
7  HAM SANDWICH Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct14 Sep30 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
8  TEE BREAKER Dec17 Dec04 Oct09 Sep15 May11 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 4.50 27% 2.80    
 
SUN-4   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEED BUMP BOB Dec04 Nov05 Oct20 Aug16 Jul27 (vega a)JUAREZ J 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
2  LEAVE THEM BEHIND Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 Oct20 Sep26 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  CLUE Nov12 Sep12 Aug25 Jul14 Jun23 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
4  WHERES BRAYDEN Dec03 Nov12 Sep29 Sep22 Sep14 (morales danny)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00    
5  PROBATE Sep14 Aug16 Jul27 May19 May05 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
6  AMERICAN SOLO Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct20 Sep26 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 12.00 5% 17.40    
7  EFFORT N RESULTS Nov12 Sep14 Aug17 Jul26 May18 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
8  MAXIMUM BULL Dec16 Dec03 Nov19 Oct20 Oct09 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 10.00    
9  WARRIORS MARK Nov12 Mar01 Feb02 Oct06 Sep03 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
SUN-5   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODIS BREAKER May05 Apr20 Dec05 Oct22 Sep16 (de cruz)ORTEGA O 124 12.00    
2  STACKERS Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct20 Sep12 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLEET OF FLAGS Nov12 Nov04 Aug24 Apr29 Apr15 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
4  CATRIANNA Dec17 Dec19 Dec12 Nov14 Oct13 (bolen bradley)JAIME R 119 5.00    
5  REAL GOOD MAGIC Nov26 Sep28 Sep14 Aug25 Aug08 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  AZTEC SUN Dec16 Jul28 Jun01 Mar08 Feb09 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50    
SCR  VOLS Dec16 Nov05 Oct02 Sep05 Jul28 (martinez dann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
 
SUN-6   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMFORTWITHCANDY Dec18 Dec02 Nov25 Mar28 Feb09 (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 124 4.00    
2  CHAMA STORM Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Oct12 Sep15 (gutierrez lee)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
3  JUST KEEP LAUGHIN Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Aug16 Apr20 (barton da)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00 8% 10.90    
4  STREET MARK Dec09 Apr27 Mar29 Feb18 Jan18 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  ABSTRACT LILLY Dec02 Nov11 Nov13 Aug25 Jul08 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 10.00 6% 16.50    
6  GONE KAT Dec04 Oct13 Sep26 Jun16 Mar07 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 3.50 14% 6.40    
7  COUNCIL'S JAZEL Dec09 Mar01 Dec11 Sep02 Aug05 (gonzalez r)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00    
8  AMASS MONEY Dec02 Nov11 Sep26 Aug23 Apr07 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PANDORA WHO Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Sep28 Sep01 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
 
SUN-7   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFENSIVE Dec18 Nov11 Oct06 Sep26 Sep07 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 15.00    
2  INDY'S SONG Dec03 Nov19 Oct20 Oct06 Sep11 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  RYDERS UP Dec10 Oct27 Oct16 Oct05 Sep05 (singh johnny)TORRES J 124 12.00    
4  TRUST MANDO Dec16 Oct25 Oct06 May18 Mar28 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  CERVEZA Dec18 Oct16 Feb29 Feb01 Jan05 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 124 15.00 6% 17.10    
6  MAJORWAYHOME Oct12 Sep19 Sep06 Aug25 Mar22 (cros)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
7  GOLDEN MERGER Dec18 Nov19 Oct20 Oct06 Sep11 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
8  SHOULDABEENACOWGAL Dec03 May18 Apr04 Mar15 Feb08 (cadena jr)MEDELLIN A 119 20.00    
9  ABSTRACT KAT Dec18 Nov19 Nov12 Oct25 Jun07 (gonzales j)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
 
SUN-8   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING FIELD Dec18 Dec03 Sep29 Aug24 Aug16 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  HESA PROSPECTOR Dec18 Oct09 Sep22 Sep11 Aug04 (morales danny)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 5% 17.80    
SCR  B R KIDD ROCK Jul20 Jun07 Apr16 Mar27 Mar06 (dennison dan )PURCELL KELSI 123 15.00    
4  DECK HUMOR Dec18 Dec10 Oct20 Oct12 Jul27 (lambert t)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00 7% 13.10    
5  RIG RIDER Dec10 Oct18 Oct04 Sep19 Aug17 (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
6  MUSICS MY VICE Dec18 Oct12 Sep18 Aug24 Jul20 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 5.00    
7  MICKEYS GOLD Dec10 Jul26 Mar29 Mar22 Feb29 (lambert casey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 10.00    
8  DESERT DANGER Dec03 Oct04 Nov15 Oct23 Sep15 (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  DADDY WHAT IF Nov19 Nov11 Sep14 Aug04 Jun07 (cros)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50 16% 5.40    
10  DAN WHO Dec03 Nov05 Oct05 Sep18 Aug16 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 12.00    
 
SUN-9   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOW TO CLARA Dec17 Nov26       (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of RUNAWAY RENEE by MUNNINGS)
2  LUXURY RIDE Dec17         (barton j)VALDEZ S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TOP VALUE by MINESHAFT)
3  BACK PAY Nov12         (de cruz)ORTEGA O 121 20.00    
  (by MARKING out of PAY BACK TIME by MONTREAL RED)
4  MACLEAN'S GIRL         (gonzales )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  ANGEL FROM ABOVE Dec17 May10       (gonzales james )ROSENDO J 121 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HOMEFIELDADVANTAGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  KLIMT'S GIRL Dec17 Nov26 Nov04     (hudson jeff)PEREZ A 121 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
7  TONI THE GRRREAT Nov26 Nov04 Oct20 Oct12   (hern)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of POLITE SMILE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  CUTE LITTLE DEVIL         (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of CHAPELLERIE by ACCLAMATION)
9  LET HER BE         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 5.00 15% 5.80    
  (by CROSSBOW out of DANDY DONNA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  ON MY MARK Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 Oct13 Sep22 (valerio ray)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50 24% 3.10    
  (by MARKING out of PLENTY OF JOY by DIABOLICAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.