Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(9/10/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(9/10/4)-(7/3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-2   WIN (9/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/4)-(9/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/10/4)-(9/10/4)-(9/10/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/10/4)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/10/4)-(7/3/2/1)-(8/10/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-3   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/1)-(8/10/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/1)-(8/10/5)-(5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-4   WIN (8/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/5)-(8/10/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/10/5)-(8/10/5)-(8/10/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/10/5)-(5/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/10/5)-(5/4/3)-(2/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
CBY-6   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 35 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE GOLD Jun09 May18 Aug26 Aug10   (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00    
RIDIN SOLO Jun06 May25 Apr14 Aug26 Aug06 (bethke tro)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 5.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  ZENYARTY BONES Jun23 May25 Aug10     (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 4.00    
LL'S CLASSY DUDE Jun16 Sep03 Aug06 Jul19 Jun24 (mckinley fran)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 4.50    
STRAITFROMTHEDUECE Jun09 May25 Oct26 Sep09   (biehler mich)FUENTES A 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  LAST STAND Jun09 May03       (smith georg)MORALES ROBERTO 119 12.00    
KA POW Jun09 May25 Apr26 Jun11 May28 (smith georg)BARANDELA SOFIA 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
CBY-2   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TABLE FOR TWO Jun08 Apr16 Mar26 Mar12 Jan30 (fuentes rube)FUENTES A 124 4.00    
SCR  HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Jun22 Jun01 May04 Apr24 Apr15 (kenney ry)VALENZUELA A 117 6.00    
ARREST Jun13 May04 Apr16 Mar20 Feb16 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00    
NORTH ARM BAY Jun09 Jun01 May18 Apr27 Apr07 (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOUSE OF LORDS Jun02 May04 Apr04 Dec02 Nov12 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00    
BAYOU BENNY Jun08 May11 Sep09 Aug12 Jul16 (scherer gar)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 10.00    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY May26 Apr21 Mar06 Jan18 Dec30 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.00    
CROCODILEHUNTER Jun08 May18 Jan31 Dec22 Nov24 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00    
DIVINE LEADER Jun16 May01 Aug17 Jun01 May12 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
10  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Jun16 Jun02 Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00 21% 3.80    
 
CBY-3   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG PETE Jun20 Jun02 May18 Mar22 Feb25 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CALZONE Jun20 Jun02 May18 Apr20 Mar30 (rarick ly)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 4.50 10% 8.80    
PANZER PRIDE Apr25 Mar28 Mar06 Feb15 Jan30 (rarick wade)FUENTES A 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
SUMMER ALL YEAR Jun02 Apr05 Feb02 Jan05 Dec20 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00    
GRUNDER Jun20 Jun06 Sep04 Aug17 Jul26 (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
INFINITE MORO Jun20 Jun06 May18 Mar29 Mar17 (rengstorf t)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 5.00    
TIGER HUNTER Jun01 Apr25 Mar13 Feb21 Nov14 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
CBY-4   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMARTY BE GOOD Jun23 May25 Apr27     (robertson mcl)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of INTROVERT by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  BACKSTAGE PASS May18 Jun19       (rosin cot)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SUMMER RUSS May01 Apr17 Apr03     (kenney ryan)FUENTES A 119 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of BABY RUSS by HIGH COTTON)
MIA IS SHORT Jun23 Apr22 Mar25 Feb19 Nov30 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 15.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of SUMMER NIGHTS by SIBERIAN SUMMER)
RED VOLTA Jun23 Apr21 Mar21 Feb25 Feb10 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BAY OF FABLES by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  ABINGDON ROAD         (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 6.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TWO BAYME by INCLUDE)
ZONGS IRISH FROST May25 Apr28 Apr12 Mar23 Mar01 (cline n)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00    
  (by ZONG out of HUMBLE MONIQUE by HUMBLE ELEVEN)
VALHALLA VIXEN         (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 4.00 52% 0.90    
  (by MITOLE out of BIRD HOUSE by LIMEHOUSE)
SCR  HA HA GLORIA (IRE) May19 Oct22       (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  FRESH BREEZE         (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of BRILLIANT RESCUE by PURGE)
 
CBY-5   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDISUR May26 May04 Apr21 Apr03 Mar03 (rarick lynn)HARR KELSI 124 15.00    
SCR  BIGFOOT CITY Apr25 Mar18 Feb01 Oct21 Oct11 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50    
MEET JOE Jun01 May01 Apr16 Mar19 Feb19 (kenney ry)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
TOTAL SURPRISE Jun06 May18 Apr27 Mar15 Feb21 (williams )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.50 8% 12.30    
IL CAPITANO (GB) Jun20 Jun08 May26 Apr24 Apr16 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 65% 0.50    
KOWBOYKABIN May04 Apr21 Mar08 Feb19 Nov18 (rarick wade)FUENTES A 124 5.00    
MULBERRY STREET May06 Apr22 Apr15 Nov03 Oct14 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 4.50    
 
CBY-6   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRACE A'LACE Jun20 Jun06 May26 Sep13 Aug10 (bethke tr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of ROYAL CLASS by REGAL SEARCH)
EMERYANDAVERY         (donlin larr)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00 26% 2.80    
  (by JACK MILTON out of STELLABRINI by ADDED EDGE)
MOLLYS MIA         (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 26% 2.80    
  (by LORD NELSON out of LINER by EXCHANGE RATE)
KOOL KARMA Jun16 Sep09       (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 4.50    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of FANFEST by FANTASTIC LIGHT)
CLOUDLESS BLUE May26 Sep09 Aug09 Jul19   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of SUBTLE SPLENDOR by POLITICAL FORCE)
SCR  DIGS AND DIAMONDS Jun06 May18 Sep13     (do)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PERFECT FASHION by EDDINGTON)
SCR  BABY DOLL PEACH Jun06 Jun07       (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of DOLLY PEACH by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.