Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - October 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/1)-(8/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/1)-(8/2/1)-(8/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1)-(6/2/4)-(3/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/9)-(3/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/9)-(3/1/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/9)-(3/1/7/6)-(4/8) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6)-(4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/6)-(4/8)-(3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-5   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/8)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/8)-(3/1/2)-(5/6/10/1/11) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/6/10/1/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(5/6/10/1/11)-(6/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (5/6/10/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/10/1/11)-(5/6/10/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/10/1/11)-(5/6/10/1/11)-(5/6/10/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/10/1/11)-(6/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/10/1/11)-(6/5/1)-(5/9/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-8   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/7)-(5/9/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/7)-(5/9/7/4/2)-(5/9/7/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST AND CONFUSED Sep16 Aug26 Jul15 Jun16 May21 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WICKLINE Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 Jul20 Jun25 (garibay )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  DALINAR Sep20 Aug21 Aug03 Jun07 May18 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 120 4.00    
SCR  SHAPE NOTE Sep08 Aug03 Jul05 May26 Apr21 (dilodovico da)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50    
5  BUCKIN' DREAMER Aug30 Aug03 Jul07 Jun29 Jun08 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 116 12.00    
SCR  RUFFNER Mar02 Feb16 Feb03 Jan12 Dec22 (milosevic milan)CRUZ ANGEL 119 30.00    
SCR  ROCKET DRAGON Sep16 Aug07 Jul13 Jun19 May18 (rodriguez dar)KARAMANOS A 116 8.00    
8  FULL IRISH Feb23 Jan14 Dec17 Nov26 Feb19 (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
9  P MONEY Sep14 Aug18 Jul13 May25 May11 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00    
SCR  CLASS PHOTO Sep14 Jul13 May28 Apr20 Mar08 (delacour )CARRASCO R 120 2.00    
 
LRL-2   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY SERENITY Sep20 Aug30 Aug02 Jul07 May12 (salzman e)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
2  ANONYMOUSLY Sep27 Sep07 May25 May18 Apr13 (corrales)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  BOUND BY DESTINY Sep15 Aug22 Jul24 Jul12 Jun12 (mcmahon w)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
4  ENEMYNUMBERNINE Sep29 Aug24 Aug10 Jul14 Jun21 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 20.00 7% 12.60    
5  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Aug02 Jul08 Jun02 Oct13 Sep16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 4.00    
6  ROYAL SEAMSTRESS Sep08 Jul14 Jun12 Apr20 Mar08 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
LRL-3   10/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Sep05 Aug13 Jul18 Jun20 Jan05 (saville niall)BOYCE FOREST 117 30.00    
2  BROTHER BRAD Aug18 Jul28 May11 Mar26 Mar10 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 123 10.00    
3  GREY STREAK Sep15 Jun29 Jun07 May01 Mar22 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 39% 1.60    
4  NAKED AND FAMOUS Sep06 Jun28 Jun07 May11 Apr13 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50    
SCR  STREET COPPER Sep15 Aug11 Jul05 Nov03 Oct14 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
SCR  TOM HAGEN Sep04 Aug16 Jul19 Dec08 Nov03 (meyers madiso)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 15.00    
SCR  WISH ME HOME Sep15 Aug16 Jul05 Apr21 Nov05 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.00    
SCR  KERNESS Sep18 Aug16 Feb14 Dec09 Sep13 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 126 1.80    
9  BUSINESS MODEL Sep21 Aug07 Jul10 Apr05 Jan26 (corrales jose)CRUZ ANGEL 126 12.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  KENDAMA Aug31 Jul15 Jun11 May18 Nov14 (meyers madis)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50    
SCR  PRINCE KHOZAN Sep27 Aug16 Jul28 Jul19 Jul05 (mccue elizabet)PEREZ XAVIER 119 12.00    
SCR  NATIVE THUNDER Sep07 Jul03 Jun20 May09 Feb12 (carrascoj)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
SCR  MORNING THOUGHTS Sep28 Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 Jul05 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 20.00    
SCR  SWITZER Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50    
SCR  NANTASKET BEACH Sep21 Aug23 Jul08 Apr11 Feb14 (breen kell)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00    
 
LRL-4   10/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KICK STARTNESS Sep03 Aug21 Jul18 Jun14 Jun02 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 1.60 13% 6.70    
SCR  MELT WITH YOU Sep02 Aug03 Jul18 Jun20 Apr12 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 1.60    
2  ADMIT NOTHING Sep21 Aug18 Jul20 Sep16 Aug26 (mancilla carl)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00    
3  WORKISLIFE Jul12 Jun22 May12 Apr05 Mar01 (geralis e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.00 54% 0.90    
4  MOTSKARI Sep21 Aug10 Jul05 Jun24 Jun03 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 120 4.50    
SCR  WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD Sep27 Aug31 Aug18 Jul19 Jul12 (mckenzie )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00    
6  OMAR COMIN Sep15 Sep02 Aug10 Aug03 Jul17 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CATIRE VIZCAYA Sep14 Jul19 Jun24 Apr27 Mar09 (avila ju)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 12.00 9% 10.40    
8  LANGLEE AVENUE Sep02 Aug18 Jul10 Jun25 Jun07 (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00    
SCR  TUBTIMSIAM Aug17 Jul26 Jul19 Jun29 Jun23 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
 
LRL-5   10/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOOD KNIGHT NILE Sep15 Aug16 Jun23 May25 Nov16 (milosevic mila)TORREALBA JG 119 15.00    
SCR  FAIR HAIRED BOY Sep20 Aug27 Jul10 May17 Apr19 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 4.50    
SCR  BASSANIO (GB) Sep04 Jun09 Apr20 Oct21 Sep02 (delacour )CARRASCO R 123 2.00    
4  EL DE LARRY Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul17 Apr27 (machado anto)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  HAPPY JAUNT Sep08 Aug23 Jul27 Jul12 Jun15 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  BALLYHOO PRINCE Aug15 Jul07 May26 Oct28 Sep17 (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 119 20.00    
7  SILVERBULLETTWENTY Sep14 Aug23 Aug16 Jul19 Jul07 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 120 12.00    
8  SUNSHINE FROLIC Sep07 Aug16 Apr25 Mar06 Jan04 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  RAPPER ZAPPER Sep15 Aug15 Jul05 Feb11 Dec03 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 20.00    
SCR  GENERAL J R Sep27 Sep13 Aug18 Aug01 Jul06 (leaf robert)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00    
SCR  FREESTANDING Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 May31 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 20.00    
SCR  STAGE CALL Sep06 May26 Nov23 Oct29 Oct08 (white alexandr)TORREALBA JG 116 12.00    
SCR  CHUCK ADAMS Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON Sep14 Jul25 Jul03 May27 Apr07 (avila ju)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00    
 
LRL-6   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AARAJ Sep02 Aug07 Feb09 Jul08 Apr02 (dutrow richa)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00 22% 3.70    
2  PRINCE OF IRON Aug15 Jul12 Dec16 Oct15 Feb06 (alvarado diane)CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00 12% 7.60    
3  GENTLE BREEZE Sep12 Aug17 Sep09 Aug12 Jun25 (allard edw)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  BANDITSGOLDENCHILD Sep21 Sep02 Aug23 Jul14 May11 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.00    
5  WITHOUT PRETENCE Aug03 Jul20 Jun09 May17 Mar22 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 123 8.00    
SCR  UNSWAYED Oct04 Jul13 Jun11 May12   (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50    
SCR  NANCY MADE MY DAY Aug23 Jul20 Apr07 Mar22 Feb04 (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 119 15.00    
 
LRL-7   10/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCTIC OUTBREAK Aug23 Aug01       (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PICTURESQUE by SMART STRIKE)
2  ECLIPTICAL ZIP Sep22 Aug04 Jul06     (hohlbein )SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 30.00    
  (by ECLIPTICALSPRALINE out of SHE'S FLATTERING by FLATTER)
3  CATALINA STORM Sep14 Aug03       (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CAT CHARMER by STORM CAT)
4  DATS TAP Sep14 Aug03       (singh somra)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 5.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PLUS ONE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  COILED         (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LAQUESTA by LEMON DROP KID)
6  REAL ELEVE         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 20% 4.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  DATS MR. TAP Sep14         (singh somraj)TORREALBA JG 122 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of INVITE by INCLUDE)
8  LEX'S GAME Sep04         (cibelli ja)SANCHEZ J 122 15.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
SCR  KITTY'S SON Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Aug17 Jun30 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of FREE KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  POTCAKE Sep04         (nagle sarah)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00 19% 4.10    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BELLA PROMESSA by BROKEN VOW)
11  ROLL ON JESSE Sep15         (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of PAST PERFECT by STAY THIRSTY)
SCR  THE WARDEN Sep15         (salvaggio v)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of FULL OF ZIP by CITY ZIP)
SCR  PHAROAH'S MARC         (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 119 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PURPLE TRILLIUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  PAY BILLY Aug07         (gorham e)NO RIDER 122 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
 
LRL-8   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 2 F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO LIMONE Aug24 Aug03       (breen j)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  THUNDER IN PARIS Jul21 Jun22 May25     (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 119 4.00    
3  ATLANTIS QUEEN Sep11 Jun20       (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 119 15.00    
4  SAY YOU LOVE ME Sep15 Jul27       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 10.00    
5  WYNSOME CAT Sep11         (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  DAZE (GB) Sep13         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 0.80 39% 1.60    
 
LRL-9   10/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIRTY GOLD Sep08 Aug21 Aug02     (horlacher)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 116 8.00    
2  THY NAME IS WOMAN Aug30 Aug12 Jul26 Jun22   (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  BALLROOM EYES Aug21 Mar15 Mar31 Mar03 Jan21 (kelly blake)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.50    
4  LAUGHING FIT Sep13 Aug14 Jul17 Jul04 Jun06 (salvaggio v)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 ★    
5  SUN CROSS         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  HAVE A CHANCE Sep13         (burdick)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 30.00    
7  DROPPING LEMONS Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Jun22 Jun08 (corrales jose)TORREALBA JG 119 8.00 17% 5.00    
8  LAST GLANCE Sep04 Aug24       (williams l)ACOSTA D 123 30.00    
9  X GENE Sep13 Aug30       (capuano phill)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MINARI Sep13 Aug21 Jul26     (brion keri)CENTENO E 126 5.00    
11  MER SOLEIL Jul26 May04 Feb11     (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.