Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (4/8/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/1/7)-(4/8/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/1/7)-(4/8/6/1/7)-(4/8/6/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/6/1/7)-(5/1/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/1/7)-(5/1/2)-(1/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/4/8/3)-(5/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/3)-(5/2/7/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/3)-(5/2/7/3)-(13/9/5/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/3)-(13/9/5/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/3)-(13/9/5/4)-(9/4/7/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SA-5   WIN (13/9/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/9/5/4)-(13/9/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/9/5/4)-(13/9/5/3/4)-(13/9/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (13/9/5/4)-(9/4/7/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (13/9/5/4)-(9/4/7/5)-(6/3/1/8/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SA-6   WIN (9/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/5)-(9/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/5)-(9/4/7/5)-(9/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/7/5)-(6/3/1/8/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/5)-(6/3/1/8/9)-(7/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-7   WIN (6/3/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/8/9)-(6/3/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/8/9)-(6/3/1/8/9)-(6/3/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/1/8/9)-(7/6/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/8/9)-(7/6/3)-(7/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SA-8   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SA-9   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/8/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIFORNIA BAY Sep02 Jul30 Jun02 Apr28   (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 6% 16.50    
2  BRAVESTONE Sep02 Aug04 Jul03 Jun04 Oct28 (rosales ri)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 124 20.00    
3  DISCRETIONARY DAY Aug27 Jul30 Apr30 Feb27 Feb05 (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
4  TALKLESSWORKMORE Sep02 Jul30 Jun17 May05 Apr07 (ruis mick )GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
5  FORE FLAG Sep02 Feb10 Jan07 Nov19 Oct09 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
6  MYSTIC FLYER Sep08 Aug11 Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  SYNTACTIC Sep11 Aug26 Aug11 Jul02   (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DON'TTHINKJUSTDOIT Sep11 Aug11       (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
9  ALPINE THUNDER Sep23 Aug27 Jul09 Jul02 May27 (hernandez jr)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
10  DOS VICIOS Aug10 Jun17 May28 May05 Apr15 (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 118 20.00    
12  HACKING IT UP Aug31 Aug05 May28 Apr30 Mar03 (papaprodromou)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00    
SCR  BELLY UP Sep10 Dec18 Nov27 Sep17   (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
SCR  MY RANSOM Sep08 Aug13 Jul30 Jun24 Jun11 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-2   10/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE WILDCAT Sep03 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 (steine)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  VITALERA (CHI) Aug24 Jul28 Jun17     (polanco marcel)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIBERAL LADY Aug31 Aug06 Jul02 May12 Mar27 (powell leon)HERRERA A 118 2.50    
4  CLIQUISH Aug31 Jul28 Jun17 Apr08 Mar05 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.50    
5  COFFEE IN BED Sep02 Jul28 Mar27 Jan06   (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 54% 0.90    
6  KEEN LADY Aug06 Jun16 Apr23 Jan29 Dec15 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 12.00    
 
SA-3   10/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUGELACH Sep01 Aug03 Jul13 Jun10 May12 (ellis rona)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
2  JORDAN Sep01 Apr23 Mar09 Jan08 Dec03 (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 120 20.00    
3  RUFF RIDE Sep03 Jul27 Jun18 May28 Aug19 (lewis a)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 5% 17.50    
4  NOKIE Apr23         (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  ANNIE'S JOY Aug27 Jun11 May20 Apr07   (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00    
6  COURT SNORT Sep03 Aug17 Aug04 Jun16 May19 (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 12.00    
7  FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 Jun11 Oct23 (powell leonard)BRAVO J 120 12.00    
8  PRECOCIOUS TIMES Sep03 Aug05 May27 Mar27 Feb20 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
SA-4   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD TRIPPING Aug27 Aug11 Jul23 Jun24   (hanson ryan)FRESU ANTONIO 121 10.00    
2  CALIFORNIA TIGER Sep03 Aug06 May28 Apr28   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 2.00 12% 7.60    
3  LONESOME STEW Jan07 Sep01       (glatt mark)BAZE C 121 8.00 6% 16.30    
4  TORLEIF Aug27         (headley kar)HERRERA A 121 20.00    
5  LOGON TO WIN Sep22 Aug24 Aug06 Jul01 Jan29 (dealba cesar)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50 51% 0.90    
6  THE LAST ONE PERK Sep22 Sep03 Jun24 Jan15 Dec09 (winick debbie)MATIAS J 121 20.00    
7  RED FALCON         (pederson dea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 121 3.00 8% 11.10    
8  CAROL'S COMIC Aug27 Aug06 Jun24 May28 May07 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
 
SA-5   10/09/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA JOKER         (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RUE DE CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  CERTITUDE (FR) Aug06         (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by CITY LIGHT out of MODESTIE by NAYEF)
3  LAUDATORY         (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PRAISING by PULPIT)
4  LAHAR BLOCKADE         (d'amato philip)MALDONADO E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of IMPASSE by QUALITY ROAD)
5  UFFDA Sep01         (kruljac j )GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 4.00 7% 14.10    
  (by JACK MILTON out of KISSING BOOTH by FULL POCKET)
6  JUST FOR FUN         (shirreffs john)SMITH E 120 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of APPEAL TO THE WIN by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  CYPRUS MOON Sep01         (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HOLY FASHION by HOLY BULL)
8  DISCREPANCY Aug06         (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 113 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BRUSQUER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  THERMAL Aug27 Jul30       (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of FULL TAP by TAPIT)
10  BEADS Aug19 Jul13 Jun11     (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 120 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BOURBONSTREETGIRL by LANGFUHR)
SCR  RESPECT THE CROWN Sep08         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ANNIVERSARY KITTY by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  VISUALLY Sep08         (barocio lib)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
  (by ENTICED out of EYE CANDY ANNIE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
13  AVOIR Sep08 Aug06       (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PRINCESS JULIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  CAILIN DANA Sep09 Aug04       (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ENTRECHAT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
SA-6   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATHEDRAL LIGHT Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 Jun23 Dec16 (valenzuela )AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 20.00    
2  NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) Sep23 Sep03 Aug10 Jun04 May13 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 124 10.00    
3  STAFFORD TO KUPP Aug13 Jul01 Oct16 Sep01   (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 121 10.00    
4  TOO MUCH INFO Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul23 Jun16 (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  MISSED CALL Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 Jun03 (wallace jerry)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
6  ALL THE KING'S MEN Sep23 Sep10 Sep02 Aug11 Jul22 (belvoir vann)FREY KYLE 121 8.00    
7  TAHOE SECRETS Aug04 Jun23 Aug13 Jul02 May20 (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 117 3.00 16% 5.10    
8  SPIRITIST Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 (wallace jerry)CEDILLO ABEL 121 30.00    
9  FEROCIOUSLY Apr07 May19 Mar24 Feb12 Jan22 (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
SA-7   10/09/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANIEL'S MAGIC Sep10 Aug17 Jan22 Nov27 Oct15 (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
2  LIBERTY FOREVER Aug17 Jul21 Nov26 Nov05 Oct07 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 124 12.00    
3  X J RASCAL (IRE) Sep04 Aug13 Jul23     (mulhall kristin)SMITH E 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
4  RUTHERFORD Sep04 Jun15 Oct28 Sep24   (d'amato phili)FRESU ANTONIO 119 8.00    
5  HOGMANAY (IRE) May06         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 119 10.00    
6  KING APOLLO Jul21 Jun17 May29 May06 Apr08 (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
7  DEL MAR JERRY Aug13 Jul21 Jun04 May05   (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
8  BAJ Aug19 Jul22 Jun17 Oct12 Sep10 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00 6% 16.00    
9  ARMA D'ORO Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 Feb26 (markle dan)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  EL ORO (FR) Sep04 Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 Mar30 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00    
SCR  BOLT SUPREMACY Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 (papaprodromou )CEDILLO ABEL 119 15.00    
 
SA-8   10/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD WITH PEOPLE Aug26 Sep01 May28     (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00    
2  DESMOND DOSS Aug26 Jun24 May27 May07 Sep17 (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.50    
3  ESCAPE ROUTE Aug26 Jul22 Jun16 May07 Mar11 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 5.00 9% 10.70    
4  KINGDOM HEART Sep17 Aug26 Jul21 Jun04 May07 (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 121 4.00    
5  K P KWEST Sep03 Mar19 Feb07     (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
6  LOVESICK BLUES Sep22 Aug19 Jun24 May27 May07 (miyadi steven)TORREALBA JG 117 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  MOR TEQUILA Jul03 May20 Apr23 Aug18   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
SA-9   10/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Swingtime Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDDIE'S NEW DREAM Aug25 Jul23 Jun18 May28 Feb19 (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 4.00 ★    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
2  FREEDOM FLYER Sep01 Jul22 May20 Apr08 Feb18 (powell leonar)FRESU ANTONIO 122 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of REBUKE by CARSON CITY)
3  LUCKY GIRL (IRE) Aug12 Jul22 Oct29 Aug20 Jul23 (d'amato philip)BRAVO J 126 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ABBEY ANGEL by ARCANO (IRE))
SCR  LUCKY FOR YOU Aug05 May14 Apr29 Apr02 Jan28 (baffert bob)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLTO VITA by CARSON CITY)
5  PRESENT MOMENT (IRE) Sep07 Jul08 Jun08 Apr23   (beckman w)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  UNA CHIQUITITA (CHI) Sep04 Jul22 May20 Mar31 Feb18 (polanco marcel)CEDILLO ABEL 122 20.00    
  (by KATMAI out of UNBENDING by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  HAMWOOD FLIER (IRE) Dec04 Oct09 Jul23 May29   (d'amato philip)SMITH E 126 3.00 68% 0.50    
  (by KODIAC out of FONDA by QUIET AMERICAN)
8  UNBRIDLED MARY Jul28 Jun24 Apr22 Mar26 Feb20 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BAUBLE by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  ANKYRAH Aug26 Jul29 Jun10 Apr30 Jan21 (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of DOUXRAH by RAHY)
10  OAKHURST Sep09 Jul23 Feb04 Dec26 Oct28 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HAPPINESS IS by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  LINDA'S GIFT Aug26 Aug03 Aug25 Aug12 Jul14 ( )TBA null      
  (by ARROGATE out of AMERICANA by TAPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.