Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - November 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2)-(8/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(8/7/3/2)-(3/5/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-2   WIN (8/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/2)-(8/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/2)-(8/7/3/2)-(8/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/2)-(3/5/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/2)-(3/5/8/4)-(5/6/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/4)-(3/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/4)-(3/5/8/4)-(3/5/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/8/4)-(5/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8/4)-(5/6/3/2)-(2/5/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2)-(2/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/2)-(2/5/1/3)-(7/6/9/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(7/6/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3)-(7/6/9/1/2)-(6/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/6/9/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/1/2)-(7/6/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/1/2)-(7/6/9/1/2)-(7/6/9/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/9/1/2)-(6/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/9/1/2)-(6/5/7)-(6/8/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/10/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/10/4/5)-(6/8/10/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE RANDY         (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PEA EYE         (dixon tim)POMPELL L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SEASONAL LOVE Oct25         (brinkman brett)PEREZ CARLOS 115 2.50 20% 4.10    
IRISH BILLY         (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 120 10.00    
GREATIZLOVE Nov01 Aug10 Jul13     (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
BEARCAT         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
YANKEESTROLGY Oct26         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 3.00 55% 0.80    
GIBSON         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
 
DED-2   11/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINOR DISCREPANCY Oct12 Jul25 Jul06 May25 May01 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 10.00    
CALCULATED LUV Oct30 Sep02 Jul06 May24 Apr27 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN QUALITY Oct18 Sep09 Aug19 Jul31 Jul02 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
SPECIAL DISPATCH Aug17 Jul27 Jun23 May17 Apr24 (amoss thomas)BARRERA J 118 2.00    
SCR  STREET ART Oct30 Oct18 Aug16 Aug03 Jun21 (ramirez eduardo)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
CONTEMPLATION Sep25 Aug31 Aug03 Jun26 May21 (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
BELLO CREEDO Oct30 Sep18 Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 (landry ray)ROSIER R 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
MOSQUITO FLEET Aug26 Jul24 Jul09 Jun10 May08 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
 
DED-3   11/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHSCAPE         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of ON HER TERMS by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  TARGET READY Jul13         (broussard jarm)ARANA KELVIN 117 15.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of L. A. READY by MORE THAN READY)
POPPA MAGIC Oct11 Jan12 Dec20 Nov25 Nov09 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
LOUISIANA LUCA         (cormier car)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of FROM TIZ MOMENT ON by TIZNOW)
CAUSEWAY BENNY Oct11 Jul25 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CHANGING VISTA by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
CALL ME RIP Nov05 Oct06       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 122 8.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of BRAHMS BABY by FOREFATHERS)
KAT'S SOLDIER Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 Dec07 Nov08 (mason shane)FUSILIER C 124 15.00    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of AUNT KAT KAT by A. P. DELTA)
PEGASO (PER) Sep11         (turner patti)PEREZ CARLOS 117 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of GLITTERING SNOW by ROOKIE SENSATION)
MISTERHOLYROLLER May02 Apr17 Mar16 Feb24 Feb13 (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of WILD RANGER by U S RANGER)
 
DED-4   11/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BRAD Oct16 Sep09 Aug21 Jul24 Jun25 (venzor jailinn)ARANA KELVIN 114 20.00    
OUT MAKING TREBLE Mar15 Feb24 Feb08 Jan05 Dec19 (mason shane)FUSILIER C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MYMANROWEN Oct19 Sep16 Sep04 Jul04 Jun03 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 121 8.00 12% 7.70    
ALLER VITE Oct26 Sep09 Aug14 Jun01 May18 (richard russell)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
MOR JAZZ Oct12 Sep24 Aug26 Aug08 Jul05 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
COOL RIDE Nov02 Oct10 Jun17 Jun04 May06 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 119 3.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  MR RAMIREZ Sep12 Aug31 Jun22 Mar06 Feb09 (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
DOCE DE LA NOCHE Oct16 Aug14 Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 124 12.00    
YES JACK Oct26 Sep14 Aug27 Aug13 Jul04 (turner patti)PEREZ CARLOS 117 10.00    
 
DED-5   11/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARFISH Jun15 May17 Apr26 Apr06 Mar08 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
WISHERT Oct16 Aug23 Jul09 Jun04 May14 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Oct30 Aug17 Jun28 Jun15 May17 (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 118 15.00 6% 14.90    
LOVELY SASSICAIA Oct16 Aug17 Jun29 Jun08 May24 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
F T W SLAM Oct16 Jun01 May09 Apr13 Mar10 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 2.00 22% 3.60    
BOULDERING Sep11 Aug23 Aug03 Jun13 May09 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00    
EMPIRE KID Aug24 Jul19 Jul05 Jun15 May03 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 4.00    
 
DED-6   11/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAUCY ARGUMENT Aug24 Jul27 Jul11 May29 May09 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 121 5.00 8% 12.00    
CLASSY SHIPMAN Oct12 Aug12 Jun19 May06 Oct20 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00 6% 15.90    
FRIEND'S DO CARE Oct19 Sep10 Aug27 Jun17 May14 (bruno donald )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 15.00    
HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Nov02 Aug24 Aug14 Jul25 Jun28 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
F J'S FLACO Oct26 Aug24 Aug14 Jul05 Jun13 (maturin chad)STOKES J 124 8.00    
RUN CARLOS Oct19 Aug14 Jul13 Jun06 Jan27 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 121 12.00 24% 3.20    
DEE'S LEGS Nov02 Oct10 Sep18 Aug21 Aug06 (nelson eric )BARRERA J 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
HIT THE BULLSEYE Sep11 Aug17 Jul11 Jun05 May15 (pedigo randy)THORNTON G 119 2.50    
YAKETY YAK Nov02 Oct10 Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 (flugence henry)ROSIER R 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
DED-7   11/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILOXI Oct25 Oct11 Aug10 Jul18 Jul06 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
SCR  MONAASIB Jul18 Jul04 May03 Apr06 Jan13 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00    
SCR  SPECIAL STORMY Jul11 Jun06 Apr05 Mar01 Feb08 (chatters benar)PEREZ CARLOS 113 6.00    
SCR  UP N GONE Oct16 Aug16 Aug01 Jul04 Jun07 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 4.00    
BRITE OUTLOOK Oct11 Aug10 Jul06 Jun22 May10 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
GOOD AND STOUT Oct17 Jul04 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (castille carro)THORNTON G 115 6.00 49% 1.00    
JOSH'S DREAM Oct17 Aug14 Jun23 Jun01 May04 (love alan)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TODDCHERO Oct02 Sep06 Jun29 Jun14 May10 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 2.00    
DARE TO FAIL Oct11 Sep14 Oct14 Aug19 Jul31 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
 
DED-8   11/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALLING Sep03 Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 May22 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00    
CUSTOM CANDY Oct29 Sep03 Aug14 Jun28 Jun08 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
KAPPA HILL Oct26 Aug28 Jul25 May15 Mar09 (flugence henr)VARGAS P 124 20.00    
COME WHAT MAE Nov01 Oct19 Aug15 Jul25 Jul05 (cormier cardel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SABERFIGHT Nov01 Oct19 Sep11 Aug24 Aug15 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISS ST. CLAIRE Oct29 Nov08 Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 2.00 65% 0.50    
I'M ALL MIXED UP Oct29 Sep18 Sep03 Jul29 Jun25 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00    
EASY BET Oct17 Aug24 Aug10 Jul18 Jun29 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 4.00 7% 14.30    
GRACE'S SOLDIER Sep18 Aug14 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
10  CECE WAVE Nov01 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul11 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.