Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-1   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-2   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-6   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-7   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GRP-9   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-1   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASHTAG BAE Sep15 Aug10 Aug07 Jun29 Oct09 (hoover cind)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  PICK A LANE FRANK Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 (pollard e)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
3  NATIONHEART Sep09 Aug23 Jun29 Jun15 Sep24 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
4  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Sep16 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul07 (pollard eli)MARTIN A 126 2.50    
5  KEEN JAMES Sep09 Aug10 Aug08 Jun29 Jun23 (cox jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 4.50    
6  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE Sep09 Aug30 Aug10 Aug07 Jun29 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 26% 2.90    
 
GRP-2   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 Aug08 Jun22 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 ★    
2  APRICOT BRANDY Aug09 Jul19 Jul03 Jun22 Jun07 (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 12.00    
3  BIKINI NATION Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 Aug02 Jul06 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 126 4.00    
4  ALWAYS GALLANT Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jul03 (velasquez ri)MARTIN A 124 3.00    
5  HEY WILMAAA Sep07 Aug08 Jun30 Jun16 Oct02 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.50 50% 1.00    
6  SASSY EINSTEIN Sep09 Aug25 Aug09 Aug07 Jul11 (lewis roberta)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  LUTE'S DIAMOND Sep07 Aug23 Jun22 Jun16 Oct02 (beckner l)MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
GRP-4   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA'S IRON MAN Sep15 Aug23 Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 (morris mich)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 8.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  WORKDAY Sep09 Jun30 Jun08 Mar22 Feb24 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 10.00    
3  POLLO D'ORO Sep09 May12 Apr27 Feb17 Jan28 (magallanes he)LOPEZ E 126 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  RUNAWAY WYWY Sep08 Sep02 Jun29 Jun09 Mar24 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00    
5  QUICK FINISH Sep02 Aug23 Aug09 Jun23 Jun09 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.50    
6  YEAR OF THE OX Jun29 Jul02 Jun25 Jul03 Jun28 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
GRP-5   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWLITZ Sep02 Jun15 Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.50 66% 0.50    
2  SHE'S A KRAKEN Sep15 Sep06 Aug16 Aug09 Jul27 (rosales )MURO ISIDRO 124 3.00    
3  AIRKITA Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 Jun09 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00    
4  SOFIA STRONG Aug08 Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 Mar21 (harshman )JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LILA AT THE BEACH Sep01 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 Jun16 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
6  MADAME GAZELLE Sep02 Aug25 Aug03 Jul14 Jun16 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00 ★    
7  OLIVIAN Jun09 May18 May05 Apr18 Apr08 (pollard eli)MARTIN A 126 4.50 ★    
 
GRP-6   09/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASSIE CAT Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Sep16 Aug26 (gibson howar)MARTIN A 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAN'S BEST Aug16 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 Jul04 (hernan)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 20.00    
3  JEWELED AGAIN Sep08 Aug07 Jul11 Jul04 Jun22 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN PINUP Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul10 Jun08 (craig r)MEEKS MICAH 121 15.00    
5  NORTHERN LINCHPIN Aug30 Aug18 Aug04 Jul12 Mar14 (stillwell)JENSEN P 126 6.00    
6  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Sep08 Aug23 Aug07 Jul10 Jul06 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 64% 0.60    
7  SENSATIONAL CITY Sep08 Aug09 Aug07 Jul04 Jun29 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 4.50 10% 9.20    
SCR  WINANYWAYUCAN Sep08 Aug16 Jun23 Jun01 May18 (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 124 3.50    
9  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00    
 
GRP-7   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RODEO ROSE Sep08 Aug10 Aug03 Jul04 Jun23 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  TRUE FRIEND Sep08 Jul06 Jun14 May18 Apr28 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 5.00    
3  MARY WALKER Sep06 Aug03 Jul20 Jul03 May25 (kowalski li)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.50 ★    
4  WON SASSY RIDE Jun16 May26 Apr27 Apr09 Feb05 (homer jason)LOPEZ E 126 3.00    
5  BETHEL RIDGE Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul04 Jun23 (maelfeyt bruno)MEEKS MICAH 121 4.50    
6  REIGN OF FIRE Sep06 Aug04 Jul21 Jun01 May12 (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
GRP-9   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET SAGA Sep09 Jul28 Jul03 Jun01 May04 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00 12% 7.30    
2  LUCCA'S LEGACY Sep08 Aug09 Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 124 5.00    
3  WHISKEYJACK Sep07 Aug11 Jul13 Jul03 Oct01 (mccormic)MURO ISIDRO 124 1.00 67% 0.50    
4  DANZ TILL TEN Sep08 Aug25 Aug09 Jul07 Jun23 (swanso)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HICKORY WIND Sep08 Aug11 Jul14 Jun14 May31 (velasquez ri)MARTIN A 126 4.50    
SCR  BUTTONSARENOTTOYS Sep02 Jun29       (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.