Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Friday - December 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/8/6/7)-(2/4/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-2   WIN (2/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/8/6/7)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/7)-(2/4/1)-(1/4/3/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/4/3/6)-(5/3/2/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-4   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/4/3/6)-(5/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(5/3/2/7)-(8/1/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-5   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/3/2/7)-(8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/7)-(8/1/3)-(3/7/6/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-6   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (8/1/3)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/8/2/9/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-7   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/7/6/4)-(3/8/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
WO-8   WIN (3/8/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/9/5)-(3/8/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/9/5)-(3/8/2/9/5)-(3/8/2/9/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   12/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS A BIRDIE Nov24 Nov17 Oct26 Oct14 Sep28 (mcdonald michae)MORENO OMAR 124 4.50    
2  TEMPEREYA Nov18 Nov11 Sep07 Jul15 Jun17 (dunslow a)AEBLY FRASER 117 3.50    
3  ERASMO'S GIRL Nov18 Oct28 Oct19 Sep28 Aug10 (chi)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
4  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Nov19 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Aug17 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 20.00    
5  AMI'S LINK Nov18 Oct19 Sep24 May25 Mar31 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) Nov11 Oct19 Sep23 Sep07 Aug18 (krczmar zelk)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
WO-2   12/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD RELOAD Oct20 Oct05 Sep10 Aug10   (raghun)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 114 20.00    
2  LLOYD         (douglas matt)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 4.00 32% 2.20    
3  SUGARTAP Nov26 Oct05 Sep17 Aug17   (attard c)MUNOZ LARRY 121 2.00    
4  COMMANDER AT SEA Nov09 Oct20 Oct05 Sep22 Sep02 (armata ross)AEBLY FRASER 117 20.00    
5  IT'S ME MARIO Nov25 Nov12 Oct27 Oct20 Sep22 (dipaola san)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
6  CUT'EM LOOSE         (katryan ab)CAMPOS LUIS 119 8.00 9% 10.40    
7  BUSTA GROOVE Nov25 Nov09 Oct13 Sep25 Sep11 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 109 6.00 8% 10.90    
8  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Nov25 Nov10 Oct20 Sep04 Aug29 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
WO-3   12/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT WORKED Nov17 Oct27 Oct05 Sep15 Aug18 (grant carlos)VIVES SOFIA 120 3.50 7% 13.70    
2  MALIBU SECRET Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 Aug24 Jul07 (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 1.40 56% 0.80    
3  TARADAR Nov18 Oct29 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 (burke)DOUGLAS K 121 10.00    
4  UPSTART GENTLEMAN Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Sep23 Sep07 (tharrenos )CAMPOS LUIS 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
5  CHANCEL Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Aug24 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 123 4.00    
6  DIAMONDBACK Nov18 Nov05 Oct17 Oct09 Sep19 (wieczo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 8.00    
7  BOCELLI (IRE) Nov18 Nov03 Oct16 Oct10 Oct03 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 118 20.00    
 
WO-4   12/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASK IN MY NAME Nov24 Nov05       (katryan abraham )SALLES LEO 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  DEMBA Nov05 Oct08 Sep17     (hughes gail )NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 8.00    
3  MIAH SAID Nov09 Oct06 Sep15 Aug17 Jul22 (holder tedston)HOYTE JASON 119 6.00 15% 5.50    
4  WHADDYA MEAN Nov24 Oct05 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (depaulo mi)CAMPOS LUIS 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  JUST FOR MADDIE Nov24 Nov05       (leblanc john)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 20.00    
6  TODAY Oct29 Oct05 Jul22 Oct21 Oct02 (buttigieg)WILSON JAYNE 121 12.00 5% 17.90    
7  HYGGE Nov26 Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 (grant carlos)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 20.00    
8  STEPHEN B GOOD Jul22 Jun09 Dec02 Nov11   (dunslow a)AEBLY FRASER 116 3.50    
9  MAGIC TOMAHAWK Oct19 Aug27 Jul30 Jun10 May20 (pion sylvain)MUNGER RYAN 119 10.00    
 
WO-5   12/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'VE DECIDED Nov17         (katryan abraham )SALLES LEO 121 20.00    
2  WHITING FIELD Nov02 Aug27       (banach darwin )AEBLY FRASER 116 6.00 18% 4.50    
3  CAMAROSA Nov18 Nov02 Oct08 Sep10 Jul29 (depaulo michae)CIVACI SAHIN 115 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  OH PEANUTS Nov02 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (pottin)ALDERSON IAN 118 12.00    
5  SUGAR IT'S ELI Nov26 Sep03       (begg bent)VIVES SOFIA 116 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  TECH WIZARD Nov17 Oct15 Aug13     (mcknight norman)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00    
7  SECORD Nov18 Oct08 Jul22     (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 115 3.50 13% 6.70    
8  CLARENCE B Nov17 Nov02 Oct01 Sep08   (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 20.00    
 
WO-6   12/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPROLITE         (holder tedston)STEIN JUSTIN 118 8.00 24% 3.10    
2  SCREEN LEGEND Nov12 Oct26       (katryan abraham )SALLES LEO 118 4.00    
3  HIGHLAND ROCKY Dec01 Oct20 Sep17 Aug27   (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLONDINA'S BOY Nov26         (pottinger anthon)CRAWFORD J 118 20.00    
5  SCAT FACTOR Dec01 Nov12 Oct20 Oct01 Jul30 (tiller p)MUNGER RYAN 118 3.00 ★    
6  GOLD BONANZA Nov19 Oct29       (charal)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 10.00    
7  SPEED LOADER Nov11 Oct14       (minshall )WILSON JAYNE 115 6.00    
8  CORNWALL Nov17         (des)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
WO-7   12/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF LIT Nov24 Nov12 Oct29 Oct16 Oct10 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 121 20.00    
2  OCTOBER FROST Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 Oct13 Sep29 (pleterski)WILSON JAYNE 125 8.00    
3  COLEYVILLE Nov19 Nov05 Sep28 Sep02 Aug18 (knight edwin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  HULLABALOO Nov24 Nov19 Oct20 Oct12 Aug20 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  STOP THE HUMBUG Nov05 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (morden richard)AEBLY FRASER 116 12.00    
6  MAMBOINTHEFOREST Nov24 Nov05 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (sadler ronal)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
7  TIMESKIP Nov24 Nov05 Oct12 Sep28 Sep10 (kierans renee )STEIN JUSTIN 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  NATIVE PRINCE Nov24 Nov19 Nov05 Oct19 Sep28 (leb)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 3.50    
 
WO-8   12/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST SPRING Nov24 Nov17 Oct27 Oct20 Sep28 (crook alison)JOHNSON KIRK 123 20.00    
2  MO TOURIST Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 Sep24 Aug13 (hall philip)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 5.00 8% 12.20    
3  SWATH Nov17 Sep07 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
4  COPINSAY Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Sep29 Sep02 (holder renaldo)HOYTE JASON 121 20.00    
5  I LIVE BY FAITH Nov17 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Sep12 (pottinger anth)ADAMS AUSTIN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUCYS CHILD Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 (gracey phi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 12.00    
7  HIGHLAND SOCIETY Dec01 Nov12 Oct27 Sep23 Sep07 (sadler ronald )STEIN JUSTIN 121 20.00    
8  TRANQUILITY BASE Nov03 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Jul15 (mcknight norman)CRAWFORD J 123 8.00 33% 2.00    
9  READY HERO Nov18 Oct29 Oct20 Sep10 Aug04 (drake m)MORENO OMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  ECHO WITH LAUGHTER Nov24 Nov16 Oct12 Sep22 Jun18 (tiller p)VIVES SOFIA 118 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.