Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/5)-(7/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-2   WIN (7/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/5)-(2/8/11)-(5/2/8/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-3   WIN (2/8/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/11)-(2/8/11/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/11)-(2/8/11/9/6)-(2/8/11/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/8/11)-(5/2/8/7/3)-(2/1/9/5/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LS-4   WIN (5/2/8/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/7/3)-(5/2/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/7/3)-(5/2/8/7/3)-(5/2/8/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (2/1/9/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/5/6)-(2/1/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/5/6)-(2/1/9/5/6)-(2/1/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (5/6/8/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/11/2)-(5/6/8/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/11/2)-(5/6/8/11/2)-(5/6/8/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/11/2)-(5/14/9/7/12)-(7/10/5/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-7   WIN (5/14/9/7/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/14/9/7/12)-(5/14/9/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/14/9/7/12)-(5/14/9/7/12)-(5/14/9/7/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/14/9/7/12)-(7/10/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-8   WIN (7/10/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/5/8)-(7/10/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/5/8)-(7/10/5/8)-(7/10/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODHULL Jun07 Mar29       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HAVIN' A PARTY by EMCEE)
2  CIRCA STAR Jun07 May18 Apr27     (a)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  MI SONRISA Jun09         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of R LADY HANSEN by HANSEN)
SCR  KARA Jun28 Jun07 May17 Apr21 Mar30 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 120 3.50    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
5  CAYMAN HOT Jun22         (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALLSTAR DANCER out of CAYMAN A BIKINI by EMCEE)
6  QUEEN OF SALSA Feb19         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of MAJESTIC SMILE by SMILE)
7  ARR PIRATETREASURE Jun07 May03 Apr20 Oct12   (durham dane)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of THATBOSSANOVASOUND by BLAME)
8  CACTUS BLOSSOM Jun28 Jun07 May17 Mar29 Mar17 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00    
  (by WILBURN out of CYPRESS ISLE by FORESTRY)
 
LS-2   07/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGN OF WAR Jun29 Jun21 May09 Apr28 Apr07 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
2  MORELLO (NZ) Jun07 Apr07 Mar01 Feb13 Jan19 (a)DE CRUZ 121 4.50    
3  BRUCELEA Jun08 May11 Apr19 Mar09 Feb17 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
SCR  EMPIRE OF GOLD Jun29 May27 Apr21 Mar16 Feb23 (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00    
5  AVAILABLE STAR Jun21 May31 May11 Apr07 Mar23 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  STAYED IN FOR HALF Jun29 May27 Mar16 Jan27 Dec16 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  JACKMAN'S RIDE Jun21 May31 May11 Apr21 Feb04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
8  DEAN'S LIST Aug24 Jul07 May29 Mar26 Feb20 (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 14% 6.40    
9  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Jun29 May27 May11 Apr19 Mar28 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50    
SCR  TAPE TO TAPE Jun29 May27 Apr21 Feb24 Jan05 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.00    
 
LS-3   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASINO MO Jun14 Jun02 May19 May10 Mar16 (eoff terry)GLASS DERBE 115 20.00    
2  RACE AROUND May31         (s)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
3  CAPTAINS COVE Jul04 Jun22 Jun14 Jun02 May19 (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
4  LITTLE JONY Nov11 Sep04 Jul31 Jun19 Mar17 (rang)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
5  RU MOR STARTER Jun02 May04 Apr21 Dec16   (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
6  SUMMER HELP Jun22 Jun02 May19 May10 Mar24 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 4.00 ★    
7  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Jun14 May05 Apr07 Mar24 Mar16 (schneider er)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 15.00    
8  TOO INTIMIDATING Jul04 May31 Apr19 Mar17 Mar01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.50 24% 3.20    
9  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Jun28 Jun08 May19 Apr19 Apr05 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 ★    
10  FANDO Jul04 Jun14 Jun02 May18 Mar24 (uriegas e)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
11  PRETTY MACHO Jan05 Mar04 Feb10 Jul23 Jun26 (newbold jon)ALVAREZ L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-4   07/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANYON STREAK         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of JAYLAN by SCAT DADDY)
2  RAGS ROYAL PRINZ Jun28 Jun01       (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.00 13% 6.60    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of PRINCESS Z OHSIX by PAYNTER)
3  HEATS HERO Jun28 May26       (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIKENITE out of SOARING NOW by TIZNOW)
SCR  CLEVER IT Jun28 Jun09       (villafranco frede)PEREZ A 119 30.00    
  (by VISIONIT out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
5  BERGHEIM         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of COOL TEN GRAND by MALIBU MOON)
6  MR. BOOP Jun28         (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 20.00    
  (by EAGLE out of DON'T BLAME BUNKER by SILVER CITY)
7  BETTER EDGE Jun28 Jun01       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00 7% 13.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of BETTER THAN MO by UNCLE MO)
8  PROUD SAMARITAN Jun28 Jun09 May26     (p)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HIDATSA by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  COPESTHEBOMB         (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 114 30.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ARCHEMIST by ARCH)
10  KING ADOLIS Jun28         (baldill)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 30.00    
  (by KING ZACHARY out of DUCKY MCLEAN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
11  GOLDEN GRIT Jun28         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLYING BY FAYTH by FLYING BARON)
12  EAGLE IN THE AIR Jun28         (gelner jay)ERAMIA E 119 20.00    
  (by EAGLE out of MALAYSIAN AIR by MIZZEN MAST)
 
LS-5   07/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATURDAY'S GOLD Jun11 May11 Apr07 Mar16 Feb17 (govea c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
2  SUPER BRADY Jun21 May18 Apr28 Apr05 Feb24 (caldwell r)DIEGO V 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  CLAY'S BLACK OPAL Jun21 May18 Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 (ashford trist)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
4  JUST CHILLIN Jun21 May18 Feb17 Nov30 Nov01 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50    
5  ATRAS Jun29 May27 May11 Nov14 Oct14 (hewitt mic)ERAMIA E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BELEWS GOLD Jun21 May18 Apr07 Mar23 Feb09 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPREME CAPO Jul03 Mar09 Feb19 Jan20 Sep04 (sauceda jess)PIVARAL GERBER 121 30.00    
8  CLEAT Jun16 Apr28 Apr05 Mar24 Jan05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 5.00    
9  WODETON (FR) Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 Jan19 Jan05 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 7% 13.10    
10  HARD CANDY Jul03 May15 May06 Apr03 Mar27 (villafranco )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00    
11  LET'S GO ALAMO Jun21 May18 Apr05 Mar23 Feb17 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
 
LS-6   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIST Jun22 Jun02 May17 Apr22 Mar29 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 123 20.00    
2  GOLD ACCOUNT Jun22 Dec16 Dec02 Sep09 Jun09 (eoff terry)GLASS DERBE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAKE FLIGHT Jul03 Jun14 May18 Apr26 Apr07 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
SCR  HASHTAG WINNER Jun07 May25 Apr19 Apr05 Mar28 (norris tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 20.00    
5  MR B QUIET Jul03 Feb25 Feb04 Jan21 Jan04 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
6  QUARTERBACK DAK Jun16 Jun02 May17 Apr18 Mar23 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 5.00 20% 3.90    
7  TAM'S TIME Jun22 Jun09 Apr27 Mar29 Feb25 (hjort d)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
8  ABSOLUTE COURAGE Jun22 May27 Apr04 Mar17 Mar01 (a)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
9  LEVY Jun22 Jun02 May17 Apr21 Apr06 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.50    
10  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Jun22 Jun02 May17 Apr27 Mar08 (hjort donna)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
11  EGO Jun22 Jun11 Apr19 Apr04 Mar08 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
 
LS-7   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGINIA Feb03 Jul03 Jun18 Jan27 Jan06 (castell)GONCALVES R 124 20.00    
  (by FALL OF TROY out of TROUBLEINABAG by FIVE DEMON BAG)
2  SHY ANN Jun22 Apr27 Mar16     (hebert matt)DIEGO V 120 6.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of MS ALDEBARAN by ALDEBARAN)
3  MIZZ FACTOR Jun15 May19 May05 Mar29 Mar16 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 4.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
4  MORO PRINCESS Jun22 Jun09 May27 May18 Jun23 (herre)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 30.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
5  SONGERIE         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by ENTICED out of CATCH THAT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  MARIAH (CHI) Feb23 Jan13 Dec13 Nov16 Oct21 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
7  BLUEBONNET GIRL Jun21 May27 May05 Apr21 Feb10 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
8  OOH LA DA STOOPS May27         (schneider w)PEREZ A 120 30.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of CORNELIUS SPRINGS by MENHAL)
9  TAPS MISTRESS Jun22 May05 Mar29 Feb18 Jan21 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 15.00 6% 14.80    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
10  STACY'S PRINCESS Jun21 Apr21 Mar16     (urie)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
11  HONEST Jun21 Feb18 Jan27     (h)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of ROCKINTOTHERHYTHM by BROAD BRUSH)
12  SCOOTER'S HONOR Jun15 May27 May12 Mar29 Feb18 (davis s)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SCOOT ON BY by CATIENUS)
13  MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Mar16 Mar01 Feb10 Jan05   (whitelaw mic)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAEBELUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
14  INDY LA PRIMERA Jun21 May26 May05 Mar16 Feb17 (rangel raul)ALVAREZ L 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of I'M INDY HAVIN FUN by INDYGO MOUNTAIN)
 
LS-8   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($22.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR LANA SPIRIT Jun08 Apr21 Apr06 Feb25 Jan05 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 15.00    
2  BIZZEE CHANNEL Jun23 May17 Mar10 Jan11 Nov23 (v)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 2.50    
SCR  SEIZE THE TREASURE Jun07 Apr18 Mar15 Jan25 Dec29 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
4  INTERSTELLAR Jun23 Jun08 May19 May04 Apr07 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
5  BROCK ON BY May11 Feb24 Feb10 Nov04 Aug07 (young bob)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
6  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Jun23 Jun15 May18 Apr07 Feb18 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
7  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Jun08 May17 Apr19 Feb24 Feb10 (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
8  RODEO CHAMP May17 Apr21 Feb24 Jan28 Jan12 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ICARUS Jun21 May17 Apr26 Mar17 Feb02 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
10  COTTONWOOD May26 May17 Feb11 Jan06 Nov25 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 12% 7.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.