Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/1)-(2/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/1)-(2/6/3)-(5/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(5/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(5/3/1)-(1/4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/4/7/2)-(6/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2)-(6/9/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(6/9/4)-(3/8/10/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-5   WIN (6/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/4)-(6/9/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/4)-(6/9/4/3)-(6/9/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/9/4)-(3/8/10/9/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4)-(3/8/10/9/4)-(7/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/8/10/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/10/9/4)-(3/8/10/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/10/9/4)-(3/8/10/9/4)-(3/8/10/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (3/8/10/9/4)-(7/2/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/8/10/9/4)-(7/2/6)-(5/4/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-7   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(5/4/3/7)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7)-(3/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/7)-(3/6/5)-(9/6/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(9/6/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-10   WIN (9/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/7)-(9/6/5/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/7)-(9/6/5/7/11)-(9/6/5/7/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/03/2024 4290ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISSA COURT Jan15 Dec09 Nov17 Sep03 Jul30 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 124 4.00 10% 9.50    
QUEEN OF POMPEII Nov02 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 Oct28 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00    
SATOSHI Jan05 Dec10 Nov25 Oct28 Oct06 (hofmans da)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SUMMER LAKE Nov25 Oct15 May22 Apr17   (gaines ca)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
SONG OF SHADOWS Jan05 Nov24 Nov02 Sep24 Aug25 (miyadi steve)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
ILLHAVEANOTHERKISS Jan05 Nov24 Oct28 Sep22 Sep08 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 6.00    
UNCONTROLLABLE May19 Mar03 Jan28 Dec10 Oct08 (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
WARRIOR LADY Dec09 Oct15 Sep08 Jul27 Jun04 (eurton peter)SMITH E 122 15.00    
 
SA-2   02/03/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR FABRICATOR Sep02 Aug12       (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PARTY OF FOUR by TALE OF THE CAT)
ISLAND CRUISER Jan06 Nov02       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SPECIAL CODE by COUNT THE TIME)
FAST CHAZ         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of WABANAKI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
CLASSIC ALPHIE Dec29 Nov11       (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISS ALPHIE by CANDI'S GOLD)
GAZON (GB) Jan06         (sadler w)BAZE C 122 12.00    
  (by LAND FORCE out of COIN A PHRASE by DUBAWI)
LAUGIER NIGHT (IRE)         (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 7% 12.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LAUREN'S GIRL by PERFECT)
BARTHOLDY Nov10 Sep30       (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
SA-3   02/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCREDIBE MO Jan05 Oct13 Aug19 Jul31 Jul10 (trela rose)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIFTY CINCO Jan12 Dec03 Oct14 Jul21 Apr22 (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 5.00    
HOTROD RIDE Jan20 Dec29 Aug28 Jul30 Jun19 (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  CHICKASAW Jan07 Jan27 Jan06 Jul09 Jun05 (bell r)BAZE C 124 3.50    
MONTANA Jan20 Jan07 Nov24 Oct06 Aug11 (campuzano lor)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  DERECHO DANDY Jan20 Jan07 Dec15 Nov19 Sep10 (moger jr)MALDONADO E 124 2.50    
CONFUCIUS Jan06 Dec09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug04 (galvin bre)VAN DRAYDEN 124 6.00    
 
SA-4   02/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 GOOD Megahertz Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUFFY Dec09 Oct14 Aug27 Jun21 May13 (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TRULY TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
JUSTIQUE Dec31 Nov05 Oct01 Sep02 Aug05 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GRAZIE MILLE by BERNARDINI)
YERWANTHERE (IRE) Dec30 Nov11 Oct28 Aug26   (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by MARKAZ out of FAST JAZZ by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
BELLABEL (IRE) Oct15 Aug20 Jul23 Jan02   (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by BELARDO out of FASHION LINE by MORNING LINE)
OAKHURST Dec30 Nov23 Oct09 Sep09 Jul23 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HAPPINESS IS by DYNAFORMER)
NADETTE (FR) Jan14 Nov11 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
  (by OUTSTRIP out of CIBOULETTE by PIVOTAL (GB))
CLOSING REMARKS Dec03 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 7% 12.90    
  (by VRONSKY out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
SA-5   02/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Robert Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE ME UP Dec16 Nov03 Oct07 Sep02   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEANAALLEN'SKITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
ACE OF CLUBS Dec16 Nov03 Oct08 Aug27 Aug11 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RUSTIC CHIC by ORB)
BETTER THAN GOLD Dec02 Oct21       (mandella gary)SMITH E 120 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
MOONLIT SONATA Jan06 Nov25       (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DISTORTED CHAMP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  COACH PRIME Dec16 Nov10 Oct07     (baffert b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ACT NOW by STREET SENSE)
NYSOS Nov19 Oct21       (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 72% 0.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of ZETTA Z by BERNARDINI)
SCR  STRONGHOLD Dec16 Nov19 Oct01 Aug27   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPECTATOR by JIMMY CREED)
MC VAY Jan20 Sep02       (shirreffs j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOTHRAKI SEA by UNION RAGS)
SCATIFY Dec16         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BROADWAY RUN by PROSPECTIVE)
 
SA-6   02/03/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAVANA ANGEL (IRE) Jan07 Oct01 Aug12 Jun18 Mar18 (powell leonard)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
IRRESISTIBLE FORCE Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar31 Mar05 (nehf jay)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00    
RUGELACH Dec31 Nov12 Oct09 Sep01 Aug03 (ellis rona)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
JUST NAILS Aug31 Jul23 Jul03     (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 10.00 5% 17.80    
VENGANZA Apr08 Mar11       (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 12.00    
ARINNITI (FR) Jan06         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 12.00    
REAL FIRE Jan06 Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Aug25 (knapp ste)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
SHE'S GOT A WAY Jan06 Nov11 Aug25 Jun02 May07 (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
DON'T JU FORGET Jan05 Nov24 Nov10 Nov02 Oct06 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 6% 15.30    
10  MISS LIZZY Jan06 Nov25 Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 7% 12.40    
 
SA-7   02/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNTACTIC Jan20 Jan07 Nov18 Oct09 Sep11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00    
TAHOE SECRETS Jan07 Nov25 Nov05 Oct09 Aug04 (harris andr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
THRUST Dec08 Nov10 Oct08 Aug26 Jul21 (baltas richar)VALDIVIA JR 124 4.00    
SCR  TOKAMAK Jan07 Dec16 Dec09 Oct27 Sep29 (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50    
RUSTY B CAUSE Jan07 Dec16 Dec03 Nov04 Sep10 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 12.00    
TAKE CHARGE CURLY Dec17 Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 (oviedo phil)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
ARREST Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Jul08 Jun10 (dollase cra)HERRERA A 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
SA-8   02/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 GOOD Thunder Road Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AH JEEZ Dec26 Nov10 Sep30 Sep03 Jul21 (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of POETIC by VIOLENCE)
SCR  PRINCE ABAMA (IRE) Feb05 Dec26 Nov25 Oct29 Oct01 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ABAMA LADY by MR. GREELEY)
BALNIKHOV (IRE) Dec30 Nov25 Sep30 Sep02 Jul30 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
  (by ADAAY out of LEEWARD by FIRST DEFENCE)
DANDY MAN SHINES (IRE) Dec26 Nov10 Sep09 Jan21 Dec26 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 12% 7.40    
  (by DANDY MAN out of ZEHRAH by RAVEN'S PASS)
TIO MAGICO Dec26 Nov02 Oct01 Aug19 Jul22 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MAGIC BROOMSTICK by MORE THAN READY)
GOLIAD Jan07 Dec03 Aug19 Jun10 Oct01 (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of CHOREOGRAPH by DYNAFORMER)
TIME TO PARTY Jul23 Jun02 May04 Apr08 Mar04 (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of PARTY SMART by SMART STRIKE)
GREAT KING (FR) Jan07 Oct19 Sep09 Aug19 Jun25 (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.00    
  (by SHAMARDAL out of DARYSINA by SMART STRIKE)
 
SA-9   02/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Santa Monica Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIQUISH Dec31 Nov23 Oct09 Aug31 Jul28 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
KIRSTENBOSCH Nov04 Sep29 Aug27 Aug05 Jun10 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LLANDUDNO by BELONG TO ME)
THREE WITCHES Nov04 Oct07 Aug27 Mar10 Jan27 (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LAYREEBELLE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  ROSE MADDOX Jan13 Nov03 Oct14 Aug25 Jul04 (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of HEAT THE ROCKS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
CHISMOSA Jan13 Jan01 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 (deleon rafael)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of YOU CAN DREAM by CAT DREAMS)
HOT PEPPERS Jan01 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Jun12 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of FRIENDS PRO by FRIENDS LAKE)
 
SA-10   02/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALM SEA Dec26 Nov10 Oct14 Sep09 Mar12 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00    
STAMP MY PASSPORT Nov05 Oct14 Sep08 Aug13 Jun17 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
CATALINA EDDY Jan13 Dec26 Apr21 Mar04 Feb18 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00    
SCR  CAISSON Dec17 Oct14 Sep24 Aug18 Jun11 (ortiz manuel )AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00    
AUSPICIOUS STYLE Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 (barocio libra)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
CITY EXILE (GB) Jan07         (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
TRULY QUALITY Oct28 Sep10 Jul07 May28 May17 (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
LIVING LIFE Dec26 Nov05 Oct01 Aug26   (ellis rona)VAN DRAYDEN 122 15.00    
SYDNEY STREET (GB) Nov19 Oct29 Nov04 Aug13 Jul23 (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.50 34% 1.90    
10  LIL NAS Dec03 Oct15 Jan08 Oct10 Sep03 (baltas richard)MALDONADO E 124 15.00    
11  SANTO DIOS (ARG) Jan07 Dec03 Nov05     (polanco marc)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 8.00    
12  HULA CANDY Jan06 Dec03 Oct14 Aug19 Jul29 (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00    
SCR  MALIBU COAST May07 Mar05 Dec30 Nov13 Oct09 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00    
14  VANTASTIC Dec03 Oct29 Oct01 Jun02 Mar12 (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.