Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - August 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/3/5)-(1/7/4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/4/5)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(7/1/3)-(7/10/6/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(7/10/6/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(7/10/6/8/3)-(2/5/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (7/10/6/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/6/8/3)-(7/10/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/6/8/3)-(7/10/6/8/3)-(7/10/6/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/6/8/3)-(2/5/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/10/6/8/3)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/3/4/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(2/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/9/6)-(2/3/4/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(2/4)-(6/1/9/3/10) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/1/9/3/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/1/9/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/3/10)-(6/1/9/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/3/10)-(6/1/9/3/10)-(6/1/9/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/28/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE ROCKY Aug06 Jul17 Jun24 May24 May11 (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
2  BAY BE GONE Jul21 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr18 (garza joaquin)VARGAS P 122 12.00    
3  INSIGNIS Aug09 Jul12 May11 Jan12 Nov23 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 122 4.50 ★    
4  TEXAS TURBINE Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 Feb10 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
5  ROCKALL Aug07 Jul24 Jun18 May18 Apr11 (melancon d)RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUMMER LOVER Aug06 Jul23 Jul06 Jun06 May28 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00    
7  MOKINGS Aug06 Jul10 Jun12 May20 Dec23 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  SHAWN'S SOLVING Aug09 Jul13 Apr12 Mar08 Feb15 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 15.00    
9  CREME DE BALI Aug06 May24 Feb08 Nov24 Sep23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
10  RAUL'S ENCANTO Aug07 Jun26 Feb10 Dec20 Nov24 (del erick)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00    
SCR  MY UNCLE LEON Jul15 Jun26 May27 Apr26 Apr13 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
 
LAD-2   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLONDATE         (wilson sha)RAMIREZ JR 110 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BLONDE BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  FINAL DECREE Aug19         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SEEKING MS SHELLEY by CACTUS RIDGE)
3  BUTCHY BOY Aug19         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of LUCY'S MISS MUSKET by MUSKET MAN)
4  KEENO         (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SIESTA TIME by TAPIT)
5  KEEP UP THE PACE Jul14 Jun15       (garza e)WADE LYNDIE 118 8.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of SWEET SAMMIE by FIRST SAMURAI)
6  CABO MISCHIEF         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DON'TGETSUSPICIOUS by E DUBAI)
7  LAND SPEED         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by MITOLE out of BONNEVILLE FLATS by FLAT OUT)
 
LAD-3   08/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEN OF KYLE May27 May15 Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 122 15.00    
2  UPTOWN SOCIAL Aug07 Jul23 Jun26 Jun01 May24 (dixon tim)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
3  HUEY DUEY Jul16 Jun11 May15 Apr27 Apr14 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAMPISI Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Jun03 (borel renay)HERNANDEZ V 122 12.00    
5  CREATIVE MIRACLE Jul30 Jul07 Jun22 May27 May04 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 122 3.50    
6  LOOKIN FOR LOKI Aug07 Jul20 Jun28 May16 Apr14 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 122 5.00 6% 15.90    
7  RIPITTOTHERIGHT Aug06 May27 May13 Sep02 Aug05 (rangel raul)BARRERA J 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
8  BLING BLING BLING Aug07 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 May18 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  BIZZY LEGS Aug07 Jul19 Jun27 May27 May18 (hewitt michael)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00    
10  CREME DE LA CHROME Jul23 Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 Jan05 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  FOREVER COOL Aug07 Jul10 Jun26 Mar14 Feb25 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00    
SCR  SATURDAY'S GOLD Aug17 Jul12 Jun11 May11 Apr07 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
 
LAD-4   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Jul30 Jul10 May04 Apr27 Apr19 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
2  RECKLESS RANSOM Aug02 Jun25 May15 Mar14 Feb07 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  CARLOS PUNCH Aug05 Jun25 May22 Apr13 Mar22 (broussard jer)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 4.50    
4  THE THIMBLE Aug05 Jul03 Jun12 May27 Feb17 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 4.00    
5  HEZA PRIORITY Jul17 May27 Mar06 Feb22 Feb09 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  ROCK SOLID WORDS Aug14 Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 May06 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WAR SONG Aug15 Jun25 Feb07 Jan19 Dec19 (roberson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
LAD-5   08/28/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO MR COPELAND Aug12 Jul18 May21 May06 Apr08 (dixon tim)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
2  CHARLIE'S GAL Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Sep27 Sep12 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  HARD TO COME BY Aug14 Jul16 Jul06 Jun23 May31 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
4  EL SMOOCH Aug14 Jun15 May04 Feb25 Jan28 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Jul19 Jul05 Aug05 Jul08 Jun12 (mouton chadwick )ROSIER R 124 20.00    
6  LITTLE JONY Aug14 Jul12 Nov11 Sep04 Jul31 (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HEXCEL Aug19 Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 May29 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 5.00    
8  DABOOGEYMAN Jul31 Jun24 Jun04 Apr02 Mar05 (hewitt michae)VARGAS P 124 15.00    
9  PARTYINTHESTREETS Jun19 May27 Apr26 Mar29 Feb25 (martin timothy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 ★    
10  COUNTRY CUT Aug19 Jun18 Jun10 May18 Apr13 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
SCR  GRACE'S HANK May04 Feb09 Oct21 Sep28 Aug21 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
 
LAD-6   08/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM BUOY Jun20 May22 May10 Apr17 Mar08 (west patrici)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of HILDEGARDE by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  MYSTIC HOPE Aug14 Jul16 May29     (rivera nestor)WADE LYNDIE 120 1.60 64% 0.60    
  (by BIND out of MYSTIC DREAMER by FED BIZ)
3  ISLAND CABANA Jun15 May26 Feb02     (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of FOLLY ISLAND by LONE STAR SPECIAL)
4  STAR STAR STAR Dec09         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
5  CALI DREAMIN         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of LADY MARGOTS HUMOR by SHARP HUMOR)
6  DR SPECK Jul25 Jun06 May08 Feb18 Jan27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 5.00 ★    
  (by APRIORITY out of DICKSON STREET by STORM BOOT)
7  TOMS LUCKY MO         (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 10.00    
  (by MO TOM out of ALALA by SALT LAKE)
 
LAD-7   08/28/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIZZLECITY Jul31 Jul17 Jul01 Jun08 May15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
2  KAPPA HILL Jul25 May15 Mar09 Feb24 Feb10 (journet albert)FLORIAN JOSE 114 20.00    
3  MIZ JAMESON Jul23 Jun17 May22 Jul03 Jun17 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00 6% 14.60    
4  THE RAGE OF ART Jun19 Jun08 May21 May13 Apr06 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
5  LITTLE Z Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00    
6  SHOW ME THE CANDY Jun12 May21 Apr14 Mar08 Feb02 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 118 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  AND CHANGE Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 May21 May03 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  SISTER SAINT Jul31 Jul03 Jun17 May08 Apr25 (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 122 15.00    
9  BROADWAY PEARL Jul31 Jul10 Jun17 May28 May04 (mouton patri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.00 14% 6.10    
10  BOLD EXAGGERATION Aug02 Jun07 May13 Apr06 Mar01 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUNIORS JOANIE Aug05 Jul01 Jun12 May21 May08 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
12  TAKE MY PICTURE Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 May05 Apr06 (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.