Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/4/2)-(7/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(7/8/4)-(8/3/5/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-2   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/2/4/1)-(7/8/2/4/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
    DD (7/8/4)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-3   WIN (8/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/4)-(1/2/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-4   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/3/5/4)-(1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/4)-(1/2/8)-(6/3/4/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-5   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/2/8)-(6/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(8/7/5/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-6   WIN (6/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/3/4/8)-(8/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/8)-(8/7/5/3)-(2/3/7/6/8) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
WO-7   WIN (8/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/7/5/3)-(2/3/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/3)-(2/3/7/6/8)-(12/2/3/10/1) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
WO-8   WIN (2/3/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/6/8)-(2/3/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/6/8)-(2/3/7/6/8)-(2/3/7/6/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/6/8)-(12/2/3/10/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/6/8)-(12/2/3/10/1)-(5/12/3/10/9) 125 $0.20 $25.00 
WO-9   WIN (12/2/3/10/1) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (12/2/3/10/1)-(12/2/3/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/2/3/10/1)-(12/2/3/10/1)-(12/2/3/10/1) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (12/2/3/10/1)-(5/12/3/10/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
WO-10   WIN (5/12/3/10/9) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (5/12/3/10/9)-(5/12/3/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/12/3/10/9)-(5/12/3/10/9)-(5/12/3/10/9) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 2 F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY BOO Sep14         (squires nathan)BYNOE DESEAN 116 6.00    
2  PENNYJET         (callaghan kelly)CALLAGHAN S 118 8.00 24% 3.20    
3  NACHO GIRL Jul15         (casse mark)HOYTE JASON 118 10.00    
4  STORMY OCEAN         (dixon patric)WALCOTT W 118 12.00 24% 3.10    
5  GLENROSA Sep03 Aug12       (richards lorne)CIVACI SAHIN 118 1.60 26% 2.90    
6  DIFFERENT DRUM Aug27 Aug05 Jul08     (simon stuart)VIVES SOFIA 113 2.00    
7  UNDER BUDGET Sep03 Aug12 Jun17 May20   (edwards keit)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 10.00    
 
WO-2   09/30/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREST VIXEN Aug24 Aug10 Jul23 Jul08 Jun15 (leblanc p)HOYTE JASON 125 8.00 ★    
2  MI CORAZON Sep06 Aug31 May20 May07 Apr23 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 117 5.00 ★    
3  ASHLEE'S RING Sep09 Aug17 Jul20 Jul13 Jun15 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
4  SWEET NOLA Sep07 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May14 (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MO TOWN MADISON Aug25 Aug02 Jun18 May21 Apr27 (joseph saf)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00    
6  KEY STROKE Sep01 Aug10 Jul23 Nov13 Oct28 (whalen john)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 20.00    
7  TRIZZEL TRAZZEL Jul06 Jun10 May27 Nov05 Oct20 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 2.50 69% 0.50    
8  P. S. RISING STAR Sep16 Aug12 Jul13 Jul01 Jun16 (hall philip)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
9  REINS OF PURPLE Sep03 Aug03 Jul14 Jul06 Jun15 (krczmar zelk)WALCOTT W 121 8.00    
10  HALLANVAARA Sep03 Aug20 Jul09 Jun15 May26 (holder tedston)BYNOE DESEAN 118 15.00    
 
WO-3   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOOKERED Sep21 Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 (ranfor)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00    
2  STUBBORN STREAK Sep21 Aug18 Jul07 May26 May05 (dunslow mi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 20.00    
3  CONFUSING Aug18 Jul06 May28 Apr30 Oct21 (cox gail)VIVES SOFIA 115 3.00 11% 8.30    
4  IGNITE THE STORM Sep10 Aug18 Aug06 Jul14 Jun22 (nosowenko ni)WALCOTT W 123 10.00    
5  COACH ABERNATHY Sep21 Sep08 Jul30 Jun09 May06 (tharrenos will)BYNOE DESEAN 115 4.00 11% 8.40    
6  DAWSON SILVER Sep10 Oct23 Sep25 Aug19 Jul31 (berringer pe)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 12.00    
7  GUNGI Sep21 Aug05 Jul14 Jul06 May26 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  TRIGGER'S BAY Sep10 Aug18 Jul29 Jun18 Jul31 (cou)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 2.50 57% 0.70    
9  SOCIAL JUSTICE Sep08 Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 Dec09 (pollock bruce)MUNGER RYAN 123 6.00    
 
WO-4   09/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($111K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTLY RO Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 Oct16 (attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 109 10.00    
2  BOUDICA Aug12 May27 Apr27 Mar22 Oct08 (carroll josie)VIVES SOFIA 114 12.00    
3  JUMPIN JUNIE Oct16 Sep17 Aug13     (vassilieva k)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
4  ANITA MARGARITA Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 (nosowenko nichol)HUSBANDS P 119 3.00 6% 14.70    
5  SHE MAKES A POINT Sep08 Aug12 Jul22 May27 May05 (day)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
6  GREAT KATE Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun22 Dec10 (mattine john)MUNGER RYAN 119 20.00    
7  DELPHIA Sep10 Jul23 Jun15     (attard kevin)BYNOE DESEAN 114 8.00    
8  MO TOWN MAYHEM Jun24 May28 Apr01     (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
WO-5   09/30/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 2 F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLOTTES ROAD Jul29         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LET IT RIDE MOM by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  PARTY Jul15 Jun17 May20     (min)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 4.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DON'T SURPRISE ME by MACHO UNO)
3  YOU BE THE JUDGE Aug27 Jul08       (owens steve)MUNGER RYAN 118 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of EXECUTIVE AFFAIR by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
4  PEGGY         (depaulo michael)VIVES SOFIA 113 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DRUIDESS by MALIBU MOON)
5  LOIS' COURAGE         (casse mark)FLORES ESWAN 121 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RHYTHM AND RHYME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  ONELLA         (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SEEKING THE LIGHT by HEATSEEKER)
7  BLITZ Aug20         (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CUSTOMER BASE by LEMON DROP KID)
8  SCORED Aug05 Jul15 Jun24     (county j)SALLES LEO 121 10.00 11% 7.80    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of FANTASTIC SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
9  STORMY DILEMMA         (dixon patric)WALCOTT W 118 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of HUMORUS DILEMMA by SHARP HUMOR)
 
WO-6   09/30/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Sep03 Aug17 Jun22 May25 May05 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 20.00    
SCR  GLITTER BAY Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 Jul08 Jun26 (wright)ALDERSON IAN 123 20.00    
3  TAQUANYAH Jul29 Jul07 Jun11 Nov17 Oct27 (mchugh saul)SALLES LEO 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  THE NIIGON FACTOR Aug20 Jul16 Jun25     (giliforte layne)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50 16% 5.10    
5  BIZYMALINE Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Sep03 Jul24 (dipaola santin)BYNOE DESEAN 118 20.00    
6  ROSEBUD'S HOPE Sep09 Aug20 Jul22 Mar15 Dec29 (attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 115 1.40 28% 2.50    
7  LIAM'S GIFT Sep09 Mar25 Feb18     (halden rachel)MUNGER RYAN 120 10.00    
8  SECRETARYOFTHENILE Aug20 Jul23 Jun17 Oct15 Sep17 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 10.00 13% 6.50    
9  WICKED MERCURY Sep09 Aug20 Mar15 Feb24 Jan25 (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 8.00    
 
WO-7   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 2 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGS LIKE FLATTER Sep09 Aug19 Jun24     (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 118 3.50    
2  LITTLE TEDDY         (dipaola san)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
3  AZIEL Aug27         (edwards keith)HOYTE JASON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MRS. HOT SHOT         (armata v)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 15.00    
5  ECHO SEVEN Sep14         (hinckson m)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DESTINY RO Aug19         (attard kevin)VIVES SOFIA 116 6.00    
7  BRAQUET         (carey julia)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  HAYEK Sep10         (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 1.40 50% 1.00    
 
WO-8   09/30/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($114K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLCE SOPRESA Aug26 Jul01 Apr29 Dec09 Nov05 (car)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00    
2  RUN FOR THE HILLS Aug19 Jul15 May27 Mar03 Feb16 (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
3  MRS. GREEN Aug12 Jun24 May18 Oct29 Oct15 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 123 10.00 17% 4.90    
4  HELLO FRIENDS Aug27 Aug05 Jul20 Jun23 May27 (leblanc p)SALLES LEO 123 20.00    
5  OWEN'S TOUR GUIDE Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 (armata v)BYNOE DESEAN 120 10.00    
6  GAMBLE'S SILVER Jul22 Jun24 May05 Nov17 Oct27 (carroll josi)WALCOTT W 123 15.00 8% 11.90    
7  CAHIRA'S BLESSING Jul22 Jun10 May13 Aug20 Jul16 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 115 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  AWESOME TREAT Apr15 Mar17 Feb23 Jan28 Dec30 (attard ste)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 8.00 7% 13.30    
9  HAI BOBBI Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (gordon w)ELLIS S 123 20.00    
SCR  VERDEJO Sep09 Aug27 Aug17 Jul13 Jun03 (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 121 20.00    
11  BREATHING FIRE Sep10 Aug12 Jul15 Jun03 Sep13 (attard c)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 12.00    
12  CURLIN CANDY Sep10 Aug05 Jul22 Jun17 May20 (depaul)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 20.00    
SCR  GLORIANNIA Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Dec10 (pion sylvain)MUNGER RYAN 123 12.00    
 
WO-9   09/30/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($117K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU EDGE Sep14 Jul30 Jul09 May28 Dec04 (halden rachel)HUSBANDS P 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MASON'S GAMBLE Sep03 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 Jun04 (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.50 8% 11.40    
3  TOLD IT ALL Sep03 Aug20 Jul02 Nov26 Oct23 (drake m)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 6% 16.30    
4  THE MINKSTER Aug19 Jul22 Nov13 Oct23 Aug21 (vassilieva k)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00    
5  LUCKMAN Jun18 Jun04 May07 Nov26 Oct23 (armata vit)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 10.00    
6  ROARING FORTIES Sep03 Jul23 Jun04 Apr01 Jan21 (vas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 3.00    
7  DUN DRUM Sep09 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 (black ian)MUNGER RYAN 122 10.00    
8  BANFF Jul23 Oct21 Oct02 Sep03 Aug12 (drexler mart)WALCOTT W 122 15.00    
SCR  AVOMAN Sep09 Jul16 Jun04 Dec11 Oct09 (charalambous j)FLORES ESWAN 122 20.00    
10  TOWN CRUISE Sep09 Jul30 Jul02 Oct23 Sep17 (greer brando)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 6.00 6% 16.60    
11  CLEAR DESTINATION Sep09 Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 May14 (dixon patrick)VIVES SOFIA 117 20.00    
12  ARTIE Aug13 Jul15 Oct02 Sep18   (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  JOURNEYMAN Aug12 Jul02 Jun09 May11 Apr29 (wright)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00    
 
WO-10   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMSON NIGHTS Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 May27 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 10.00    
2  NEOLITHIC NATION Sep16 Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 (lepiane paul)SINGH S 120 20.00    
3  MISS WATERLOO Aug03 Jun22 May27 Nov27   (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 120 4.00 8% 11.10    
4  SEATTLE SIGNAL Sep16 Aug18 Aug03     (cowper)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 20.00    
5  WAR VOW Sep07 Aug18 Aug05 Jul20   (pottinger an)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
6  SNOW LAKE Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May14 (paterson m)ANDERSON JODEIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  FOREVER DANISH Sep01 Aug12 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (leblanc warren)BYNOE DESEAN 113 20.00    
8  QUEEN SAHARA Sep07         (brooker w)HUSBANDS P 120 15.00    
9  LOOK AT LIL SISTER         (attard c)WALCOTT W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOUNTAIN SOUND Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 Jul07 Jun11 (tiller robe)WENC C 120 8.00 5% 17.50    
11  GHOSTLY PERFECTION         (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 10.00    
12  SILENT TRIBUTE Aug03 Jun16 May27 Apr29 Dec01 (simon stuart)FLORES ESWAN 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.