Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - November 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/5/6)-(5/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/2/8/6)-(3/9/8/10/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/8/6)-(3/9/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTD-8   WIN (3/9/8/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/10/1)-(3/9/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/10/1)-(3/9/8/10/1)-(3/9/8/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   11/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERDITION Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jul06 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.50 41% 1.50    
2  ABOVE AND BEYOND Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXAMINER Oct27 Aug23 Aug10 Jul31 Jul06 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 2.50    
4  BARAK Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 (ward anderso)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00    
SCR  ROCKTILLYOUDROP Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Aug10 (ward a)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
 
CTD-2   11/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADYACE OF SPEIGHT         (grieves ron)MUIR SHAMAREE 120 2.50    
2  VIOLENT VIOLET Sep28 Sep07 May04 Mar17 Feb19 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 8% 12.10    
3  B B'S WILDFIRE Aug30 Jul17 May18 Oct07 Sep23 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
4  FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Oct13 Oct06 Sep07 Jul26 Jul06 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.80 32% 2.20    
5  ANNAMARIA Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul17 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 122 2.00    
 
CTD-3   11/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONESOME CAT Oct13 Sep29 Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 (ward a)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00    
SCR  CALI CONQUEST Oct19 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 125 4.50    
3  WRONG SPOT Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  WHERE'S THE GOLD Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 3.50    
5  ERLICH Sep22 Sep07 Aug02 Jul20 Sep24 (kingston robert)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 20% 3.90    
6  ORANGE THEORY Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug31 Aug03 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 6.00 6% 16.80    
 
CTD-4   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPORTSCARR Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 Aug23 (hawkes dar)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 6.00    
2  SMILIN EVIE Sep29 Sep07 Aug10 Jul26 Dec10 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  A MAN'S MAN Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 (hawkes darcy)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  HE'S A SAINT Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug09 (ward a)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00    
5  TUCKER TIME Oct19 Oct05 Sep14 Sep07 Aug10 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.80 41% 1.40    
6  LIFES ADVENTURE Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 Aug06 Jul26 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50    
 
CTD-5   11/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Oct26 Oct14 Oct06 Sep28 Sep15 (mead colten)LUNAN RICHARD 125 8.00 8% 11.30    
2  KARDINAL ROSE Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Aug26 Jul05 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 2.00 14% 6.20    
3  UBBADEETS Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Aug03 Jul13 (smith w)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 30.00    
4  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Oct12 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 125 2.50    
5  B C CHU CHU Oct26 Oct13 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.20 53% 0.90    
6  WICKED WIZZY Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 20.00    
 
CTD-6   11/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUG'S HERO Oct06 Sep22 Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 (petrowski jo)HUGHES RASHEED 122 4.50    
2  JUMP THE QUEUE Sep22 Aug30 Jul31 Oct07 Aug19 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
3  HELEN'S SUN Oct13 Aug30 Aug11 Jun28 May31 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DETERMINED FREEDOM Oct26 Jan07       (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  THALES Oct27 Oct19 Oct06 Aug10 Jul13 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  HANDSOME HENRY Oct20 Oct13 Sep22 Aug30 Aug10 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.00    
 
CTD-7   11/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE'S COPY Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 Jun28 Jun15 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50    
2  MOONSHINE NOW Oct26 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jul01 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 7% 14.10    
3  FAR BEYOND Oct19 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 63% 0.60    
4  BEAUGATTI Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Aug31 Aug16 (tingle ken)PARRIS SACHIN 115 10.00    
5  DANCING WILLIE Oct12 Oct05 Sep13 Aug24 Jul31 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 4.50    
6  GIACOMETTI Oct26 Sep08 Aug21 Jul08 Jun05 (smith darcy)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00    
8  SILVERFOOT Oct26 Oct12 Sep21 Sep14 Aug23 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-8   11/03/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST OF WAR Oct26 Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 Aug16 (heggie rod)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAMURAI CHALLENGE Sep28 Aug31 Aug16 Jun22 May18 (bell ke)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 122 20.00    
3  LANNY MAC Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 Aug25 Aug10 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  MY BOY CHRISTIAN Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Sep21 Sep06 (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 125 20.00    
5  C C'S KITTEN Oct26 Oct12 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 125 4.00    
SCR  BOBS BUDDY Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Oct22 Oct14 (ward a)STEADMAN LEON 125 30.00    
7  RUNNINFORCOVER Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug10 (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 125 6.00    
8  PODEROSO EQUS Oct12 Sep16 Sep04 Aug14 Aug05 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 115 10.00 13% 7.00    
9  BROWNING ISLAND Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Aug28 Jul01 (heggie rod)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50 15% 5.50    
10  MAYBE SOMETIME Oct27 Oct14 Sep28 Sep16 Sep03 (robson travis)ROCHA O 125 15.00 12% 7.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.