Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(2/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/6/5)-(6/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/5)-(6/1/4/3)-(2/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-3   WIN (6/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-5   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-6   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/3/6/1)-(10/5/4/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-8   WIN (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/6/1)-(10/5/4/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-9   WIN (10/5/4/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/4/9/3)-(10/5/4/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/4/9/3)-(10/5/4/9/3)-(10/5/4/9/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA B Feb08 Jan19 Dec19 Nov21 Oct18 (lambert t)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
WAY RITE Feb01 Dec19 Nov14 Oct18 Oct06 (olguin ever)MEDELLIN A 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
IT'S SAUL RIGHT Feb02 Jan12 Dec12 Nov21 Oct14 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00    
ROCKIN MARIE Feb15 Jan11 Dec18 Dec11 Nov14 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 124 4.50    
BLUEBERRY EYES Feb02 Jan25 Dec12 Nov14 Sep14 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
SHE HIT A HOMER Feb08 Feb01 Jan19 Jan11 Dec12 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00 6% 15.00    
 
SUN-2   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOM WAYNE Feb09 Jan18 Dec20 Oct25 Sep30 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 3.50    
RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Feb09 Jan18 Dec18 Oct22 Oct04 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
BURNZ DA BOSS Feb02 Jan18 Jan11 Dec18 Nov20 (munoz guadalupe )TOHILL S 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
SIERRA SUMMER Feb15 Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 Oct07 (armstrong sherr)VERGARA P 119 8.00    
REVOLT AND RIOT Jan26 Jan18 Sep30 Sep15 Sep03 (cross gary)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
WILLTOBELUCKY Feb15 Feb02 Jan18 Dec18 Nov28 (marquez l)TORRES J 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
JUVAL Feb02 Jan25 Jan12 Dec18 Dec04 (silva n)PEREZ A 124 4.50    
 
SUN-3   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO SOY ROY Jan18 Dec12 Nov06     (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 1.80 19% 4.20    
  (by YOSHIDA out of QUALITY LANE by QUALITY ROAD)
RED FROST Feb09 Jan18 Dec11 Jul30   (long vaughn)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of BODEE BEAUTIFUL by BODEMEISTER)
DINI DICE Feb09 Jan05 Dec11     (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
YOUNG POPE         (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 3.50 8% 11.60    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ANGEL'S SHADOWS Nov13 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23   (pierce w)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of ANGELS O' WAR by WAR POWER)
GOING TO SANANTONE Feb09 Jan05 Dec11 Jul03 Jun04 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 1.60 51% 0.90    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of CRUDE by WILDCAT HEIR)
SUENO REAL Jan26 Dec11       (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121 15.00    
  (by DORRANCE out of ROYAL RAJA by AMERICAIN)
 
SUN-4   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PEPPY Feb02 Nov07 Sep02 Aug05 Mar19 (collier jim)ORTEGA O 124 5.00    
ANDREABANANAS Jan26 Dec11 Dec04 Nov20 Nov07 (munoz guadalupe)ROSENDO J 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
STORMY DAME Nov13 Oct13 Apr30 Mar28 Mar05 (aldavaz hermengildo)JAIME R 124 20.00    
EMOTION N DEVOTION Jan26 Dec11 Nov07 Jul14 Jun11 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 2.00    
NO BULL DARWIN Jan26 Nov27       (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
FOXY RED May20 Apr22 Jan24 Jan03 Nov14 (rust terri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-5   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B A CHAMPION Dec20 Jul15 Jun24 May06 Apr09 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
RYDERS UP Feb02 Jan25 Jan11 Dec11 Nov20 (marquez l)CARRENO J 123 15.00    
CERVEZA Feb01 Jan05 Nov20 Oct21 Sep07 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
HOLD ME ONLY Feb01 Oct18 Sep09 Jun18 May14 (cross gary)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 5% 18.70    
POOF HE'S GONE Feb02 Jan19 Oct04 Aug25 Jul22 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 123 3.00    
EFFORT N RESULTS Feb02 Jan05 Dec12 Dec12 Nov22 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
REAL PENNY Jul14 Jun16 Apr02 Feb12 May07 (danley fred)ORTEGA O 123 12.00    
 
SUN-6   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK EYED BANDIT Feb22 Feb08 Dec05 Nov14 Oct20 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
HOLLYWOOD TIZ Feb15 Dec05 Nov07 Sep03 Aug04 (marquez jose )MARQUEZ LARRY 124 20.00    
WISKEY CROWN Jul28 Feb12 Jan24 Dec12 Dec06 (danley fred)ORTEGA O 124 4.50 10% 9.00    
MICKEYS GOLD Feb01 Jan11 Dec11 Oct27 Oct14 (lambert t)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
DECK HUMOR Jan19 Nov14 Oct20 Sep15 Sep01 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 124 2.50    
HESA PROSPECTOR Feb08 Jan12 Nov14 Jun18 May29 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 1.50 63% 0.60    
OAKES CROSSING Feb08 Jan12 Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-7   02/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINING PESOS Jan12 Dec05 Oct20 Sep01 Jul21 (acosta gabri)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 15.00    
LONELY PRIVATE Aug18 Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 Apr26 (gomez alfredo)MEDELLIN A 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
BRAZEN NOW Dec04 Oct15 Sep30 Sep02 Aug12 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SILVERWIND Jan12 Nov21 Nov06 Sep17 Sep07 (green greg)ORTEGA O 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  CASH CRUZER Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00    
SEEULATERGATOR Nov20 Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Jul09 (long vaughn)CARRENO J 124 2.50    
HIT BTWEEN THE ICE Jan12 Dec20 Nov14 Oct22 Sep27 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.00    
 
SUN-8   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORDY'S RULES Feb15 Jan26 Jan18 Nov21 Oct27 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  JUST AWESOME M Oct21 Sep30 Jul08 Apr15 Apr02 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00    
THIRSTY ECHO Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 Dec04 Nov14 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
MAJORWAYHOME Feb15 Jan25 Jan12 Dec12 Nov21 (munoz guadalupe )TOHILL S 124 4.50    
OKIE FREEZE Jan26 Dec19 Nov21 Oct04 Sep02 (rojero)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 5.00    
LOTTA GUSTO Feb15 Jan19 Nov21 Oct20 Sep30 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
JON L Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 Dec05 (barrios)FUENTES T 124 3.50 27% 2.80    
RIO CUTIE Jan18 Oct21 Oct13 Sep14 Apr16 (gonzalez a)TORRES J 124 8.00    
 
SUN-9   02/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUG'S ROCKET Feb08 Dec12 Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 (lambert t)VERGARA P 121 12.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of ROCK THOSE HIPS by ROCKY BAR)
BULLDACIOUS KROME Sep07 Jul09 Jun24 May20 May06 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 20.00    
  (by KING BULL out of QUITE A RUSH by WILD RUSH)
I'M A DREAMER TOO Jan26 Dec18 Nov13 Sep20 Sep04 (munoz guadalu)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of ARTIC CRUSH by ARAGORN)
EMPERIAL EAGLES Jan05 Dec04 Nov14 Sep13 Sep03 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by LIBERTY LOVER out of NO SHAM HERE by ATTILA'S STORM)
TAZ MARKING Feb15 Feb01 Nov13 Sep04   (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by MARKING out of SCAMMONY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
AL GRANO D ORO Feb01 Nov13 Oct25 Oct14 Jun03 (lavanway )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00    
  (by CITY AT MIDNIGHT out of SCAT by CARSON CITY)
SNOW BOOTS Feb08 Sep01       (vaughn lonn)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
  (by HOLMES out of MARIZELLA by ELIJAH'S SONG)
JAZZY RED Feb09 Mar19 Mar15 Feb22   (gutierrez ta)MEDINA ANTHONY 118 15.00    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of LITTLE RED RIDER by LIMEHOUSE)
G G HENNESSY Aug18         (aldavaz herme)JUAREZ J 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
  (by G G FLAG out of LA MARIPOSA by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
10  JUANA RUMBLE Jun25 Jun09       (fincher w)ROSENDO J 121 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of TIJUANA by DEVON LANE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.