Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Sunday - October 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(4/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (4/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/8)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   10/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEVER WALK ALONE Sep02 Aug13 Jul02 Apr19 Jul10 (munoz carlos)RIVERA JON 114 8.00    
SCR  STRAIGHT TIME Sep17 Aug27 Jul15 Jun18 Apr30 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 124 2.50    
DONTONIO Aug13 Jul30 Jul07 Jun16 May27 (sano antonio)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00    
GARY'S FLYING LION Sep08 Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 May21 (ellebracht g)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 5.00    
REDISUR Jun09 May20 Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 (garcia ped)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 114 20.00    
ANTHONY'S ROCKET Aug20 Jul30 Oct26 Oct05 Sep13 (acker d)REYES LEONEL 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
CALLIHOO Aug25         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
GP-2   10/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNO UNO Sep10         (cascallares ne)RIOS M 118 30.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ON THE DOT         (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 118 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MISS MELINDA by MALIBU MOON)
OPUS         (alvar)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MISO BLUE by MAIMONIDES)
FONTINA (ARG)         (spatz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by AMI'S FLATTER out of FARAH by IMPERIALISM)
GULLFAXI Aug13         (narvaez carlos)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MITOLE out of PROCURADORA by BODEMEISTER)
ALE'S GIFT Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 Jun09   (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GIRVIN out of ONE MORE MINUTE by ISTAN)
DADDY'S PIGEON         (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of ROCKANDROLLQUEEN by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
 
GP-3   10/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN HOPE May14 Apr15 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
SHAKE UP Jul22 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 (walder peter)ZAYAS J 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
BALTIC MULE Aug18 Jul16 Jun23 May14   (hussey david)JARAMILLO E 120 3.50    
TIK TOKABLE Aug18 Jun24 May26     (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
UNCAPTURED STAR Sep08 Jul14 Jun17 May20 Apr28 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
SMOKIN BOW Aug26 Jun23 May06 Oct01 Aug14 (ritvo kat)CAMACHO JR 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
GP-4   10/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LLAMARADA Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 Jul07   (sano antonio)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50 67% 0.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of I LOVE SHOPPING by VIOLENCE)
LETS GO KOKO Sep15 Aug13 Jul15 Jun23   (miller c)MORALES ANGEL 113 12.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of VINO DE PAGO by WITH DISTINCTION)
DANCING N DIXIE Sep17 Aug20       (casse )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.50 7% 12.90    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of FOOLHEARTED WOMAN by UNCAPTURED)
BETTY Sep08 Aug20       (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 118 4.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of TIZMETIZYOU by TIZ WONDERFUL)
CLASSIC BALLAD Sep03         (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BALLAD by TAPIT)
SEAT AT THE TABLE Sep03         (casse mark)ZAYAS J 118 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TABLE FOR SIX by MIZZEN MAST)
SHE CAN SCAT Aug10 Jul23       (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATMEIFUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
CANT STOP DREAMING Sep03 Aug13       (pinnock hubert)PANICI LUCA 118 6.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MORETHANAMIRACLE by LINE IN THE SAND)
 
GP-5   10/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHECK THE GRADE Aug06 Jun30 Jun10 May18 Apr06 (negrete javi)THOMAS ANTHONY 122 30.00    
FOR EVER OURS Sep08 Aug06 Jun09 May07 Apr29 (barboza victo)MORALES ANGEL 119 10.00    
HAY HAY PAULA Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 May18 Apr28 (david car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 2.50 14% 6.40    
DRINKS ON ME Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 Apr28 Feb23 (labo frederick )PEREZ EDGAR 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
SOLAIR Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 Apr21 Mar22 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
LEXINATOR Sep03 Jul07 Jun09 May13 Apr21 (crichton rohan)RIVERA JON 112 3.50    
RAW HONEY Aug27 Jul29 Jun30 Apr15 Mar31 (brownlee da)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 30.00    
DANCING DOLL Sep08 Jul09 Jun10 Jun03 Apr29 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 122 12.00 7% 13.10    
RUNAWAY BREEZE Aug26 Aug05 Jul09 Jun10 May18 (dibon)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 6.00    
 
GP-6   10/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Aventura Purse ($65K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAWN Aug19         (sierra ruben)RIOS M 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of KANDHARA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SELF SUFFICIENT Aug26         (pletcher todd )REYES LEONEL 120 3.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of COOGEE BEACH by WAY WEST (FR))
SECRET CHAT Aug19         (rodriquez roder)JARAMILLO E 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LA VIE ROSS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DIVIETO Aug12 Jul21       (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
  (by DIALED IN out of EXAGGERATED by BLAME)
JIVE Sep09 Jul15 May19     (alvarado jua)MORELOS E 120 6.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of SKYLARBDANCING by SKY MESA)
DONTBESOOGROUCHY Aug25 Jul21 Jun17 May19   (pinchi)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of JOANN'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
GP-7   10/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEGANINGREENPOINT Sep02 Aug05 Jul02 May28 May04 (acker d)REYES LEONEL 118 12.00    
EXTENDO Aug26 Jul16 Jun17 May20 Jan18 (david carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 116 1.40 44% 1.20    
SCR  COURAGEOUS COPPER Sep23 Aug27 Aug12 May21 Apr28 (d'angelo j)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 107 12.00    
MARLEY LUCK Aug23 Jul08 May27 Apr16 Mar25 (dobles eliza)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
GRAND BEY Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 Dec22 Oct22 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 118 5.00    
WOW WISH Aug13 Jul14 Jun16 Apr26 Feb24 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 3.00 14% 6.20    
NO NAME DUDE Sep02 Jul02 May27 May13 Apr02 (hurtak)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
 
GP-8   10/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR THE THRILL Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Jun03 (williams mat)THOMAS ANTHONY 121 8.00    
D CITY GIRL Jun30 Apr28 Apr06 Mar10   (dobber arnoud )CAMACHO SAMY 121 20.00    
GHOST FORCE Sep17 Aug19 Jul23 Jun18 May21 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 124 4.50 8% 11.40    
KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun24 (cook devin)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
HOW BOUT DAT Sep17 Jul07 Jun04 Apr08   (spatz b)PANICI LUCA 121 6.00    
CHERU Jul15 Jun23 May13 Mar26 Feb17 (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 1.20 56% 0.80    
STARSHIP DYNASTY Aug20 Jun18 May13 Apr06   (pinchin jose)JARAMILLO E 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
MRS. CASH MAN Sep17 Aug05 Nov27 Oct16 Sep01 (minott leon)NELSON C 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.