Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - October 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(7/1/2/5)-(3/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTD-4   WIN (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/5)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-5   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (8/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTD-7   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(8/7/6/5)-(7/3/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-8   WIN (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/5)-(7/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-9   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-2   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FED BOY Oct05 Sep13       (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
  (by FED BIZ out of PRETTY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
2  ALLURING ALI Oct12 Sep13 Aug10     (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 119 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
3  DR BROKER Oct12         (rycroft)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 122 4.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
4  SNEAKY SITUATION Oct12 Sep29 Sep03 Aug14 Aug06 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 119 5.00 8% 11.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
5  THATSWHATIMHEREFOR Oct05         (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.20 41% 1.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of ENNIS LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CTD-3   10/27/2024 2310ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK PASSENGER         (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 4.00 12% 7.70    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of RICH IMAGE by IMAGINING)
2  TANSI Oct12 Sep18       (cone rodney)BRYAN D 119 8.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WELLESLEY GIRL by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
3  ZIP IT WRIT Oct12 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10   (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.00 59% 0.70    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PLEASE ZIP IT by CITY ZIP)
4  GINGERS GIANT         (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 122 10.00 7% 14.10    
  (by FED BIZ out of HERO'S GINGER SNAP by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
5  WORTHY SPIRIT Oct12 Sep29       (smith rob)NELSON DANE 119 3.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BACKSIDE BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
6  MARRYMEINGEORGIA Sep29         (frey carson)PARRIS SACHIN 109 15.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  TOURISTICA         (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 119 20.00    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of ARTISTICA by SECOND IN COMMAND)
 
CTD-4   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMOHR REIGNS Sep14 Aug09 Oct08 Sep16 Aug04 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 13% 6.90    
2  EXAMINER Aug23 Aug10 Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 9% 10.10    
3  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Aug23 Aug10 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00    
4  READYTOTAPNSING Oct13 Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 (anderson gonza)MARTIN ANDRE 125 4.50    
5  LINCHPIN STORM Oct13 Sep21 Aug25 Aug10 Jul19 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAGNIFICENT MARIO Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 Sep06 Jul29 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 20.00    
7  BON PRIX Oct13 Sep28 Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
8  LITTLE J P Sep29 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul13 (heggie rod)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
 
CTD-5   10/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERSIDE Oct12 Sep28 Sep06 Aug24 Jul12 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 23% 3.40    
2  RAILWAY Sep28 Sep07 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00    
3  TICKET TO THE TOP Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
4  FLASHFORDANI Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul17 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 15.00    
SCR  COOLWIND Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 (cone r)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00    
6  SMART PLAY Oct20 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul17 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50    
7  BIG NICK Oct12 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-6   10/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMEINPOWER Oct20 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 (hedge rick)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00    
2  DISTORTED ROSE Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug17 Jul28 (robson travis)ROCHA O 122 12.00    
3  BLAZING SUN Oct20 Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 (kettleson alivia)BRYAN D 125 8.00 23% 3.30    
4  RECIO'S SKYE Oct20 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  SADIE MY LADY Sep29 Sep14 Aug09 Jul28 Jul06 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50    
6  DRAMATIC FLAIR Oct20 Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00 5% 17.50    
7  KULSUM Oct20 Oct13 Sep14 Aug24 Jul28 (brown r)NELSON DANE 122 4.00    
8  JELLI Oct13 Sep22 Aug31 Aug03 Jul10 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
CTD-7   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTENZIONE Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00    
SCR  COUNTRIFIED Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00    
3  ARISTOCRACY Oct13 Sep29 Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 3.50    
4  SAXON SAGA Sep22 Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  ROCKTILLYOUDROP Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (ward a)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 15.00    
6  VIATURE Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 123 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  NEIGHBOR Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 5.00    
8  TAYLOR FIELD Oct13 Sep22 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 20.00 14% 5.90    
 
CTD-8   10/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE GUY EDDIE Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 Jul31 Aug25 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00    
2  IT'S A FACT Sep21 Aug24 Jul05 May31 Oct01 (kingston karline)BRYAN D 123 15.00    
3  BRODY'S PAL Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 (biggs seymour)CHOW CHAVION 123 20.00    
4  BARAK Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 Aug09 (ward a)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 20.00    
5  STONE CARVER Oct13 Sep21 Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALL RUN Oct13 Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THALES Oct19 Oct06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 125 3.50 8% 10.80    
8  DR. DAVE Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
 
CTD-9   10/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYBE SOMETIME Oct14 Sep28 Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 (robson travis)ROCHA O 125 15.00 12% 7.20    
2  AMEER Oct13 Sep28 Sep13 Sep06 Aug23 (biggs seymour)CHOW CHAVION 125 10.00    
3  GOOD BYE PUTIN Oct06 Sep21 Aug16 Jul27 Jun21 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  SIMMS Oct14 Sep28 Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 (davis tes)ZENTENO JR 125 20.00    
5  DON'T STOP DREAMIN Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Aug23 Jul26 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  UPO Oct13 Sep28 Aug31 Aug11 Jul28 (haw)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
7  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  A LATE ONE Oct13 Sep22 Sep06 Aug10 Jul31 (ward anderson)BRYAN D 125 20.00    
9  JUMEIRAH COAST Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 Jul17 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.