Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/5)-(2/1/5)-(5/3/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/3/8/6)-(3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/6)-(3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/6)-(3/8)-(4/1/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/7/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/8)-(4/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(4/1/9)-(10/2/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/9)-(4/1/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/9)-(4/1/2/9/7)-(4/1/2/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/9)-(10/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9)-(10/2/1/3)-(1/3/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/3)-(10/2/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/3)-(10/2/1/3/4)-(10/2/1/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/1/3)-(1/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1/3)-(1/3/2/4)-(7/8/11/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/4)-(7/8/11/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/8/11/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/11/4/5)-(7/8/11/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/11/4/5)-(7/8/11/4/5)-(7/8/11/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z U AT THE RACES Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 May19 Apr29 (binning matt)LEWIS M 115 10.00    
2  ICE BAR Jun13 Mar30 Dec13 Sep08 Aug25 (galligan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  MAKE WAY Sep20 Mar28 Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00    
4  MALINOIS Sep27 Sep02 Jul20 May23 Apr20 (maldona)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00 23% 3.30    
5  UNCLE WATER FLOW Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jul22 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANTIPOISON Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 (maldonado jo)MARRERO CARLOS 122 1.60    
7  JAZZ WITH DENIS Sep20 Aug16 Aug10 Jul05 Jun07 (murdock ste)ROBLES O 117 1.40 27% 2.80    
 
CT-2   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GABRIEL'S WING Jul20 Jun27 May30 May09 Apr06 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
2  GRAN ANDREWS Sep02 Aug22 Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.40 55% 0.80    
3  PRACTICAL SENSE Sep14 Aug22 Jul20 Jun15 Jun06 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
SCR  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Sep27 Aug28 Jul12 Jun19 May30 (rathman el)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
5  MARK DID IT Sep20 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Sep02 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May02 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
7  ONLY GET'N BETTER Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00    
 
CT-3   10/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM THAT I AM Sep20 Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 Jun14 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
2  ROAD SLEW Oct03 Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 (ramos agosto)LEWIS M 117 12.00    
3  TAPIO (IRE) Sep21 Aug22 May25 May04 Apr13 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  ALWAYS GAMBLING Sep13 Jul28 Jul20 Jun09 May17 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 115 1.00    
5  GOLD N SILVER Aug16 Jul02 Jun10 May06 Feb04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  WELLING Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 Jul27 Jun14 (spriggs toschia)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 7% 13.30    
7  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Sep20 Aug16 Aug03 Jun14 Jun02 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
8  AUBURN MILL Sep21 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 19% 4.30    
 
CT-4   10/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DICEY GREY Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 Jul07 (hanagan lela)LEWIS M 113 10.00    
2  ELEANORS JACK Jun20 May02 Apr13 Dec16 Dec01 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 15.00    
3  FURREAL Sep13 Aug15 Jul04 May31 Jan24 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 70% 0.40    
4  FLY FLY AWAY Sep26 Sep15 Aug24 Aug17 Jul28 (garber owen)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
5  CAJUN JOE Sep19 Aug10 Jul06 Jun13 May23 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
6  MR. MOX Sep14 Aug17 Jul05 Jun12 May05 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 ★    
7  GEORGE Sep19 May18 Apr27 Feb23 Feb02 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 ★    
8  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Sep26 Aug16 Jun14 May23 May03 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACING HOT LINE Sep14 Jul19 Jun07 May16 Apr25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 10% 8.80    
2  EXCLUSIVE ORIGINAL Sep13 Jun22 May17 Apr19 Mar28 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 4.50 ★    
3  SWISS LEGACY Sep13 Jul05 Jun13 May31 Jul06 (calhoun amanda)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
4  LUCKY ONE Aug03 Jan26 Jan04 May19 Apr27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
5  ASTRAYAL Sep13 Jul26 Jul05 Jun29 Jun13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
6  MALEKES MAGIC Sep13 Aug17 Jul18 Jun22 Jun01 (aylor l)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
7  MY BUDDY DUANE Sep13 Aug24 Jul26 Jun24 Jun18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 ★    
8  MONKEY WRENCH Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 May18 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 20.00    
9  JUBA'S MOCHA Aug10 Jul20 Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 (brown keith )LEWIS M 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Sep14 Aug10 Jul04 May21 Apr18 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00 14% 6.20    
2  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Sep26 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 Jul12 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Aug15 Aug02 Jul04 Jun21 May23 (johnson j)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHELLS GIRL Sep28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 Jul04 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 4.50 ★    
5  WILD GIRL Sep19 Aug13 Jul10 May21 Jan03 (caiazzo corby)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00    
6  WINDSOR'S MEMORY Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 Jun08 May24 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
7  GLOBAL EMPRESS Aug15 Jul04 May23 Apr11 Mar20 (couchenour lee)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
8  LOVE OF GRACE Sep19 Aug15 May23 May13 Mar21 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
9  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Sep27 Jul04 May23 May09 Apr19 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
10  MUSIC LASS Sep21 Aug28 Jul04 Jun13 May21 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
CT-7   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAFFRON Sep20 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00 28% 2.60    
2  IHEARTRAINACOMN Sep28 Sep20 Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
3  ADIOS MEISTER Sep20 Aug15 Jul24     (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  LADDIES SONG Sep29 Aug16       (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS BEE BOP Sep21 Aug23 Aug03 May25 Apr27 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
6  LUCKY BLONDE Aug23 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 May23 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.00    
7  SOMESUGARNSPICE Sep21 Sep10 Jul24 Jul07 Jun23 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00    
8  BULL'S LEGACY Sep27 Aug17 Jul27 May30 May09 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
9  DIAMOND'S CABARET Aug03 Jul11 Jun21 May31 Apr21 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 6.00    
10  NO BODY LIKES ME Aug22 Aug01       (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
 
CT-8   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARSTREET Sep18 Aug15 Jul18 Jun19 May30 (rodriguez j)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 20.00    
2  GOLDEN APPEAL Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (craig lewis)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 10.00    
3  TACO BEAN Sep21 Jul12 May25 May08 Apr15 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
4  DESERT RULER Sep20 Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 May29 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Sep20 Apr27 Apr12 Mar20 Feb23 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAYENNE CREEK Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Mar28 Mar21 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 5.00    
7  HERO'S MAN Aug16 Jun27 May16 Mar11 Dec07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 54% 0.90    
8  THE KHOZAN ONE Oct03 Aug16 Feb21 Jan13 Dec18 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 115 3.00 11% 8.10    
9  TOP OF THE MINT Aug16 Jul27 Jun14 Apr12 Apr06 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
10  MARCHED Aug30 Aug04 Jul19 Jun15 May17 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
11  KENNY HAD A NOTION Jul25 Jun20 May04 Apr12 Mar16 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Sep10 Aug14 Jul15 Jun27 May30 (agnew nao)BOCACHICA J 124 12.00    
SCR  TEXTPECTATION Sep17 Jun27 Jun12 May18 May08 (morzan javi)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.