Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - December 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/3/8/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/1/10)-(5/3/8/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/1/10)-(5/3/8/1/10)-(5/3/8/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/8/1/10)-(2/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/1/10)-(2/8/6/4)-(2/6/3/9/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/4)-(2/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/4)-(2/8/6/4)-(2/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/6/4)-(2/6/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/4)-(2/6/3/9/7)-(3/2/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/6/3/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/9/7)-(2/6/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/9/7)-(2/6/3/9/7)-(2/6/3/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/3/9/7)-(3/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/9/7)-(3/2/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/1)-(5/4/7/1)-(10/2/9/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/1)-(10/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/1)-(10/2/9/7)-(3/6/4/1/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-6   WIN (10/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/9/7)-(10/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/9/7)-(10/2/9/7)-(10/2/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/9/7)-(3/6/4/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/9/7)-(3/6/4/1/9)-(4/5/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/6/4/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1/9)-(3/6/4/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1/9)-(3/6/4/1/9)-(3/6/4/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1/9)-(4/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1/9)-(4/5/1/6)-(2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/6)-(4/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/6)-(4/5/1/6)-(4/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/6)-(2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATBED FORD Dec01 Nov15 Oct24 Oct10 Sep13 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINCE PRALINE Dec01 Nov15 Oct26     (deiter k)RODRIGUEZ L 115 30.00    
3  BUDS ISLAND Dec01         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  PIPI N MIMI Dec01 Oct24 Oct03     (felici)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
5  BALANCE OF POWER Nov15         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
6  ALIGN Dec01 Oct25 Oct06 Sep29 Aug24 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 4.00    
7  GUILTED Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 Sep14   (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
8  LUCKY TWO DAY         (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00 13% 6.60    
9  MOONLIT FROST Dec01 Oct18 Sep15     (dilodovico )BURNHAM MATILDA 111 30.00    
10  TUFF LUCK Nov09 Jul24       (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-2   12/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GALATIANS Nov16 Oct27 Sep27 Sep07 Aug18 (dilodovico )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
2  WAR MASTER Nov30 Oct31 Oct15 Oct08 Sep21 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  SAGRADA RAY Nov17 Sep28 Sep05 Aug03 Jul19 (capuano gary )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
4  RUNNING RIVER Dec13 Nov28 Nov16 Nov09 Oct04 (mohan )ARAUJO VICENTE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLLECTION DAY Nov30 Oct18 Sep27 Sep04 Jul27 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 2.50    
6  WHISKEYINTHEJARO Dec01 Oct26 Oct11 Feb07 Jan28 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 5.00 7% 12.70    
7  BROTHER BRAD Nov17 Oct05 Aug18 Jul28 May11 (alvarado diane)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00    
8  CAP COM Nov30 Nov15 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 (singh somraj)ROSADO JOHAN 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
LRL-3   12/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 2 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL JUNIOR         (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
2  DARING VENTURE Nov16 Oct06       (russell b)CARRASCO R 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
3  BERNIE THE STAR Dec01 Nov16 Oct31     (singh somraj)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  ROCKET SCIENCE Nov27 Jul20       (gillespie ryan )BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
5  FAST TALKIN MAN Dec01         (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
6  AIKMANS AUDIBLE Nov29         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
7  WINNING TRIP Oct31         (feliciano b)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SEVERN RUN Dec01         (capuano philli)BOYCE FOREST 122 20.00    
9  SABRA'S SONG Nov30         (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 119 6.00 7% 14.30    
10  SERENDIPITYMONDAY         (mcclure dia)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
11  SLAM NOTION Oct06         (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 122 10.00    
 
LRL-4   12/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Howard Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEZE THE FIRE Nov30 Nov03 Oct12 Sep27 Aug11 (magana j)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of SCENARIO ANALYSIS by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  BRILLIANT ICE Nov15 Oct12 Aug11 Jul26 Jul05 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of LITTLE ICE PATCH by HOUSEBUSTER)
3  CELTIC CONTENDER Nov30 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 Jul28 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of CELTIC KATIE by POSSE)
4  CIRCLE P Nov30 Oct17 Sep27 Sep08 Jun29 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  SEVEN'S ELEVEN Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug23 (bailon nes)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
6  PLAY LIKE A RAVEN Nov30 Oct17 Sep28 Sep08 Jul14 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 4.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of COWGIRL CREED by SHARP HUMOR)
7  WITTY Nov27 Nov02 Oct12 Sep07 Aug11 (merryman el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
 
LRL-5   12/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Politely Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA BETTINA Nov15 Oct19 Sep27 Aug18 Jul28 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CONGAREE PRINCESS by CONGAREE)
2  SUMMER ODDS Oct11 Sep22 Aug31 Sep30 Sep09 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 30.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of SUMMER WIND HALEY by ROCK SLIDE)
3  PUDD'N N PIE Nov18 Oct22 Oct12 Sep25 Aug10 (deiter ke)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of PLUM by PURE PRIZE)
4  SHEILAHS WARCLOUD Nov30 Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 Jan12 (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SKY LANI by SKY MESA)
5  SPENCERIAN Nov15 Oct12 Oct03 Sep02 Aug10 (mcmahon i)NO RIDER 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of CURSIVE by GOLDEN GEAR)
6  TALK TO THE JUDGE Nov27 Oct12 Sep03 Jul26 Jul08 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TALKIN SMACK by TALK NICE)
7  BOURBON BON BAY Nov29 Oct12 Aug29 Jul18 Nov23 (allard edward )TORRES JOMAR 120 1.80 19% 4.30    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SHEZA DISH by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  ROYAL WHISPER Dec15 Nov02 Aug22 Jul20 Jun02 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DISCREET STAR by DISCREET CAT)
 
LRL-6   12/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM CHASER Dec02 Nov01 Oct19 Oct01 Aug28 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 126 3.50    
SCR  DIVINE GRACE Dec02 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
2  ONCOURTCOMMENTATOR Oct27 Sep07 Aug18 Jul20 Jun28 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  RUDA Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep29 May17 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 119 10.00    
4  MS. TART Nov10 Oct20 Sep15 Aug05 Jul06 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
5  MALIBU MOONSHINE Nov15 Oct12 Aug29 Jun21 Feb25 (beattie t)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
6  ATLAS STRONG Nov30 Nov10 Oct12 Sep13 Aug22 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 126 12.00    
7  KISSEDBYANANGEL Nov30 Nov09 Oct12 Sep28 Aug31 (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KISS ME HARDY Nov06 Sep05 Aug21 Jul24 Jul10 (kirby t)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
9  GOLD DIGGING BROAD Nov30 Oct19 Sep29 Sep04 Aug18 (vera m)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 11% 7.70    
10  DISCREET OPS Nov30 Oct20 Sep22 Aug24 Jul13 (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
LRL-7   12/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Carousel Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NEW YORK Sep22 Aug17 Jul08 Sep30 Jul29 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 124 5.00 10% 8.90    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUNA VEGA by MALIBU MOON)
2  SEA DANCER Oct27 Sep28 Aug17 Jul20 Jun01 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
3  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) Nov03 Sep18 Aug04 Jun15 Mar27 (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by DROSSELMEYER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MALIBU BEAUTY Nov29 Nov09 Sep19 Aug18 Aug04 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by BUFFUM out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
5  REGALED Nov30 Oct23 Aug31 Jul27 Jul08 (davis s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 30.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ASCOT WALK by DAAHER)
6  MOVIE MOXY Dec07 Nov22 Nov03 Aug03 Jul26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
7  TOO MANY KISSES Nov17 Oct06 Sep14 Mar16 Feb17 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 120 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of CASUAL KISS by DEHERE)
8  CALL ANOTHER PLAY Oct27 Sep07 Aug04 Jul08 May17 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
9  SADDLE UP JESSIE Nov02 Sep18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun08 (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
 
LRL-8   12/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Robert Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILM STAR Oct26 Sep21 Aug03 Jul11 Dec28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 7% 12.50    
  (by FLATTER out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
2  CATALEYA STRIKE Nov29 Oct13 Sep27 Aug11 Jul13 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 119 10.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of EIFFEL TOWER by SMART STRIKE)
3  LIEUTENANT BROWN Oct31 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Jun28 (mancilla a)NO RIDER 120 30.00    
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of LADEPUTAUT by CHAPEL ROYAL)
4  SPEEDYNESS Nov30 Nov15 May18 Apr20 Mar23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HARTIGAN by INCLUDE)
5  COPPER TAX Nov29 Nov03 Jun22 Apr20 Mar23 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 125 1.40 21% 3.90    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of WILHELMINA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  WILD VINE Nov27 Nov01 Aug26 Aug16 Jul19 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 7% 14.20    
  (by RED VINE out of PRASLIN by EVEN THE SCORE)
7  HITTHEROADJAK Nov30 Oct12 Aug31 May31 Dec02 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 8.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of OUR JAKS by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
LRL-9   12/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWOS THE BOSS         (wooten a)RODRIGUEZ L 115 10.00    
2  HOT BOSS Dec08 Nov01       (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  WINE SNOB Dec07 Nov03 Oct16     (deiter kell)CACHA-PADILLA B 118 20.00    
4  GOTTAHOPPERTUNITY Nov29 Oct26       (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 122 3.50    
5  FAIR TRADE         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  WALL STREET MAGIC Nov29 Oct26       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 10.00    
7  ESTOCADA         (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50    
8  CAN DO Nov30         (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.