Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (1/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/2)-(1/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-8   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-2   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCCA'S LEGACY Jun22 Jun07 May11 Mar08 Feb08 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 124 2.00    
2  SMOKENSILVER Jun29 Jun22 Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  LONGFORD Jun22 Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug12 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  SAINT HELEN Jun30 Jun15 Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  SENSATIONAL CITY Jun29 Jun23 Sep03 Aug12 Aug10 (lyons kend)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 121 2.50    
 
GRP-4   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAVERNELLE Jun16 May26 May04 Apr20 Jun11 (mcdevi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of APOLOGY ACCEPTED by CANDY RIDE)
2  JEWELED AGAIN Jun22 Jun15 May26 Apr30 Sep10 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PONTIFF out of LIVE LIKE MIKE by DEMON WARLOCK)
3  IKE BUTTE Jun16 Oct09 Jul02 Jul09 Jun18 (cantrell margie)RUIZ G 126 10.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
4  MR MAKUNOUCHI Jun16 Oct08 Sep17 Jul09 Jun03 (mccracken)JENSEN P 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
5  HOPS FOR POPS Jun23 Jul31       (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MAGGIE'S SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
SCR  COLTON'S TIGER Jun23 Jun07 Oct08 Sep17 Aug25 (stillwell t)IBARRA SALVADOR 126 3.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
7  TREASURE MESA Oct08         (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SKYMYNX by SKY MESA)
8  LIL BIT OF HEAVEN Jun16 Oct01       (guerrero d)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AL FAATIK out of BELLA FABIELA by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
 
GRP-6   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ralph Garcia Memorial Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEFS LIL PEARL Jun23 Jun16 Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 (boyle mar)JENSEN P 126 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of MEDICI PEARL by MEDICEAN)
2  SOFIA STRONG Jun16 Jun08 Mar21 Mar12 Feb14 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of TUNA by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  SPANISH CHANNEL Jun16 Oct08 Sep25 Aug18 Jul21 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 4.50    
  (by GERVINHO out of ELEGANT TRICK by PHONE TRICK)
4  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Jun16 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.50    
  (by ABRAAJ out of MOSCOW SYMPHONY by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
5  HERE'S THE THING Jun23 Jun08 Sep04 Aug11 Jul02 (stewart scot)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ISTEEFAA by EDDINGTON)
6  HYPHY Jun16 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEA OF SECRETS out of SUMMER STARLET by SIBERIAN SUMMER)
 
GRP-8   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Stars Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RODEO ROSE Jun23 Jun08 Oct09 Oct01 Sep17 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 27% 2.60    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CLEMENS BROOK by PETERSBURG)
2  MO SUGAFOOT Jun23 Jun16 Oct02 Sep25 Sep18 (beckner teri)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of DAWNSDU by SCATMANDU)
3  SHESAIDSHESPERFECT Sep25 Sep17 Sep10 Aug26 Aug11 (flores bryan)GARCIA G 126 10.00    
  (by ESKENDEREYA out of VITERA by SHARP HUMOR)
4  BETHEL RIDGE Jun23 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 (morris)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of BEARLEE NAKED by OLD TRIESTE)
5  GOOD JOB JACKIE Oct02 Sep04 Jun24 Jun17 Jun28 (klapatch )JENSEN P 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of GO JACKIE GO by MATTY G)
6  XTRAFINE XTINA Jun22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep03 Aug26 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by REVOLUTA out of STOPIN MEMO by TRIBAL RULE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.