Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(6/1/2)-(7/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(7/6/3/5)-(1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/5)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/5)-(1/6/3)-(7/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(7/5/1/8)-(2/8/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (7/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/8)-(2/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/8)-(2/8/7/3)-(7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (2/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/3)-(7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-7   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOMI LACKEE Aug10 Jul14 Jul03 Jun07 May25 (rosales jorge)REYES R 125 3.00    
RESERVOIR Aug03 Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 1.40 63% 0.60    
FAMILY TRIPS Jul07 Jun22 Mar08 Dec17 Oct16 (peery debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  JUSTIN'S LADY Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Apr10 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 5.00    
FOR YOU ONLY Aug02 Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 May12 (bean robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CONFIDENCE BUILDER Aug10 Aug02 Jun30 Jun07 May18 (hernandez )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
 
EMD-2   08/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. EXECUTIVE Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 Sep03 (wright blaine)REYES R 121 2.50 13% 6.50    
WAITINGATTHEBAR Jul12 Jun08 May04 Mar31 Mar10 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAKAS SECRET Aug09 Jun29 Jun15 May19 May04 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 5.00    
WISTERNOFF Aug09         (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
IBN SINA Aug09 Jul12 Jun15     (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 4.50    
PUBLIC APPEARANCE Jun15         (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 1.60 63% 0.60    
 
EMD-3   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVELLINASA Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15   (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 121 4.00    
JULLIAN IN PARIS Aug02 Jul13 Jun29     (wenzel tom)MATIAS J 121 4.50    
DRIVE TRAIN Aug02 Jul06 Jun14 Apr25 Oct11 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 12.00 11% 8.00    
CALORESE Jul26 Jul13 Jun01 Aug19 Aug05 (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00    
EARTHLY TIGER Jul26 Jul12 May31 May04 Apr18 (gibson howar)OROZCO E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
KNOCKOUT GUY Aug11 Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 8.00 12% 7.50    
LUTHER PASS Aug04 Jun13 May17 Apr19 Mar24 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 1.20 44% 1.30    
WHISKEYONTHEROCKS Aug02 Jul06       (simkins rosie)LOPEZ KARLO 125 15.00    
 
EMD-4   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOGYA Jul19 Jul03 Jun14 May19 Sep02 (markle dan)REYES R 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
UNBRIDLED VIOLET Aug09 Jul19 Jun16 Jun01 May11 (madrigal elo)MARTIN A 116 12.00    
RIVER DANCE Aug03 Sep16       (freeman v)MONTALVO C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BANGIE GO Jul21 Jul14 Jun28 May04 Apr15 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 3.00    
UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR Aug09 Jul03 Jun16 May11 Aug20 (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
SHE SAID MY WAY Jul21 Jun09 May26 May11 Sep17 (salinas li)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  ENGLISH MEADOW Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 Jun14 Jun02 ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-5   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NOBLE Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun02 May04 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY DOES Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr13 (mccanna tim)REYES R 122 6.00    
STEPHEN JAMES Aug04 Jul19 Jun28 May31 May18 (pirone mary )OROZCO E 122 5.00    
HADLEES HONOR Aug17 Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 Jun08 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00    
MOVE OVER (GB) Aug11 Jul21 Jun28 Jun16 May31 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 10% 8.90    
NATION OF FAITH Aug11 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 (essex charles)MAWING A 125 3.50    
OVERLY FAST Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
THIRD WHEEL Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-6   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAINO HOUSE Aug03 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 Jun21 (essex charles)REYES R 122 10.00    
UNCLE LEON Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 Jun16 Apr15 (wright blai)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
ROLL DEM BONES Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Jun21 Jun02 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUIET CHARM Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Sep25 Sep03 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 20.00    
SUMMANUS Aug11 Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 Jun16 (perez s)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
MIRROR IMAGE Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 Jun01 Sep02 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.50    
MR. FIREBALL Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 Sep09 (carlson a)MATIAS J 122 5.00 13% 6.40    
PARTY FOUL Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 Jun01 Aug20 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
EMD-7   08/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASS THE CROWN Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 Oct01 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 121 4.00    
ANTICIPATED Aug10 Jun22 Jun09 Oct08 Sep18 (morris micha)MARTIN A 122 12.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  VILIFIED Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May18   (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50    
ICE TOWER Aug10 Jul28 Jul12 Jun01 Sep02 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
SOLDATNA Aug10 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 8.00 12% 7.40    
A LOT OF VERVE Aug11 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 Apr24 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00    
NIGHT TO REMEMBER Aug10 Jul12 Aug20 Aug12 Jul16 (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.