Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Del Mar
Saturday - November 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DMR-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/4)-(3/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/6/4)-(7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(7/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(7/5/1)-(5/1/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-4   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(5/1/4/8)-(6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-5   WIN (5/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/8)-(6/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/8)-(6/5/2)-(4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DMR-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/3)-(5/10/8/4/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
DMR-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/10/8/4/1) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/10/8/4/1)-(7/2/1/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
DMR-8   WIN (5/10/8/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/8/4/1)-(5/10/8/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/8/4/1)-(5/10/8/4/1)-(5/10/8/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/8/4/1)-(7/2/1/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
DMR-9   WIN (7/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DMR-1   11/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S NOT KIDDING Jan07         (koriner brian)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 8% 12.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of AVENUE OF LOVE by SALT LAKE)
2  SATOSHI Oct28 Oct06 Sep01 Aug06   (hofmans david)FREY KYLE 122 3.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MONEY PLAYS by MR. EASY MONEY)
3  COME JOIN THE BAND Oct20         (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STANFORD out of NATURAL SINGER R N by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  RHYME OR REASON Oct15 Aug06       (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.00    
  (by CYCLOTRON out of SURFIN' SAFARI by SURF CAT)
5  SAND TO SEA Oct15 Oct06 Sep08 Aug13   (stute gary)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.00 69% 0.40    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ROWDY GAL by PURE PRIZE)
6  IN HER PRYME         (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of MISS T'S PRYME by TIZBUD)
7  PLUM CREEK         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 12.00    
  (by SABURO out of SOLID SOLUTION by HAYNESFIELD)
 
DMR-2   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGDOM HEART Oct09 Sep17 Aug26 Jul21 Jun04 (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00    
2  ARHAM Oct21 Sep17 Aug26 May13 Apr03 (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  GOOD WITH PEOPLE Oct09 Aug26 Sep01 May28   (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00    
4  C Z ROCKET Sep30 Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 May27 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  PEACEFUL WATERS Jul29 Apr16 Oct14 Aug20 Jul23 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 2.00    
 
DMR-3   11/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HABEAS Nov11 Oct14 Sep23 Aug18 Jul30 (craigmyle k)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
2  MARS ON FIRE Nov02 Apr23 Aug28     (miyadi steven)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
3  PAULLIAC (IRE) Apr02 Feb03 Dec04 Nov12   (damato philip)FREY KYLE 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  RAHM Oct15 Aug26 Jul28 Jun23   (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  EDDIE'S LAST Nov02 Aug31 Aug05 Jun10 May19 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.00    
6  CASTLEKNOCK Oct07 Aug26 Aug10 Jun11 May06 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
DMR-4   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul03 (oviedo phil)FREY KYLE 122 4.00 9% 10.50    
2  JIMMY THE BOOT Nov05 Sep03 Jul21 Jun10 Apr29 (marquez alfred)TORREALBA JG 118 12.00    
SCR  DUAL THREAT Nov17 Oct15 Aug24 Jul22 Sep10 (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 125 2.50    
4  ALL THE KING'S MEN Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Sep10 Sep02 (belvoir vann)BAZE C 122 5.00    
5  TIZ TOK Oct28 Oct08 Sep16 May26 Mar11 (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
6  NOBLE UNION Nov19 Oct06 Sep01 Feb12   (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 8.00    
7  TAHOE SECRETS Nov05 Oct09 Aug04 Jun23 Aug13 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 125 4.00 53% 0.90    
 
DMR-5   11/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER LAKE Oct15 May22 Apr17     (gaines carla)VAZQUEZ A 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of ULTIMATE SUMMER by CEE'S TIZZY)
2  JAZZY BOO Nov02 Dec09       (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 12.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of SCATTAGIRL by SCAT DADDY)
3  YVETT'S SURPRISE Oct15 Sep22 Aug18 May14 Apr23 (periban jorge)TORREALBA JG 115 15.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of R SUNDAY SURPRISE by LUCKY PULPIT)
4  CANDY ON TOP Oct15 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jun17 (gaines carla)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 6.00 11% 7.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  WARREN'S PARADICE Oct15 Sep08 Aug18 Jul29 Aug28 (lewis a)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of WARREN'S AMBER by BROADWAY MOON)
6  ASHLEYS SANDCASTLE Oct15 Jul27 Jun04 Mar26 Mar03 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SANDI'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
7  HEY DEMPS Oct28 Sep22 Sep08 Aug13   (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SHEAPAROUX by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  JESSEBEAR Oct15 Sep08 Aug06 Aug26 Jul29 (ordonez agg)HERRERA A 125 4.00 8% 12.20    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of CAGEY GIRL by CROWD PLEASER)
9  THE MUSIC WE MAKE Oct06 Aug18 Jul04 Jun16   (agarie rick)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 30.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MORE CAL BREAD by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
 
DMR-6   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R SWIRVIN GIRVIN Oct27 Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 Jun16 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 12.00    
2  POWER SURGE Jul28 Apr01 Apr09 Mar11 Feb06 (koriner brian)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
3  SATIN DOLL Feb11 Jan08 Dec14 Oct28 Aug13 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00    
4  KRISTI'S TIGER Oct27 Sep29 Aug05 Jul03 May29 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
5  BIG POND Aug19 Jul27 Jun16     (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.80 30% 2.40    
6  SIGNORA MINISTER Oct29 Sep23 Aug24 Jul28 Jun24 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
DMR-7   11/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Seabiscuit Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMTER Oct20 Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 Mar05 (mandella richar)MALDONADO E 118 12.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
2  EASTER (FR) Oct28 Aug24 Jul30 Jun22 May20 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 ★    
  (by EXOSPHERE out of EXCELLENT GIRL by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
3  BALNIKHOV (IRE) Sep30 Sep02 Jul30 May29 Apr29 (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ADAAY out of LEEWARD by FIRST DEFENCE)
4  HONG KONG HARRY (IRE) Sep30 May29 May06 Mar04 Nov26 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 125 1.60 72% 0.40    
  (by ES QUE LOVE out of VITAL BODY by GOLD AWAY (IRE))
5  YES THIS TIME Oct01 Aug31 Jul21 May29 May06 (miller peter)FREY KYLE 117 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
6  CABO SPIRIT Oct28 Sep02 Jul30 May29 Apr14 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 8.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
7  ASTRONOMER Nov04 Sep30 Aug19 Jul21   (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.00 ★    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of QARAABA by SHAMARDAL)
8  FRONT RUN THE FED Sep09 Jul22 Jun10 Apr22 Dec31 (car)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
 
DMR-8   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DE' MEDICI Oct21         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BANDORA by DIXIELAND BAND)
3  JOE'S CANDY         (mandella gary)SMITH E 120 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of DREAM TO DREAM by SCAT DADDY)
4  SCHWARZMEIER Oct28         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 15.00 9% 10.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MAYFAIR LADY by COLONEL JOHN)
5  URBAN LEGEND Oct21         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SINGING KITTY by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
6  AINT NO JOKE Nov02         (damato phil)HERRERA A 120 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LIME LADY by LIMEHOUSE)
7  SAND BAGGER Nov10 Oct07       (mandella richa)TORREALBA JG 113 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STRADELLA ROAD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  MR. LEASURE Oct15 Sep30 Aug11     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00 9% 10.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of MYSTERIOUSLY by TIZNOW)
9  MOONLIT SONATA         (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DISTORTED CHAMP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  CORNELL         (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BANREE by MACHO UNO)
11  ALL THAT GLORY         (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GLORIOUS HOUR by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  HONEST COOP         ( )TBA null      
  (by LAOBAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
DMR-9   11/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN YOUR FACE Oct14 Sep03 Aug05 Aug26 Jul31 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 10% 9.10    
2  MISS LIZZY Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 Aug11 Jul22 (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  VINCERO GRANDE Oct22 Nov19 Oct28 Oct01 Sep10 (puype mike)HERRERA A 123 6.00    
4  RUFF RIDE Oct29 Oct09 Sep03 Jul27 Jun18 (lewis a)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
5  BUILT DIFFERENT Oct08 Aug17 Jun16 May18 Apr28 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 123 20.00    
6  INNER BEAUTY (IRE) Oct22 Oct08 Sep03 Aug11 May20 (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 3.00    
7  ANNIE'S JOY Oct09 Aug27 Jun11 May20 Apr07 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
8  UNA PALABRA Aug17 Jul22 Jun10 Apr29 Mar26 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  COURT SNORT Oct27 Oct09 Sep03 Aug17 Aug04 (knapp steve)ESPINOZA V 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.