Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - December 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(2/5)-(7/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(7/1/4)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-3   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(7/5/1/3)-(8/5/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/3)-(8/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/3)-(8/5/7/1)-(2/3/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (8/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/1)-(2/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/1)-(2/3/6/4)-(4/8/7/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/4)-(4/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/4)-(4/8/7/3)-(4/8/5/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/5/1/6)-(8/4/1/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-8   WIN (4/8/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/1/6)-(4/8/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/1/6)-(4/8/5/1/6)-(4/8/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/5/1/6)-(8/4/1/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-9   WIN (8/4/1/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3/6)-(8/4/1/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3/6)-(8/4/1/3/6)-(8/4/1/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN NATALIE RUN Dec18 Aug14 Jul11 Jun07 May18 (ward ronnie)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 12.00    
DEBBIES PASSAGE Oct17 Aug23 Jun08 May17 Feb22 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50    
SCR  CZAR'S BALLERINA Dec18 Nov27 Nov02 Sep24 Aug22 (ramirez-rod)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 5.00    
VALTESSE Dec12 Nov21 Nov08 Oct19 Aug17 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 4.00    
MARINA Dec04 Nov05 Mar24 Mar01 Feb07 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 29% 2.50    
LADY HOPPER Dec12 Nov29 Oct12 Aug09 Jul19 (ludwig james)BARRERA J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
EUROSTORM Nov08 Sep25 Aug20 Jul01 Jun11 (arey anthony)LOZADA CARLOS 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
DED-2   12/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSTY'S SUNRISE Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Sep09 Aug16 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 119 3.50    
LORD HARMONY Dec11 Nov30 Nov13 Oct16 Aug24 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
STHEPANIE PRINCESS Nov09 Oct25 Oct10 Aug09 May29 (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
SCR  COME WHAT MAE Dec04 Nov14 Nov01 Oct19 Aug15 (cormier cardel)DEONAUTH P 120 10.00    
UNO PEA Nov22 Oct23 Sep26 Aug21 Jul10 (martinez ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
THAT IS AWESOME Dec11 Nov01 Sep02 Aug02 Jul25 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 120 4.50    
 
DED-3   12/28/2024 4950ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERNREFLECTION Nov23 Oct30 Sep23 Aug09 Jul20 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  INTO WISHING Nov23 Nov06 Oct19 Sep23 Aug26 (turner patti)ROSIER R 120 8.00    
UNANIMOUSLY Nov06 Oct19 Sep26 Sep09 Aug26 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
MAGAWILDTIME Dec15 Dec05 Oct30 Oct11 Sep11 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
JOEY'S LIGHTENING Dec11 Nov09 Oct29 Aug09 Jun29 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 10.00    
SARAH'S VISION Dec11 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Aug14 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 1.80    
IZZY'S BABY BOY Dec13 Nov15 Jun07 May04 Apr24 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
DED-4   12/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATLANTIC STORM         (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.50 11% 8.10    
  (by GET STORMY out of ONE IN A ROMP by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
FEATHER LAINE Nov23         (garza joaquin )ARANA KELVIN 116 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of FEATHERSPUN by HARD SPUN)
KEEP UP THE PACE Dec12 Nov01 Sep26 Sep14 Aug28 (garza e)ROSIER R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of SWEET SAMMIE by FIRST SAMURAI)
PALMETTO STAR Nov23         (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 8.00    
  (by TEKTON out of QUATREFOIL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MR. WALLBANGER         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of ONE MORE by HOLY BULL)
SEVEN DEVILS ROAD Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 Oct05   (dixon tim)BIRZER E 121 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MIRACLE RUN by STREET CRY (IRE))
TRESILLIAN Nov28 Oct25       (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by FROSTED out of KISS AT MIDNIGHT by DECARCHY)
 
DED-5   12/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARKANSAS ZONG Dec06 Nov22 Nov06 Aug23 Jul20 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
FLASHY LOVER Dec06 Oct25 Aug23 Jul20 Jun14 (dison phil)RAMIREZ JR 115 15.00    
SCR  BAYOU BEAUX Nov30 Nov06 Oct16 Aug23 Aug03 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
BOBBY BOY Nov29 Oct26 Oct12 Aug17 Jul19 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50    
WISHERT Dec04 Nov14 Oct16 Aug23 Jul09 (ramirez-rod)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 6.00 23% 3.30    
SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Dec15 Dec04 Nov23 Nov06 Oct12 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 8.00    
CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Dec05 Nov22 Oct16 Aug24 Aug03 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 117 3.50 13% 6.90    
TIZ OF THEE Mar30 Nov03 Aug28 Jul23 Jun10 (wong jonathan)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
DED-6   12/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTILLE Oct31 Oct11 Jun16 May19 Apr28 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Nov30 Oct29 Jul18 Jun20 May30 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
UNCLE REG Nov27 Oct29 Sep07 Aug15 Jun30 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
THREE GOLD PIECES Nov16 Oct29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun20 (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Dec12 Oct16 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.50    
RED IDOL Dec12 Oct17 Sep03 Aug09 Jun15 (cormier cardel)ROSIER R 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
BARON OF THE NILE Dec06 Oct25 Jun13 Mar06 Feb09 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 119 3.00    
 
DED-7   12/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE SLEEP Nov07 Oct10 Sep24 Aug27 Aug09 (robbins ray)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
RITE ON SAM Nov23 Nov05 Aug15 Jun27 May25 (noel dane)ROSIER R 122 8.00    
GRAN CHICO Nov30 Nov07 Oct19 Aug09 Jul11 (pomier de)BIRZER E 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIVERWALK Oct19 Aug07 Jun30 May18 Apr26 (wong jonath)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  JOSEPH H Nov07 Jul05 Jun21 May02 Apr11 (giangrosso)RAMIREZ JR 112 20.00    
QUICK ZONG Dec13 Nov23 Nov06 Oct12 Jun13 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
MINOR DISCREPANCY Nov23 Nov14 Oct12 Jul25 Jul06 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
GRACIOUS KAT Nov23 Oct12 Aug09 Jul11 Jun15 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
CADILLAC COWBOY Dec05 Nov16 Oct25 Oct02 Sep16 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 15.00    
 
DED-8   12/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABSAROKA Nov18 Nov01 Oct18 Sep07 Aug23 (arey anthon)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 12.00 8% 11.90    
SASSI D Dec07 Nov21 Oct23 May25 May09 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
LO LO'S LAUGHTER Nov29 Nov05 Oct16 Jun24 May29 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 115 8.00    
CAPTIVATING BOY Nov01 Oct05 Jul20 Jun28 May27 (wong jonath)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
MAGIC CASTLE Dec06 Sep05 Aug07 May03 Apr10 (winslow janine)THORNTON G 120 5.00 9% 9.70    
CAPTAIN COOL Mar20 Dec01 Dec02 Nov11 Oct05 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE EDGE SWORD Nov07 Sep11 Aug08 Jul07 Jun15 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 6.00    
AXEL STEEL Mar03 Jan28 Dec04 Oct08 Jul30 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
BLACK CANDY Dec13 Nov27 Nov19 Nov03 Oct21 (west henry)ARANA KELVIN 115 20.00    
 
DED-9   12/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL FEATURE Dec11 Nov26 Nov07 Oct10 Aug16 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 8% 11.50    
TAKE OVER STORMY Dec19         (daigle walter)ARANA KELVIN 115 15.00    
TIZ A BREAKUP Nov27 Nov02 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 (journet albert)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCAMPERING MA'AM Dec04 Nov15 Oct17 Sep26 Aug06 (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  INEZ Sep24 Sep10 Aug06 Jul03 Jun08 (jarvis robert)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00    
ROSES N' CHROME Nov27 Nov03 Oct14 Aug23 Aug02 (knudsen kent)VARGAS P 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S THE SHERIFF Dec06 Oct29 Sep04 Aug23 Jun14 (norwood john)EDISON JOCELYN 119 5.00    
LEGAL DECEIVER Nov12 Jun07 May24 May09 Apr12 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
ROUND IN CIRCLES Nov15 Oct11 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 (flugence hen)EBOW JR 119 10.00    
10  LA LOMBRIZ Dec06 Nov27 Nov02 Oct18 Aug26 (melancon donald)ROSIER R 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.