Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Monday - June 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-9   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/6)-(3/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-10   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(3/7/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/7/4/1)-(6/2/5/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRM-11   WIN (3/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/1)-(6/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/1)-(6/2/5/4)-(7/1/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-12   WIN (6/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/4)-(7/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/4)-(7/1/5/2)-(4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-13   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/2)-(4/7/6)-(5/8/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-14   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(5/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-15   WIN (5/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-9   06/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 2 F PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADETERMINEDMOM         (ashford tris)JORDAN R 119 6.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of CHELSEA'S LINCOLN by MULDOON)
THE WIFE FOUND OUT         (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TINDERETTE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  LADY CRUSH         (murphy)FLETCHER D 119 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ADVENTUROUS LADY by KANTHAROS)
SCR  GUNITE MAX         (murphy swan)NOLL S 119 2.00 51% 0.90    
  (by VOLATILE out of SUPER SIMPLE by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  PATMO         (condon schuyle)WILLIAMS REY 119 2.50    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of ALEXA JUNE by AFLEET ALEX)
MOVE IT MARY         (murphy travis)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 12% 7.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RED MOON GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
 
PRM-10   06/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAHMS IMAGE Apr28 Mar29 Mar09 Feb25 Jan28 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 123 2.50    
K C ROCKET Aug14 Jul22 Jun11 Apr23 Sep07 (martin n)BIRZER E 123 2.00    
MEDICINE TAIL May27 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 Mar09 (donlin d)ROMAN KEVIN 123 8.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  PURE ROCKET Jun01 Sep10 Aug21 Jul28 Jul14 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 123 6.00    
WESTONS WILDCAT May27 May06 Aug06 Jul07 Jun11 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00    
HIDE THE DEMON Apr13 May22 Apr21 Mar24 Mar05 (condon schuy)JORDAN R 123 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
PRM-11   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGING GROOM May19 Mar29 Feb25 Feb11 Jan13 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
EZ FITZ May31 Sep10 Aug13 Jul29   (parsons r)MEDINA ANGEL 120 12.00    
LAZARUS Jun08 May19 May01 Sep27 Sep07 (lemburg mark)BIRZER E 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
BARBERSHOP May31 May10 Dec07     (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 5.00 9% 9.70    
LUCKY'S SECRET Jun08 May25 Apr07 Mar30 Dec27 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50    
PRIZED TAP May18 Sep29 Sep09 Aug21 Aug05 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 122 8.00    
WICKED PRINCE Jun08 May19 Apr19 Mar29 Feb25 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.80 20% 4.00    
 
PRM-12   06/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($37.439K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKLYGREAT May20 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 12.00    
TAP THE BRAKES May26 Apr22 Sep29 Sep09 Aug28 (arceo sal)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
A BRUSH OF LUCK Jun03 Sep29 Sep18 Sep09 Aug27 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 123 6.00    
DEER RUN May26 Sep24 Sep16 Aug27 Aug12 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOOKED ON DREAMS Jun03 May20 Jun19 May29 Sep18 (mcshane david )WILLIAMS REY 123 4.00 14% 6.10    
JUSTASTROLLIN May26 Jul15 Jun19 Jun03 May13 (compton jesse)BIRZER E 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
ROWDY RAY Jun03 May20 Sep23 Aug18 Jul15 (hargens bob)ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.00    
 
PRM-13   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAYAAD AIN'T SO May26 May15 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 (swan e)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
REINA DEL SUR Jun01 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Oct29 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
HERE AND VOW Jun03 Apr27 Apr14 Sep28 Aug26 (mcdonald )MEDINA ANGEL 123 10.00    
JACKIE FLASH Jun03 Apr10 Mar27 Mar11 Dec09 (hemba brad)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00    
DODGEBALL May24 Apr27 Mar30 Mar10 Mar02 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
DOUGHTY May26 May05 Apr20 Mar16 Feb04 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 125 2.50    
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT May25 Mar30 Mar02 Feb17 Dec27 (clay pat)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
PRM-14   06/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROMISING SHOES Jun02 May24 Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 (hornsby tammy)MECHE COLE 119 20.00    
TEXTHELEGEND May20 Apr11 Mar21 Mar06 Feb12 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
SEASIDE BOY May25 Apr05 Feb17 Jan13 Sep15 (martin n)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
FORCED RANKING May27 Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 (condon schuy)JORDAN R 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  DINNER AT CRUMPIES May20 May04 Apr14 Mar22 Mar09 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 124 5.00    
SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR May20 May10 Apr20 Sep23 Sep07 (murphy swan)NOLL S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DAVIDIC LINE May20 Mar31 Feb15 Dec01 Oct26 (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
CYBERTOWN May27 May04 Apr14 Mar29 Feb17 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 2.00    
 
PRM-15   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3UP M/F PT-10:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER SWEDE May18 Apr07       (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SWEDE by YANKEE VICTOR)
NEW YEAR'S BELLE         (martin william)WILLIAMS REY 124 4.00    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of FLYING KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
RED SANGRIA May24         (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 5.00 8% 11.20    
  (by KLIMT out of DARE TO WEAR RED by PURE PRIZE)
MISSION MAKER May18         (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS BIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
HANKS GIRL May27 May10 Sep17 Sep04   (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
  (by PALACE out of AINTNOSHAKIN by CROSS TRAFFIC)
WICKED HOT FOOT May10 Jul01 Jun12     (young nic)TRIANA JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
JADA May27         (anderson l)TOHILL S 118 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MO BABY by UNCLE MO)
SHANNON K May27         (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 3.00 14% 6.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MYTHICAL VIXEN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.