Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - December 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/3)-(1/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/3)-(1/4/6/7)-(6/9/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/7)-(6/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/7)-(6/9/5/8)-(6/4/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/8)-(6/9/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/8)-(6/9/4/5/8)-(6/9/4/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/5/8)-(6/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/9/5/8)-(6/4/2/1)-(1/5/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/1)-(1/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/1)-(1/5/4/7)-(7/9/13/5/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(7/9/13/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/7)-(7/9/13/5/10)-(6/4/5/2/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (7/9/13/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/13/5/10)-(7/9/13/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/13/5/10)-(7/9/13/5/10)-(7/9/13/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/13/5/10)-(6/4/5/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/9/13/5/10)-(6/4/5/2/1)-(3/5/4/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/4/5/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/2/1)-(6/4/5/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/2/1)-(6/4/5/2/1)-(6/4/5/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/5/2/1)-(3/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/2/1)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/6/8/9/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(3/6/8/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/6/8/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/9/4)-(3/6/8/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/9/4)-(3/6/8/9/4)-(3/6/8/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR MICK Dec01 Oct24 Sep14 Aug31 Jun30 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 12% 7.00    
BANGKOK BOB Oct16 Sep11 Aug14 Aug07 Jul18 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 119 2.00    
UP IN FLAMES Dec01 Nov15 Oct24 Oct03 Sep14 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
BUOYANT Dec01 Oct24 Sep29 Sep04 Jul25 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
FREEDOM STANCE Oct24 Sep24 Jul18 Jun26 Jun08 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
PROBALE TEN Dec14 Nov20 Nov06 Sep08 Aug22 (chapman k)LEON A 122 15.00    
KISSLING Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug25 Jul28 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
SCHRADER Dec14 Nov28 Oct20 Sep11 Aug22 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
 
LRL-2   12/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT DUME Nov15 Oct13 Sep27 Aug29 Aug01 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
CLASSIC JOKE Jun30 May18 Apr20 Apr06 Mar08 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
SAME DAY AS L J Nov30 Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug23 (vick timoth)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
SUGA STEVE Dec06 Oct06 Sep28 Aug24 Aug11 (gaudet)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
INCINERATOR Oct06 Aug30 Jul26 Jun01 Apr13 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 125 6.00    
NORMANDY HERO Dec12 Nov04 Oct09 Sep18 Jul04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.60 11% 8.30    
BANDITSGOLDENCHILD Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 Sep02 Aug23 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-3   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 35 M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT A BOTHER Dec08 Nov16 Oct24     (graham robin )ALVELO C 126 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of TANKA by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
COGNITA         (merryman elizabe)CRUZ ANGEL 125 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DRIFTING         (bentley fennek)ROSADO JOHAN 125 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CAPE COD CAROL by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCARBOROUGH FAIR Sep07 Aug11       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BLESSINGS FIRST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
WINE AND ROSES Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 Jul10 Jun14 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of IN THE SHOES by CONGRATS)
SCR  DESTINATION Apr06 Feb23 Feb03 Dec29   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 125 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CAUGHT DREAM'N by BLAME)
MARGARET P Nov17 Oct18 Sep28 Sep02 Aug02 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 20.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of LITTLE MISS JONES by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  MEG Dec07 Nov02       (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of DIVA MEG by EXCHANGE RATE)
BIG EARN Dec02 Nov02 Oct13     (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 125 6.00 27% 2.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of NOBLE NATION by CAL NATION)
 
LRL-4   12/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 2 F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER DRIVER Nov09 Oct03       (allard edw)SANCHEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROSIEONTHERIVER Oct31 Aug31 Aug17     (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 115 5.00 16% 5.40    
MOON CACHE Oct31 Oct11 Sep08 Jul21   (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
IN MY MEMORIES Dec01 Oct11 Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 18% 4.70    
BOUJEE BUBBLEZ Nov30 Oct13 Sep21     (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 119 10.00    
ONYX TEN Dec07 Nov16 Oct12 Sep11 Aug14 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 119 1.80 35% 1.90    
SCR  MAXIMUS ANGELICUS Nov18 Oct22 Sep21 Aug19 Jul22 (reid robert)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50    
NICK'S NOTION Dec01 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 20.00    
 
LRL-5   12/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DIVINE GRACE Dec02 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 61% 0.60    
SCR  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Dec08 Nov02 Oct20 Oct05 Aug02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60    
BOUND BY DESTINY Dec15 Sep15 Aug22 Jul24 Jul12 (mcmahon w)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 30.00    
PEPPERMINT CLASS Nov29 Oct13 Sep27 Jul05 Apr14 (alvarado diane)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00    
ALWAYS LAUGHING Dec08 Jul14 Jun16 May31 Mar30 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00 6% 14.80    
RUDA Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep29 May17 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 123 2.50 7% 13.20    
NAVANI Nov10 Sep27 Sep05 Jul25 Jul13 (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00    
ISABELLA'S GLORY Dec08 Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I CAN RUN Dec08 Nov30 Oct20 Sep01 Aug25 (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 123 20.00    
 
LRL-6   12/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COFFEEWITHCHRIS Nov28 Nov03 Sep27 Aug16 Apr20 (salzman e)TORREALBA JG 123 10.00    
ENERGY EFFICIENT Dec12 Nov28 Nov14 Oct03 Aug17 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
HARD SPUN FANTASY Nov09 Oct24 Sep28 Sep07 Aug31 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
SUMO (ARG) Dec08 Nov09 Oct25 Aug11 Jul25 (gaudet lac)SANCHEZ J 123 20.00    
OXIDE Apr12 Mar02 Jan13 Dec29 Dec10 (gaudet lace)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DAREDAVITE Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 15.00    
YODEL E. A. WHO Dec04 Nov17 Oct27 Jul19 Jun25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
DATS MR. MO Jun22 May31 Apr27 Mar17 Jan27 (singh s)BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
LOOSE GOOSE Dec08 Nov30 Apr26 Mar24 Mar01 (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.50 16% 5.30    
10  BRAZILLIONAIRE Dec08 Nov30 Jun29 Feb25 Dec30 (serey mario)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINS FIRE Sep28 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (serey mario)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00    
12  QUINCANNON Dec08 Nov09 Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 (aguirre anthon)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
SCR  IRWANI (ARG) Nov26 Oct04 Sep21 Sep01 Jul28 (gonzalez clau)MORALES ANGEL 119 15.00 9% 10.70    
 
LRL-7   12/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISPUTED CLAIM Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 Jul12 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
KING COVEE Nov08 Oct20 Sep07 Aug29 Aug11 (schoenthal phi)TORREALBA JG 123 20.00 8% 11.60    
WITHOUT PRETENCE Nov30 Oct05 Aug03 Jul20 Jun09 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 122 15.00    
ST. JUDE Jan14 Mar26       (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 15% 5.50    
MARGIE'S FUN SON Dec08 Oct26 Sep21 Aug10 Jul27 (juarez cali)ROBLES O 118 10.00 13% 6.60    
WORCESTER Nov10 Aug04 Jul08 Jun11 May26 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
THREE CAPTAINS Dec13 Nov15 Oct24 Sep29 Sep14 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 6.00    
SWIFTY DEVIL Jun07 May23 Apr21 Mar29 Mar17 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 30.00    
SCR  BERNIN HOT Dec01 Oct30 Oct04 Sep12 Jul28 (davis chri)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00    
 
LRL-8   12/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARAN'S NOTION Dec14 Jul26 Jun28 May25 Apr06 (heil nan)RODRIGUEZ L 116 30.00    
ARMANDO R Nov29 Oct18 Sep13 Aug02 Jul05 (dilodovico da)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
EXCELLORATOR Nov05 Oct18 Sep13 Aug23 Jul05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 36% 1.80    
FEELING WOOZY Dec06 Nov15 Oct12 Sep07 Aug11 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50 6% 15.10    
MAGIC MICHAEL Nov29 Oct19 Sep21 Aug27 Jul26 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 32% 2.20    
REGALO Dec06 Nov03 Sep14 Aug11 Feb24 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00    
UNION FLEET Dec15 Nov28 Oct24 Sep15 Sep06 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOX OF ROCKETS Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Jun23 May24 (plummer)BRICENO GREGOR 126 3.00    
LEPRECHAUN Dec06 Nov15 May29 May19 Aug12 (jones e)ACOSTA D 121 10.00    
RESERVE JUDGEMENT Nov24         (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.60 39% 1.60    
IRISH NITRO         (sepulveda car)LUGO JR 125 30.00 8% 11.60    
PINE ALLEY Dec09 Nov16 Oct10 May19 Mar19 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
CEDAR'S ESTATE         (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 125 12.00 10% 8.80    
ANDRAS Nov29 Nov10 Oct10 Sep20   (dilodovico )ROBLES O 120 12.00    
GILLIS FALLS         (dilodovico )HAMILTON WESTON 125 15.00 10% 8.80    
STORMY HOLLOW Nov16 Oct10 Aug18     (dilodovic)CARRASCO R 125 8.00 10% 8.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.