Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (8/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/3)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/3)-(2/3/6)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(2/4/5)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
EVD-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(7/4/8/9/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
EVD-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(7/4/8/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/4/8/9/2)-(6/8/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
EVD-5   WIN (7/4/8/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/9/2)-(7/4/8/9/11/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/9/2)-(7/4/8/9/11/2)-(7/4/8/9/11/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (7/4/8/9/2)-(6/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/9/2)-(6/8/3)-(7/6/3/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-6   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/3)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/1)-(3/5/1/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-8   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(3/5/1/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EVD-9   WIN (3/5/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/8/2)-(3/5/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/8/2)-(3/5/1/8/2)-(3/5/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REACH FOR THE ACES Jul11 Jun21 May30 Jun24   (ladner chad)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00    
INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 May10 Apr19 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 6.00 21% 3.80    
ASTROLOGY WONOWON Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun13 May24 (patt j)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
TEMPLE OF PEACE Jun13 Apr19 Mar15 Feb24 Feb13 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 117 1.80    
KAH NIGH Aug03 Jun12 May23 May10 May01 (dussette alvin)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 15.00    
ASHES IN THE OCEAN Jul25         (delahoussaye brent)STOKES J 121 12.00    
BOSTON BLITZ Jul03 Jun21 May10 Apr19 Mar16 (ney john)VARGAS P 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
BREAKING STAR Jul27 Jun22 May23 Apr19 Mar21 (bourgeois keith)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
EVD-2   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRTHDAY PARTY Jul20 May22 May02 Apr11 Feb15 (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 116 15.00    
B W P SPIRIT Aug01 Jul18 Jun08 May08 Apr26 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Jun17 Jun03 May22 Apr26 Apr05 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 2.00 11% 8.10    
STREET ART Aug03 Jun21 May18 Feb02 Jan04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 4.50    
SECRET VISTA Aug01 Jul19 Jun27 May10 Apr20 (west henry)STOKES J 118 3.50    
SCHNELL Jul19 Jul06 Jun06 May22 May01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-3   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LINE RULER Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 Apr25 Apr06 (henry eric)STOKES J 120 10.00    
DON'TCALLMEPATSY Jul01 May11 Mar07 Mar15 Feb04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  GOOD N SASSY Jun20 May22 Apr13 Mar24 Jan11 (henry eric)FLORIAN JOSE 115 12.00    
STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Jun21 May31 Apr20 Feb07 Dec20 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
COPPER MOON Aug02 Jun28 May31 May18 Mar10 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
FITZY Aug01 Jul06 May29 May04 Apr10 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 124 4.00    
MY LUCKY BREAK Jul27 Jun28 Jun07 May18 May03 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00    
 
EVD-4   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURTMAN Jun27 Jun01 May09 Apr05 Mar22 (david b)BARRERA J 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
SONO Jul05 May23 May10 Apr18 Mar21 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
VETERANS DAY Jul26 May04 Mar06 Feb21 Feb01 (landry r)THORNTON G 124 4.50    
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Jun07 Mar14 Jan19 Dec09 Nov15 (david b)MAGNON H 121 6.00 32% 2.20    
GUITAR DOCTOR Jul20 Jun27 May22 Apr19 Mar14 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DREWMAZING Jul18 Jul05 Jun07 May08 Apr18 (schwandt emile)POMPELL L 121 3.50    
 
EVD-5   08/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHARE THE DOE Jun27 Jun08 May22 Apr05 Feb15 (zeno benjamin)STOKES J 124 20.00    
HOPESHECANRUN Apr12 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 (laday asht)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALL AMERICAN PAT Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 May15 Apr05 (sam w)FLORIAN JOSE 119 15.00    
SHEZA HOT STORM Jul06 Jun15 Apr10 Feb23 Feb09 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
CUSTOM COMEDY Feb22 Dec29 Dec08 Nov25 Mar25 (terre david)BARRERA J 124 20.00    
TROSKA Jul27 Jun22 Jun08 May22 Apr26 (larros)RUIZ GARCIA 124 15.00    
DEE'S LIL FOOL Jul26 Jul06 Jun20 Feb15 Jan06 (segura kear)MELANCON JANSEN 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
REAL DEAL RYAN Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 May22 Apr25 (cormier car)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 4.50 13% 6.90    
DESPEIGHTFUL Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May22 Apr24 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 2.50 12% 7.60    
10  BETONYA Jul27 Jun18 May28 Apr27 Mar09 (escobar alison)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
11  TARKINGTON GIRL Mar15 Feb21 Jan11 Nov21 Apr12 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 6.00    
 
EVD-6   08/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PULPIT'S DREAM         (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  SECRET WINE Jul12 Jun22 May29     (thomas lee)MAGNON H 117 15.00    
MISS DEALORITY Jul12         (klanfer ala)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
CRITICAL VELOCITY Jun29 Jun15       (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
BIG BLUE ANGEL         (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
LADY CHERYL'S SONG Jul12 Jun22 May29 May04 Apr13 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 117 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  MIZ MASTERY May04 Apr18 Mar16 Feb25 Aug17 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 2.50    
OCEAN JET Jun29 Jun15 May24 Apr10   (averett ronn)BARRERA J 117 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
EVD-7   08/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSTY'S SUNRISE Jul27 Jul03 Jun20 May23 May08 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 4.00    
GOGO BOBBYJO May24 May03 Mar14 Feb02 Sep11 (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOLIDAY DOUBLE Jul13 Jun22       (zenon shel)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00 18% 4.50    
GOOD BY FAITH Aug01 Jun20 May17 May04 Jan18 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 5.00    
RULED BY SPIRIT Jun08 May04 Jan11 Nov30 Nov04 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
RUNTOLIVE Jun06 Apr26 Mar14 Feb15 Jan18 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 2.00 26% 2.90    
THE CALLING STONE Jun01 May11 Mar07 Feb15 Jan28 (woodley j)ROSIER R 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
COAL DANCER Jul27 May17 May01 Mar24 Jan04 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
 
EVD-8   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MIDWAY Jun06 May11 Apr24 Mar03 Feb03 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BELLO CREEDO Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 May23 Jan06 (landry ray)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
MOMENT OF STARDOM May11 Mar23 Feb08 Jan13 Dec09 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  DEER CROSSING Jul11 Jun22 May11 Mar14 Feb08 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 118 1.80    
JEFFROW Aug01 Jul04 May31 Apr12 Feb02 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 10.00    
UP N GONE Aug01 Jul04 Jun07 May15 Apr19 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 3.00 12% 7.50    
CREEKSIDE Jun29 Dec30 Nov24 Oct20 Aug11 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MO SATURDAYS Aug14 Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 May18 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Jul30 Jul06 Jun01 May17 May01 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
 
EVD-9   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET THIRTEEN         (woodley j)ROSIER R 120 15.00 11% 8.30    
HARD CANDY KISSES Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 Apr18 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GIRL LIKES BLING Jul25 Jun22 Jun06 May24 May04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
QUICK BITE Jul27 Jun22 May24 May08 Apr24 (ward ronnie)QUILES ANTONIO 124 20.00    
BABY JANE Jul25 Jul05 May23 May01 Mar24 (perron gerar)BARRERA J 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
SHELBI'S STAR Jun29         (sam w)FLORIAN JOSE 115 15.00    
SAUCY GEM Jul27 Jun22 Jun06 May16   (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 124 3.00    
SPECIAL FEATURE         (averett ronnie)STOKES J 120 20.00 11% 8.30    
CUSTOMERUNHAPPY Jul26 Jun22 May24 May01 Dec29 (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00    
10  COUSHATTA CUTIE Jul27 Oct27       (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 8.00    
11  SEND IT SOARING Jul27         (bernard john)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.