Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/3)-(1/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/3)-(1/6/7/3)-(5/3/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/3)-(5/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/3)-(5/3/6/7)-(7/2/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/7)-(7/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/7)-(7/2/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/3)-(8/7/4/3)-(4/5/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/3)-(4/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/3)-(4/5/6/7)-(6/1/2/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7)-(6/1/2/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/7)-(6/1/2/10/8)-(7/1/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/1/2/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/10/8)-(6/1/2/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/10/8)-(6/1/2/10/8)-(6/1/2/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/2/10/8)-(7/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY MOAT Oct31 Oct18 Oct05 Mar06 Feb23 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARMELIZED Oct05 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
3  PRETTY CASTLE Jan11 Dec14 Aug04 Jul08 Jun01 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ITSUPTOME Oct05 Sep19 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 (boykins kev)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 2.00 9% 10.30    
5  BIT OF BLESSINGS Oct31 Oct16 Sep19 Sep09 Aug21 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 5.00    
6  VIESTE Oct31 Oct18 Oct05 Sep19 Aug16 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50    
7  SWISS HORIZON Oct31 Oct18 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 122 8.00    
 
CT-2   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALENTED LORD Oct30 Oct11       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
2  DREAM STREET ROSE Oct24 Oct04 Sep01 Aug22 May30 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00    
3  SEVEN NATTY PATTY Oct24 Oct04 Aug22 Jul27 Jun20 (venham d)MAYHEW W 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  STILL GRUMPY Oct24 Oct12 Sep13 Aug22 Aug10 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 6.00    
5  SYMPTOMATIC Nov09 Oct24 Sep12 Aug24 Aug02 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
6  SHEWONTTALKTOME Oct24 Oct12 Sep13 Aug02 Jul13 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  PETTY PERFECT Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 Jul13 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
CT-3   11/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICE'S MOON Oct12 Sep05 Aug15 Jul18   (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
2  KEEP SHINING ON US Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15   (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
3  MACNICK TIME Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep20 Sep13 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CHARITABLE TIME by CHARITABLE MAN)
SCR  LUNAR TICK Oct24 Sep13 Aug15 Jul18   (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PRIZED ANNUITY by PRIZED)
5  SAUCY BOSS Nov06         (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
6  JUBA B WILD Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
  (by JUBA out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
7  POPPY MAC Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
8  GOLDEN PLUNGE Oct24         (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-4   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST VIRGINIA Nov01 Oct04 Sep28 Aug09 Jul11 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 117 3.00    
2  PERPETUAL PRAISE Oct02 Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 Jun22 (farrior a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
3  AFLEET DIVA Nov08 Sep13 Aug24 Jul20 Jun13 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00 6% 16.50    
4  RIDE THE RAPIDS Nov08 Oct18 Oct04 Sep27 Sep14 (ramos )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
5  NURSE RACHETT Oct12 Sep27 Sep07 Aug22 Jul17 (rodriguez j)ROBLES O 117 20.00    
6  CELTIC REVIVAL Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Jul18 Jun19 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
7  PAYNT YOUR WAY Oct25 Oct04 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
8  THUNDERTURTLE Oct25 Jun29 Jun08 May17 Apr19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50    
 
CT-5   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL REY DE PAPA Oct17 Jul27 Sep01 Aug11   (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 124 30.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TIME TO WINK by GIMMEAWINK)
2  SUPERSONIC CRUISER         (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of TIGER CAT LILLY by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Sep26 Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 Feb02 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
4  NO BRAKE NEEDED Oct30 Oct17 Sep19 Aug22 Jul27 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  HOYLAKE Nov05 Oct22 Sep23 Aug19 Jul23 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SWEET SWINGIN by STREET SENSE)
SCR  LAWYER UP RILEY Feb16 Dec21       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CALL PAT by LAWYER RON)
7  DREAM FORCE Sep01 Aug11 May14 Feb18 Dec26 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by TAPIT out of TO DREAM ABOUT by MONARCHOS)
8  MITBY Aug30 Aug04       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 51% 0.90    
  (by MITOLE out of FORMBY by SCAT DADDY)
 
CT-6   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Oct17 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 Jul18 (garrido r)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 30.00    
2  EL DIVINO NINO Nov08 Nov03 Oct17 Sep29 Aug31 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 6.00    
3  SCREW LOOSE May11 Apr12 Feb29 Jan11 Dec02 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50    
4  PINK DINGHY Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 Jul04 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
5  YANGARRA Oct31 Oct17 Oct11 Sep20 Sep12 (o'neill m)GILPIN SEAN 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  PERSONABLE Sep13 Jun29 May30 Mar27 Mar09 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
7  BRISTOL CHANNEL Nov06 Nov29 Nov03 Oct28 Aug27 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHICA CHUCK Nov14 Oct25 Oct03 Sep12 Aug31 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
 
CT-7   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVY BAND Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 Nov22 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 113 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  CITY OF ARCHES Nov01 Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 Aug01 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
3  CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Oct31 Sep28 Aug15 Aug01 Feb23 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY ODDS Oct20 Sep21 Aug23 Aug01   (jones michae)LEWIS M 115 12.00    
5  FAR MORE Oct18 Sep14 Aug10 Aug01 Feb14 (groves janice)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
6  SUBTLE STORM Sep14 Aug23       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
7  PIPE DREAMIN Oct24 Oct04 Sep21 Aug01 Feb23 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 15.00    
8  MALIBU YEARS Oct24 Jul13 Jun20 May24 Nov17 (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  PALACIO Nov09 Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 (tobin e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
10  GOLDEN CIRCLES Nov02         (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARGARITA SUNSET Mar20 Feb14 Aug10     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
SCR  FULL OF CHARM Oct30 Oct04 Sep14 Jun29 Jun07 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50    
 
CT-8   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Oct30 Oct10 Sep14 Aug10 Jul04 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 1.40 21% 3.70    
2  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Oct30 Oct10 Aug15 Aug02 Jul04 (shanley m)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
SCR  LOVE OF GRACE Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 Aug15 May23 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 20.00    
4  APPEALING ROAD Oct30 Aug15 Jul04 May23 Apr11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 11% 7.90    
5  DIVA ROSE Nov09 Nov01 Jun21 Apr11 Mar23 (craig lewis )WHITACRE GRANT 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AUNT JO Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 Sep09 Aug30 (smith m)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
7  MUSIC LASS Oct30 Oct10 Sep21 Aug28 Jul04 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
8  GIRLS PERFUME Oct30 Oct05 Aug24 Jun14 May24 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
9  JUJU ON DA BEAT Nov06 Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 Aug24 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.